Politics with Marc Ambinder

February 2009 Archives

Feb 27 2009, 11:14PM

The Trial of al-Marri: Dawn of a New Era, or Continuing the Bush Days?

The Obama administration announced Friday it would try Ali Saleh Kahlah al-Marri in a federal court, removing the "enemy combatant" label that has kept him in a Defense Department brig in South Carolina since 2003. The formal indictment marks a major shift away from the Bush terrorism worldview; it could also keep more power in Obama's hands.

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Feb 27 2009, 4:50PM

The Daily Five: Readings For A Slow Friday

Ok, it's a fast Friday. But still.

1. Totally agree with Ben Smith's thought: opposition to the Employee Free Choice Act, or "card check," has become an enormous contraption -a "full employment program" for out of work (but talented) Republicans. There's a reason for this, though. Forget the budget yesterday; forget changes to LIFO accounting; the major corporate and small business lobbies believe  -- they believe this sincerely -- that card check would be the single most disasterous policy change since the government began to tax corporations.  There are, potentially, billions -- trillions? -- at stake. So a multi-million dollar lobbying effort ought not be surprising.

2. For some reason, Mickey Kaus believes that I'm an apostle of the AFL-CIO and believe that the Democratic Congress will take up card check this year. Well, whatever. But as to the timing: I don't think the White House wants card check this year; I don't think that Democrats have the votes for it. I also don't think that the real battle has begun; both sides are capable of manipulating public opinion polls, but I don't think the American people have focused on the debate itself. I do know that the anti-card check side believes that it has won a framing victory about the "secret vote."

3.  Three very important things to read: The Wall Street Journal on Obama's willingness to take the sacred cow of mortgage deductions and Josh Gerstein's account of the debate within Democratic circles; PD-1 -- the presidential policy directive on reorganizing the homeland security and counterrorism structure inside the White House.

4. Longtime McCain adviser Mark Salter, now in private practice, on what Bobby Jindal's speech lacked:

The over thought staging of his speech (he should have appeared at seated at his desk or in an armchair rather than attempt to imitate a presidential stroll into the East Room), and the curiously emphatic and singsong enunciation of certain words in his address suggest too much coaching.  That said, I doubt one missed opportunity will seriously cloud this promising young politician's future, and I still look to him as one of a few prominent Republican officeholders with the talent and vision to help lead the Party out of the political wilderness it now finds itself in. 

More disappointing than Jindal's delivery was the address itself.  It failed to offer worried Americans compelling alternatives to the sweeping proposals offered by the President, which considered together, promise the greatest government growth and intrusion into areas of private responsibilities since Lyndon Johnson's Great Society.  Instead, Jindal offered an anodyne recitation of Republican opposition to government spending and high taxes.   Americans, even those who are not in danger of losing their jobs or homes, want to know their government has a feasible plan to get us out of the economic mess that has ravaged savings for their retirement and their children's college education.

Jindal spent a considerable portion of his address decrying government incompetence, using the example of the federal government's woeful response to Hurricane Katrina as a reason not to trust it to do anything.  But in these times, Americans aren't satisfied with an alternative that only opposes and doesn't propose solutions to the myriad problems confronting us from ruinously expensive health care to inadequate public education to crumbling infrastructure.  They are looking for leaders with ideas for making government do better what it must do.  Jindal has a reputation for innovative and effective policy ideas for many of the most pressing public concerns.  He should have discussed a few of those Tuesday night as alternatives to the Democrats' insistence on spending more on government programs that have already lost the confidence of the American people.

Feb 27 2009, 2:56PM

Citibank: Nationalization, With A Fig Leaf

I don't deal with the technicalities of receivership, and I'm no expert on banking policy. But I've got to agree with Josh Marshall's theories of quasi-nationalization: if a company is forced to accept government aid, and is forced to do so on the condition that they replace members of their board of directions, and on the condition that they change their lending and compensation practices, can they really be said to be, in practice, privately held? The government's not running the bank. They don't have majority ownership. But they're running the people who run the bank. They have access to every bit of information that the bank owners  have. They are setting the goals for the bank.  The difference between this -- and "nationalization" -- seems to me to be immaterial, although I an open to changing my mind.

Feb 27 2009, 2:27PM

Quote of the Day

What we will not do is let the pursuit of the perfect stand in the way of achievable goals.

Feb 27 2009, 2:22PM

Pelosi: Troop Levels Should Be 'as Small as Possible'

After criticizing President Obama's plan for 35-50,000 residual U.S. forces to remain in Iraq until 2012 earlier this week, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi issued a carefully worded statement today praising Obama's announcement while, at the same time, calling for the number of troops kept there to be "as small as possible."

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Feb 27 2009, 2:07PM

Change You Can Quantify through Historical Comparison

President Obama has been busy during his first month in office, and now there's a study to prove it. The University of California, Santa Barbara's American Presidency Project has compared Obama's initial activity with that of his predecessors; it finds that his 16 executive orders and 11 memoranda to the executive branch place him #1 all time in unilateral action during new presidents' first 30 days in office. Policy aside, it looks like the volume of Obama's actions has upheld his campaign slogan so far.

Feb 27 2009, 1:58PM

Even Boehner Won't Mention Bush

From a statement: 

"The President's announcement today is a testament to the success of our troops in stabilizing and significantly reducing violence in Iraq, and to the strategy put in place by General Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker two years ago. This strategy has helped us preserve U.S. national security interests and allow the Iraqi people to more firmly take control of their own destiny as a sovereign, representative, and independent nation in the heart of the Middle East.

 

Feb 27 2009, 1:00PM

Should Obama Give Bush Credit?

President Obama very appropriately and correctly thanked U.S. Marnines for precipitating the turnabout in Iraq.  But if there is a chance of success in Iraq now as defined by Barack Obama, shouldn't there be some mention of the change in strategy, and the former Commander in Chief, the guy who hung in there?  I think the American people will be more persuaded by the arguments for the counter; we don't know if Iraq is a success yet; we won't know for years; the problems solved by American troops were created by American politicians; the troops did their duty and did what was asked of them, but the asking was illegitimate and wrong. In any event, please ponder these words from Obama. He seems to be saying: the debate about the origins of the war is over, and he won't participate in it in anymore.

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Feb 27 2009, 12:38PM

Obama Announces Withdrawal, Says Iraq Is Not Yet Secure

As expected, President Obama announced today that he plans to withdraw U.S. troops from Iraq over the next 18 months, with a residual force of 35,000 to 50,000 troops remaining until the end of 2011. He did not say whether, if conditions warrant, he would renegotiate the status-of-forces agreement with Iraq, which requires all troops to be out by 2012, although he did say that, pursuant to the current agreements, all troops would, indeed, be withdrawn. He did not say how "combat" ready the residual troops would be. He did not say whether the U.S. would establish semi-permanent bases in the country.

Here's how he explained his decision to an expectant group of Marines at Camp Lejeune in North Carolina.

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Feb 27 2009, 12:07PM

Can Obama Really Do This?

There is, in the environs of the center part of the center-left, a certain wariness about Barack Obama that's been manifesting itself in the form of Beltway back-chatter and the occasional opinion piece.

"Is he naive? Does he not understand the political challenge he is inviting?" asks David Broder. In simpler terms, Broder is asking: can he really, almost unilaterally, challenge the status quo ante by mere assertion and motive force?

"I wonder if I simply cannot come to terms with the country's embrace of the Democratic platform," a top Democratic fundraiser told me. "Growing up during the 80s and 90s, when Democratic orthodoxy was a mess and not popular with the majority of the country, I wonder if I'm being way too hard on Obama, and that country is willing to embrace higher taxes on $200k + earners, massive increases in government spending, this health care "down payment."

There is absolutely a generational component to the anxiety. Three generations of Democratic activists view the possibility of Obama's election through different lenses; the first came of age in the 60s and 70s before the flowering of modern conservatism and the triumph of Nixonian resentment politics. The second rose to power with the election of Bill Clinton, and today, they approach politics with instincts as developed in the 1992 campaign and refined by Clintoncare, the government shutdown and the Monica Lewinsky affair -- careful, wily, programmatic, triangulatish, risk-averse, incremental. The third generation rejects all of that, believing that such caution kicked the legs out from under the Democratic Party. This generation rejects baby steps in favor of bold, often populist action; they reject the notion that the default liberal ideology cannot be majoritarian.

Who's right? Well, the Reagan revolution is no longer the dominant political environment. But did Americans really know what they were voting for in 2008? Didn't Democrats win the last two election's because the Republican party imploded, not because the political pendulum swung to the left.

I actually have a position on this one. I think the country is moving to the left. I think that demography and globalization are providing the momentum, and I think that, like the apparent retrogression of planets in orbit, there will be inevitably some backsliding as the American people adjust to the new equilibrium.

The argument boils down to whether Americans knew that they were voting for the Obama Synthesis. It's hard to make the opposite case, unless they just completely ignored virtually everything Obama said in his speeches and every commercial run by the McCain campaign. Of course the Republican Party imploded. But the implosion wasn't inner directed, as if the party were some atom bomb waiting for a booster. No -- the party collapsed because it could not adapt to the intervention of major external events.

Back in the realm of the real. This morning's worse than expected GDP number throws cold water on Obama's revenue projections, and will also affect Treasury yields and interest rate costs. As the budget is debated, the worsening economy could make the deficit a lot greater and pose a headache for The White House and every Democrat up for re-election the next year. But taken against the backdrop of the change Americans voted for, the White House can spare some Tylenol.

Feb 27 2009, 11:40AM

The Adequate's Not The Enemy Of The Middling

Or, as President Obama plans to say today, about Iraq: "What we will not do is let the pursuit of the perfect stand in the way of achievable goals." Over to you, Madame Speaker.

Feb 27 2009, 9:44AM

Citibank Tango Ends

The Treasury has concluded its financial/political dance with Citibank in a deal that will up the government's stake in the bank from 8 percent to 36. Today's deal will convert the government's preferred stock into common stock at a $3.25 per-share conversion price--much higher than the market value of common shares, which dropped 46 percent in pre-market trading and now sits at $1.71. Important to note is that the government is not making a bigger financial investment in the bank, but taxpayers will lose roughly $2 billion in dividends paid by preferred stock, according to CNN Money.

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Feb 27 2009, 9:19AM

Vote Rankings: Moderates Disappearing from the GOP

National Journal's liberal/conservative rankings for Congress are out (see them at NJ's website here), complete with a web applet that lets you sort by state, district, score, etc.

One significant development NJ points out: centrist Republicans are vanishing from both the House and Senate. For the 10 GOP senators who departed in 2008, the median conservative rating was 60.9--left of center for the party. While the median score for the 43 House Republicans who left was 73.3, centrists were more frequently replaced by Democrats, meaning more conservative seats stayed in conservative hands.

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Feb 26 2009, 10:34PM

Joe the Betrayer?

I see Joe the Plumber has some harsh words for his one-time sponsor, John McCain:

"He doesn't care about what's best for America," Wurzelbacher said. "He only cares about what's best for John McCain."

More wisdom from Wurzelbacher here.

Feb 26 2009, 6:00PM

Parties Put Coalition Builders in Place

Coalition-building--the art of bringing together an array of constituent blocs or advocacy groups behind a single political purpose--looks to figure prominently in the political parties' strategies for the next election cycle, as indicated by two significant moves by the RNC and DNC this week.

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Feb 26 2009, 5:06PM

The Daily Five: Cut Rahm's Title

A daily afternoon news summary, in five parts; what you need to know; also, a hint of science. We twitter.

1.  Jane Mayer: Ali Saleh al-Marri, the "illegal enemy combatant" held in a Navy brig in Charleston, SC,  may soon be indicted in federal court -- this is a definitive break from the Bush Administration's policy and theory of detention for alleged terrorists; proponents will call this a move back toward the sunlight.... .....Obama's budget raises taxes during a recession, right?  .... Well.... sort of.  Many of the new taxes, including the reduction in itemized deductions for wealthier Americans, don't kick in until 2011... that's after the recession will have ended, according to Obama's own budget assumptions. It's a neat little trick ....  Manufacturers are up in arms about budget's cutting of LIFO  ...which would change the way they account for the goods they build. The administration calls this a "tax loophole." ....  Your Daily Orszag: Federal budget deficits were on track to reach 9 trillion by 2019.... This is a real tweet from Rep. Roy Blunt: "I met with the Missouri Geographic Alliance today. Last year I received their Geography Legislator of the Year award."

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Feb 26 2009, 4:30PM

White House Seeking Interns

Ambitious young leaders take note: President Obama's White House is seeking interns for this summer. In keeping with budgetary concerns and Democrats' new mantra of fiscal responsibility, the internships are unpaid. After all, times remain tough. Then again, someone will have to support these whippersnappers for a summer in one of the nation's most expensive cities...But despite Bill Clinton, and the eternal curse of intern jokes he laid upon us, the title still looks pretty good on a resume.

Feb 26 2009, 3:40PM

Family Planning Back In The Budget

It created a little stir when it was pulled from stimulus, but now it's in President Obama's FY 2010 budget plan.  New funding for the Medicaid Family Planning State Option will allow states to bypass a waiver process when providing services to women who don't ordinarily qualify for government aid. Advocates say it would reduce later-term abortions because lower-income women would have quicker access to doctors. A month ago, Obama urged Rep. Henry Waxman to drop the money from his portion of the stimulus bill but, the White House promised women's health groups that it would be funded through the ordinary budget process. 

Feb 26 2009, 3:34PM

Budget Easter Egg: Discretionary Spending

This is an important number: non-defense discretionary spending in the FY 2010 budget increases by 9%, a consequence of the stimulus package, TARP and other recovery spending.  In 2011, the budget outline projects a decline of about one percent, from $675 billion to $656 billion.  In 2012, the drop is even sharper -- around 5%. This portion of the budget held constant for three years. Then, in 2015, it begins to rise again, hitting $686 billion (in current dollars) by 2019.    The budget projects that the cost of entitlement programs -- Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, will stay relatively constant (in real dollars) through 2013 -- about 2,000,000.  But in the six years after the end of Obama's first term, the figure rises by 1 trillion dollars.

Feb 26 2009, 3:12PM

Halving The Budget: A Different View

Reader B:
 
"You note in a post that Obama doesn't in fact "halve" the deficit over ten years in nominal terms. Most any economist or budget geek you'd talk to would tell you that it's the deficit in %GDP terms that really matters.  According to the OMB's projections, the deficit spikes up to 12.3% of GDP in 2009. This drops to 5.9% by 2011 (the "halving") and then drops even further to stay around 3% from 2013 to 2019."
 
Noted -- and it's a good point. But the way the Obama administration is selling their deficit reduction plans to the American people references the current CBO deficit projection as a baseline; as in -- "We'll cut the deficit in half by 2013." Officials talk about inheriting a $1.2 or $1.3 trillion dollar deficit; that's the easy number to hang the concept around.  The deficit as a percentage of GDP would actually decline by two-thirds. If the deficit this year is more along the lines of $1.7 trillion -- that's what OMB projects --  then Obama halves it, assuming that his GDP assumptions, as adjusted for inflation, prove correct.

Feb 26 2009, 3:08PM

Budget Easter Egg: Merit Pay For Docs?

Page 29: "The Administration believes Medicare and the country need to move toward a system in which doctors face better incentives for high quality care rather than simply more care." Atlantic Media political director Ron Brownstein notes that this sounds an endorsement of higher pay for doctors who do good work...

 

 

Feb 26 2009, 2:00PM

Budget Easter Eggs: Performance Pay

Decipher this, please. "This Budget supports additional investments in consultation with other teachers and stakeholders, to implement systems that reward strong teacher performance and help less effective teachers improve,or, if they do not, exit the classroom." (pp.24)   So -- does this budget include the beginning of performance pay for teachers? 

Feb 26 2009, 12:17PM

Budget: Gregg No Likey.

As Commerce Sec., Sen. Judd Gregg might have been tasked with selling provisions of what he's now calling a "missed  opportunity."  But really. What did he expect? What did anyone expect? Obama campaigned on this budget. Still, the New Hampshire senator's comments are a bit searing:

"Unfortunately, this budget plan is once again a missed opportunity for American taxpayers - it raises taxes on all Americans, implements massive new spending, and fails to make any tough choices to control the deficit and long-term fiscal crisis posed by the huge entitlement programs.

More after the jump.

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Feb 26 2009, 12:16PM

Budget ironies for Tim Geithner

From the administration's summary (pdf):

The scope, complexity, and sheer magnitude of the international financial system pose significant enforcement challenges for the IRS in carrying out its tax administration responsibilities. The 2010 Budget includes funding for a robust portfolio of IRS international tax compliance initiatives...

Significant enforcement challenges indeed!

Feb 26 2009, 12:10PM

Budget Easter Egg: Intelligence: Classified

No transparency here: the Obama administration won't release the total budget for the naitonal intelligence program, the line item that funds the intelligence community remains "classified," even though it's hard to conceive of a case where the release of that single number -- it was $44 billion in 2005 -- would harm national security.

Actually, I'm being deliberately misleading, too. Most intelligence programs are run by and funded through Department of Defense appropriations; the three DoD intelligence budgets account for at least $30 billion.

FYI: any member of Congress can request a briefing on the classified budget, although certain programs -- so-called "waived" programs -- are disclosed only to senior members of defense and intelligence appropriation subcommittees.

Feb 26 2009, 11:33AM

Budget Easter Egg: Not Halving The Deficit

President Obama's FY 2010 budget outline includes ten years' worth of deficit projections. As Obama noted two nights ago, he intends to cut the federal budget deficit from $1.75 trillion in 2009 to $533 billion by the end of his first term. 

But what's projected for 2014? A slightly higher deficit -- $570b. For 2015? $583b. By 2016, the deficit exceeds $636b again; by 2019, it's up to about $712b. 

The budget projects that the national debt will increase nearly two-fold over 10 years, from $8.3 trillion in 2009 to $15.3 trillion in 2019.

So why does the deficit go up? Largely, it's because the baby boom generation is retiring and taking Social Security checks. Social Security spending rises fairly dramatically over the next ten years. 

Feb 26 2009, 11:12AM

Budget Easter Egg: Watch Those Extra Fees!

Page 71 of the budget includes this unpopulist announcement: "the Budget proposes to increase the existing Aviation Passenger Security Free beginning in 2012."  It would help to offset more government spending on aviation security. The Budget provides no cost estimate, but the increases will probably be minimal. Still, I predict that this enhancement will get a lot of attention...a tiny line item in a trillion dollar budget.

Feb 26 2009, 11:00AM

The Budget, Doc

At 134 pages, it's a fairly quick read. Here are the highlights:

Big/Politically interesting items:

1. $4 billion for more Census funding, Mr. Boehner, on top of $1 billion in the stimulus package.

2. A $250 billion TARP "reserve fund;" actually, $750 billion, but the government expects to get most of it back.

3. Adds money to "build comprehensive, coordinated, high-quality early childhood "Zero to Five" education "systems."

4. Lots more money for energy, including billions to modernize the electric grid

5. Six billion more dollars for cancer research; 1 billion dollars to improve the FDA's safety and inspection regimes.

6. To offset people who've defaulted on their mortgage, the budget would pay for 1.3 million more government-subsidized rental properties.

7. A la the One Campaign, it puts the government "on a path" to double its foreign aid budget.

8. There's $5 billion for high-speed rail and $800 million for the next generaton of air traffic control.

9. It increases the EPA budget by 34% over FY 2009 levels.

10. It increases NASA's budget by $2.4 billion

11. It increases funding for the National Science Foundation by 16% over 2008 levels

 

Most overused term: "reflects the president's commitment"

Policy Costs. In 2010, something called the "baseline projection of current policy deficit" is said to exceed $1.5 trillion dollars, meaning, in essence, that changes to fiscal and monetary policy have cost the government an additional $1.5 trillion in total.  In 2011, new tax cuts for individuals are projected to decreases revenues by $12 billion, and by 2012, by $86 billion.  To sum them: Obama wants to create a "Making Work Pay" tax credit ($63 billion a year over over ten years), to expand the earned income tax credit, to expand the refundability of the child tax credit, expand saver's credits and provide an American Opportunity Tax Credit. Business tax cuts amount to much less -- just $3.5 billion in total by 2012.

Raising taxes.  The budget nicely call these "revenue changes" and loophole "closers." As has been reported, the budget assumes the permanent expiration of the Bush tax hikes for the higher income brackets, realizing about $85 billion by the end of his first term; it accounts for increases in premiums paid by Medicare recipients earning more than $170,000 per year, and reducing the itemized deduction rate for families with incomes over $250,000 per year. 

Obama also wants to

-- reinstate the Superfund tax by 2011

-- codify an IRS enforcement procedure that will save hundreds of millions of dollars

-- inplement unspecified "international enforcement, reform deferral, and other tax reform policies" to the tune of $210 billion over 10 years.

-- eliminate the Advanced Earned Income Tax Credit

Bottom line. In total, the budget projects the cost of all the new tax cuts, tax hikes, spending (including $15 billion per year on Green Energy) will exceed $660 billion over 10 years, with a slight majority of that cost realized in Obama's second term.

 

On health care, Obama provides eight board principles and will leave the details -- for now -- to Congress.

Note: the budget outline uses the word "universality," as in -- "aim for universality" of health care coverage. Obama wants a "clear path" to "cover all Americans." The budget outline does not say that Obama will refuse to sign health care reform that does not immediately cover everyone. Other principles include portability of coverage, guaranteed issue and the standard package of waste reduction, administrative reforms, wellness investment and patient care concerns.

The administration projects a steep decline in FY 2009 tax revenues; it expects to receive about $972 billion from income taxes and just 180 billion from corporate taxes. Other tax categories bring in roughly the same amount year-to-year, at least until 2012. In total, the U.S. projects that it will take in about $300 billion dollars less in taxes this year than it did last year.  The number stabilizes in 2010 and exceeds the 2008 level in 2011, owing largely to an increase in individual income taxes and a spike in payroll taxes as people get back to work. 

Targeted cuts: There don't appear to be too many. The ultra-deepwater oil ans gas research development program is to be cut -- a savings of about $2.5 billion over ten years. He'd cut abandoned mine land payments to states and repeal fees associated with the 2005 energy policy act. 

Feb 26 2009, 10:40AM

Charitable Contributions: the White House Responds

I asked an administration official to respond to the question about whether charitable contributions will decline if itemized deductions are reduced for those making more than $250,000: 

"Right now, if a middle class family donates a dollar to their favorite charity, they get a 15-cent deduction, but Warren Buffet and Bill Gates make the same donation and they get a deduction that is more than twice that.  The proposal walks that back some of the way because it's time that everyone is responsible for our future." 

Feb 26 2009, 10:12AM

TARP III = $750b - $500 = $250b

Still about 40 minutes away from the embargo breakage on the budget, but an Associated Press article that flashed at 6:00 this morning reveals something new: a $250 billion reserve fund to sustain the Treasury's Troubled Asset Relief Program. Actually, it's a $750 billion expenditure, but the government is assuming, based on, well, assumptions about economic growth, that about $500 billion will be returned to the taxpayer. The outline calls it a "placeholder for potential additional financial stabilization efforts" which would "support $750 billion" in assets. 

Feb 26 2009, 10:01AM

A Falloff In Charitable Contributions?

The first battle lines of the FY 2010 budget are hereby drawn; figures as diverse as CNBC's Maria Bartimoro and Majority Leader Steny Hoyer say that any limitation on itemized deductions for taxpayers earning over $200,000 individually will severely limit charitable giving. Hoyer calls it "clearly one of the greatest concerns."  Bartiromo worries about the "unintended consequences."  But this sounds like a talking point. If wealthy people want to give money, then they should give, regardless of tax benefits. Also: if you're inclined to oppose higher taxes on rich people, wouldn't this be the first way you'd try to sell your opposition to the American people -- by essentially fretting about the huge drop in charitable contributions? My thought experiment is: if tax reform down the line were to  gut all deductions, would charitable contributions totally dry up?

Feb 26 2009, 9:50AM

Tale Of Two Headlines

The New York Times: To Pay for Health Care, Obama Looks to Taxes on Affluent

The Washington Post: Obama Proposes $634 Billion Fund For Health Care

You would think that, by scheduling the release of the health care portion of the budget outline for the day before the official release, the administration either wanted to try to bury the tax hike story by allowing Obama to reset it, or it wanted to signal to allies that he was serious about health care reform.  My guess is that the administration doesn't care about the tax arguments and is more interested in setting the stage for health care reform.

Feb 25 2009, 8:17PM

Get Out Of Your D$*#( Shells

Here's a simple way to increase intellectual cross-pollination on the web: honest bloggers of the left and the right should try to interview at least one author/historian/politician from the other side of the aisle at least one a month.  So -- Media Matters shouldn't just criticize Bernard Goldberg; they should interview him. Glenn Greenwald should, I don't know, see if Jack Goldsmith from Harvard would chat with him online. Bill Kristol should interview Jane Mayer.  Pajamas Media needs to interview Democrats and Democratic experts, and not just each other, or Joe the Plumber, or Sen. Jim DeMint. Righties interviewing righties has gotten so boring and repetitive; lefties fawning over lefties is lazy. Who's going to be brave enough to reach out to an ideological or intellectual opponent, promote their new book, or interview them?

Feb 25 2009, 8:11PM

Obama's Budget Picture Forms

Call it the White House austerity plan. President Obama's budget outline for 2010, to be released tomorrow,  assumes that committee chairs will cap non-defense discretionary spending increases at one half of one percent over 2009 levels, according to people who have been briefed on the subject. Federal workers would receive raises of approximately 1 2 percent, or about eight tenths of a percent above the core inflation rate.

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Feb 25 2009, 4:08PM

The Daily Five: A Stress Test Transparency Problem

A daily  afternoon news summary, in five parts; what you need to know; also, a hint of science.  We twitter.

1.The WSJ concludes that Wall Street like what they're hearing about the stress tests....   Washington Post co. revenues dropped 77 percent. .... Sen. Robert Byrd likes the White House czars well enough, but he doesn't like the concept of White House czars. They offend his constitutional rectitude. .... Sen. Roland Burris (D-IL)  hires a new chief of staff and communications director .... For what it's worth, the DHS still doesn't think it can meet the 2012 cargo screening deadline. .... Surpreme Court gives government latitude to place private monuments in public spaces, even if they're religious in nature. .... Abuse at Gitmo is worse since Obama took office, according to detainee lawyers. The guards are getting their last jollies in....

2. About the stress tests. The results are going to be kept private. But wait. They don't have to be. And won't banks who're found to be in good shape be eager to brag about their health? ("I'd image they'd want to should that from the mountaintops," a government official told reporters today.") Ok -- so you have a bunch of banks revealing their test results -- presumably, the banks that are healthy will be more open, leaving the banks that are less well capitalized keeping the secret. But won't it then be obvious which banks are in real trouble?

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Feb 25 2009, 3:08PM

It's Just A Little Quiz, Banks

Attention markets: The government has a plan to steel your spines, to help you gain confidence in banks -- specifically -- a "buffer of confidence" for the largest financial institutions. Here is how a senior Treasury official, briefing reporters this afternoon, described the premise behind the administration's new Capital Assistance Program for banks.
"Our hope is that over time, by creating some certainty around a source of common equity for these banks, over time, that that will be confidence creating, because [everyone] will know that that bank has access to high quality common equity over time."

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Feb 25 2009, 1:43PM

Jindal Didn't Damage His Presidential Aspirations

A good number of folks who've been talking up Gov. Bobby Jindal's presidential chances are now defending his anodyne performance last night by pointing out, correctly, that Jindal is smart, serious and talented, and that there's no evidence that a panned SOTU (or budget speech) response will make or break a career. (Come to think of it, Bill Clinton wasn't punished for his famously long-winded 1988 Democratic convention speech.) They're just too artificial -- a man or woman, standing in an empty, artificially lit room, trying to tie several knots at once.  Fine. Jindal's buzz shouldn't really go down much among Beltway insiders. As I noted yesterday, he is not charistmatic, and this format is not his best. Formal speech responses are quaint in an era of instantaneous communication.

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Feb 25 2009, 12:45PM

Obama Outlines Principles For Regulatory Reform

President Barack Obama is pledging that major regulatory reform of financial markets will help, not hinder, future economic prosperity.  Wall Street may have banks on their mind -- and the Treasury is providing details about stress tests today --  but they're going to want to listen to Obama later, too.  An administration official provided a preview of the President's remarks. They're not detailed proposals, but they provide some hints about the direction Obama wants to follow.

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Multimedia

Feb 25 2009, 12:37PM

State of the Union

President Obama's speech, in its entirety

Feb 25 2009, 12:15PM

Tea Parties, Pajamas, and Media/Event Symbiotics

Following up on the idea of Tea Parties protesting the administration's mortgage refinancing plan, Pajamas Media has started running online ads (spotted on conservative blog Hot Air today), simultaneously encouraging readers to organize their own tea parties and promoting Pajamas Media's coverage of them. "The Pajamas TV team including Michelle Malkin, Glenn Reynolds, and Joe Wurzelbacher (aka Joe the Plumber) - are mobilized to help cover this new and evolving revolution," Pajamas' online promotion page reads. The model appears to be that the promise of coverage (partly) motivates the protest, which motivates the coverage. If you build it, they will come...or something like that.

Feb 25 2009, 12:06PM

The Climate Lobby: a Booming, Changing Industry

As cap-and-trade has risen as a policy idea, so too has the industry now devoted to shaping it: according to a new report from the Center for Public Integrity, the climate lobby has grown 300 percent in five years, with $90 million and 2,340 lobbyists comprising it in 2008. But beyond its size, the face of the industry has changed.

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Feb 25 2009, 11:15AM

For House Democrats, A Demand For Regular Order

The $481 billion, nine-department omnibus appropriations bill that's wending its way through the House this week may be the last of its kind. House Democrats, particularly those elected to office in recent cycles, are frustrated that their leadership has cut them out of the decision-making and bill-writing process. Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL), the chief deputy whip and member of the appropriations committee, has "a foot in both camps," she conceded this morning at an Atlantic post-speech briefing. But she said that the willingness of rank-and-file Democrats to allow the Speaker's office and committee chairs to run bills and resolutions outside regular order "is about run out," and that the FY 2009 approps legislation is the last straw.   The resolution includes healthy spending increases for a variety of government departments. A continuing resolution funding most of the U.S. government expires next Friday.

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Feb 25 2009, 7:04AM

America invented everything

Two of Obama's claims from the SOTU:

We invented solar technology, but we've fallen behind countries like Germany and Japan in producing it.

and

I believe the nation that invented the automobile cannot walk away from it.  

After a period of prolonged study and meditation (ie, I consulted Wikipedia for 45 minutes after the speech), I have concluded that these claims are questionable at best and false at worst. Not quite sixteen words, we-invaded-Iraq-on-the-strength-of-this-information false. But probably false. Here is my evidence:

An English scientist by the name of Willoughby Smith first discovered that selenium was photoconductive, and a French scientist named Alexandre-Edmond Becquerel discovered the photovoltaic effect. That was the basis of "solar technology." That, and the English Chemist Edward Weston apparently holds the first American patent for a solar cell.

The history of automobiles is more complicated, but Wikipedia has the rundown here. In a nutshell: The British, French and Russians (!) had all developed some form of steam-powered automobile in the 18th century. (The British were apparently doing pretty well until something called the Locomotive Act of 1865 came along: It required that any motorized vehicle be preceded by a man waving a red flag. Talk about stifling innovation.)  Anyway, here's the kicker: "It is generally acknowledged the first automobiles with gasoline-powered internal combustion engines were completed almost simultaneously by several German inventors working independently." German inventors, it must be observed, are not American.

So who cares? Well, I'm a little bit irked by Obama's claim for two reasons. First, it's gratuitous, unappealing boosterism. Yes, America is great and its people are highly inventive. God bless America! But it just happens to be true that, in the case of solar technology and the automobile, the Europeans got there first. Claiming otherwise is both desperate and unnecessary, like copying homework in kindergarten. We should learn to settle for the atom bomb.

Second, as an argument for why we should we should continue to support certain technologies, Obama's point is laughable. The value of technical innovation isn't nationally contingent. In fact, one of the best things about technical innovation is that it's so easy to steal: a great invention in Luxembourg is still a great invention in Cleveland. We should be investing in the technologies that are most useful or with which we have the most comparative advantage, not the ones that happen to come out Cleveland. Even if Cleveland is a great city with highly inventive people. 

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Feb 24 2009, 10:45PM

Obama Speaks; Bloggers Blog

As President Obama gave his first State of the Union address to Congress and the nation tonight, the blogosphere saw some predictably partisan and spontaneously hilarious reactions. Here are some highlights:

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Feb 24 2009, 10:30PM

Get Yer White House Talking Points

After the jump...

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Feb 24 2009, 10:11PM

The Obama Synthesis

"I have political capital. I intend to spend it."
That was, of course, President Bush, the day after his re-election in 2005.

But as I listened to Obama tonight, those words kept running through my mind. It was a tough speech, threading the needle between sobriety about the times we live in and hope, and between the challenges we're facing (particularly in the economic and political environment) and the policies Obama wants to pursue.

Three Democrats before Obama won presidential elections with more than 50.1% of the vote: Andrew Jackson, FDR and LBJ.  This speech is not that different from what Obama promised Americans he'd do during the campaign. It's not a big mystery; Obama's been saying this for months.

Forget the nomenclature of what this speech is supposed to be. It's both grand and pedestrian; grand, from the perspective of history, which is that a Democratic president is making an unapologetic case for activist government, for comprehensive, integrated, values-based expensive solutions to major problems, and, indeed, is asserting that the times themselves require that effort.  Pedestrian -- because -- basically -- the speech reads as a President justifying his plans to expand government.

The key phrase of the speech was, to me, two words: "long-term investments." The spine of the speech holds up this premise -- the examples of Americans who've sacrificed, the history lesson, the implicit criticism of an elections-based worldview, the lensed look at the recent party-hardy past.  From Obama's perspective, the failures of the past -- or the collective failures that mushroomed into today's clouds -- require a plunge into activist government.

Virtually every Republican response has included something like this, which comes from Rep. Tom Price (R-GA) "...However, the President must recognize that demanding higher taxes and more government involvement are not the solutions Americans seek."  Well, the problem for Republicans is that, (a), Americans support Obama's tax plan as laid out during the campaign. (b), Americans are demanding more government involvement. Remember October 2008: the specter of socialism, as dredged up by the GOP, failed. And the problems weren't as bad as they are now! It's not as if the GOP didn't scream the phrase from the mighty mountain -- they had a presidential candidate's platform. In the closing weeks of the presidential campaign, Sen. McCain asked the American people to choose between smaller government of the conservative flavor or liberal government from Obama. Most chose the Obama option, even as the country retained some measure of a partisan cartography.   

An appropriate rebuttal would be to ask why, if Americans are so sold on government, Obama felt the need to justify its intervention in a speech. Well, the answer is that Obama and the Democratic Congress, having expanded the size of government, will now use its powers to reform institutions and systems -- really, the first time a government has done so since either the 1980s or the late 1960s. 

This is really a different era: here's what Obama says to Wall Street tonight:

 "I understand that on any given day, Wall Street may be more comforted by an approach that gives banks bailouts with no strings attached, and that holds nobody accountable for their reckless decisions."

Or, Obama lecturing high school students:

"
I ask every American to commit to at least one year or more of higher education or career training.  This can be community college or a four-year school; vocational training or an apprenticeship.  But whatever the training may be, every American will need to get more than a high school diploma.  And dropping out of high school is no longer an option.  It's not just quitting on yourself, it's quitting on your country - and this country needs and values the talents of every American.  That is why we will provide the support necessary for you to complete college and meet a new goal:  by 2020, America will once again have the highest proportion of college graduates in the world.  

Or, Obama promising that the "United States does not torture."

These words are meant to lay the rhetorical grounding for what one might call the Obama Synthesis. No longer will responsibility and fiscal discipline react with spending like matter with anti-matter. To produce equilibrium in government, health care and the economy in the future, the government needs to spend now, and take off the artificial, politically-driven constraints that have generally prevented bolder action.  So -- how to reconcile these opposites? Obama promises transparency and accountability, which are psychological counters to the idea that Big Government is bad in the first place. If government spends the money properly, it will contribute to economic growth, it will instill confidence in the American people, it will keep long-term interest rates in check, and deficits will be smaller, in the end, than what they would be if action isn't taken now.

Feb 24 2009, 9:16PM

Comment Here

I'll shut up until the speech is over. Your thoughts go here.

Feb 24 2009, 9:03PM

Speed Read: Obama Takes On Wall Street, The Banks, Promises To Reform Energy Policy First; Pledges No New Taxes For Those Making Less Than $250,000

The full speech is here. Some key excerpts:

Sound bite
: " Well that day of reckoning has arrived, and the time to take charge of our future is here."

On the banks

 "...[W]e will act with the full force of the federal government to ensure that the major banks that Americans depend on have enough confidence and enough money to lend even in more difficult times.  And when we learn that a major bank has serious problems, we will hold accountable those responsible, force the necessary adjustments, provide the support to clean up their balance sheets, and assure the continuity of a strong, viable institution that can serve our people and our economy."

To Wall Street:  

 " I understand that on any given day, Wall Street may be more comforted by an approach that gives banks bailouts with no strings attached, and that holds nobody accountable for their reckless decisions.  But such an approach won't solve the problem.  And our goal is to quicken the day when we re-start lending to the American people and American business and end this crisis once and for all."

On regulatory reform:

So I ask this Congress to join me in doing whatever proves necessary.  Because we cannot consign our nation to an open-ended recession.  And to ensure that a crisis of this magnitude never happens again, I ask Congress to move quickly on legislation that will finally reform our outdated regulatory system.  It is time to put in place tough, new common-sense rules of the road so that our financial market rewards drive and innovation, and punishes short-cuts and abuse.
On sacrifice:

My budget does not attempt to solve every problem or address every issue.  It reflects the stark reality of what we've inherited - a trillion dollar deficit, a financial crisis, and a costly recession.

Given these realities, everyone in this chamber - Democrats and Republicans - will have to sacrifice some worthy priorities for which there are no dollars.  And that includes me.

But that does not mean we can afford to ignore our long-term challenges.  I reject the view that says our problems will simply take care of themselves; that says government has no role in laying the foundation for our common prosperity.


On his priorities:

We are a nation that has seen promise amid peril, and claimed opportunity from ordeal.  Now we must be that nation again.  That is why, even as it cuts back on the programs we don't need, the budget I submit will invest in the three areas that are absolutely critical to our economic future:  energy, health care, and education.

It begins with energy.

On health care:

This budget builds on these reforms.  It includes an historic commitment to comprehensive health care reform - a down-payment on the principle that we must have quality, affordable health care for every American.  It's a commitment that's paid for in part by efficiencies in our system that are long overdue.  And it's a step we must take if we hope to bring down our deficit in the years to come.

Now, there will be many different opinions and ideas about how to achieve reform, and that is why I'm bringing together businesses and workers, doctors and health care providers, Democrats and Republicans to begin work on this issue next week.

I suffer no illusions that this will be an easy process.  It will be hard.  But I also know that nearly a century after Teddy Roosevelt first called for reform, the cost of our health care has weighed down our economy and the conscience of our nation long enough.  So let there be no doubt: health care reform cannot wait, it must not wait, and it will not wait another year.  
On fiscal discipline:

Yesterday, I held a fiscal summit where I pledged to cut the deficit in half by the end of my first term in office.  My administration has also begun to go line by line through the federal budget in order to eliminate wasteful and ineffective programs.  As you can imagine, this is a process that will take some time.  But we're starting with the biggest lines.  We have already identified two trillion dollars in savings over the next decade.

In this budget, we will end education programs that don't work and end direct payments to large agribusinesses that don't need them.  We'll eliminate the no-bid contracts that have wasted billions in Iraq, and reform our defense budget so that we're not paying for Cold War-era weapons systems we don't use.  We will root out the waste, fraud, and abuse in our Medicare program that doesn't make our seniors any healthier, and we will restore a sense of fairness and balance to our tax code by finally ending the tax breaks for corporations that ship our jobs overseas.

In order to save our children from a future of debt, we will also end the tax breaks for the wealthiest 2% of Americans.  But let me perfectly clear, because I know you'll hear the same old claims that rolling back these tax breaks means a massive tax increase on the American people:  if your family earns less than $250,000 a year, you will not see your taxes increased a single dime.  I repeat: not one single dime.  In fact, the recovery plan provides a tax cut - that's right, a tax cut - for 95% of working families.  And these checks are on the way. 

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Feb 24 2009, 8:02PM

Breaking Iraq News: Most Troops Out In 18 Months

An Associated Press dispatch out just now says that President Obama plans to announce later this week that he will order all U.S. combat troops out of Iraq by August 2010, roughly three months later than the timetable he proposed during the campaign, but, come to think of it, not all that different. A residual force of between 30,000 to 50,000 would remain in the country indefinitely. An administration official wouldn't confirm this to me, but said that Obama would discuss the matter on Friday, at Camp LeJeune, North Carolina.

Feb 24 2009, 7:30PM

Jindal: Don't Burden The Children

From published excerpts of Gov. Bobby Jindal's speech:

"Democratic leaders say their legislation will grow the economy.  What it will do is grow the government, increase our taxes down the line, and saddle future generations with debt.  Who among us would ask our children for a loan, so we could spend money we do not have, on things we do not need?  That is precisely what the Democrats in Congress just did.  It's irresponsible.  And it's no way to strengthen our economy, create jobs, or build a prosperous future for our children.

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Feb 24 2009, 7:26PM

Obama: The Case For Long-term Investments

Of the published excerpts from the President's speech tonight, here, I think, is the most important paragraph. Itals are mine.

But the only way to fully restore America's economic strength is to make the long-term investments that will lead to new jobs, new industries, and a renewed ability to compete with the rest of the world. The only way this century will be another American century is if we confront at last the price of our dependence on oil and the high cost of health care; the schools that aren't preparing our children and the mountain of debt they stand to inherit.  That is our responsibility.


 

 

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Feb 24 2009, 5:01PM

The Daily Five: Recess!

A daily  afternoon news summary, in five parts; what you need to know; also, a hint of science.

1. President Obama's speech will run approx. 50 to 60 minutes; Gov. Jindal's response runs 10-15;.....  Pollster Stan Greenberg is conducting dial groups for public consumption; the DNC is (probably) paying for dial groups of their own for consumption by the Axelrod/Gaspard shop at the White House. ..... Obama's average approval rating is... average, for presidents at the end of their first month. Gallup pegs the number as less than 60% "for the first time" since becoming president....defense hawks watch for Obama's indication of deep Pentagon budget cuts.....get Larry Summers some 5 Hour Energy! .... Ahead of speech, GOP and Dems spar over message; GOP's message: the government can't spend without a plan to pay for things, and Obama's budget plan risks burdening future generations...... The Dem message: the GOP has no credibility on fiscal responsibility whatsover ..... Sen. Schumer introduces legislation to force states to accept stimulus money.....Fed's Bernanke says that, with right mix of monetary policy and fiscal policy, recession could end this year.

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Feb 24 2009, 5:00PM

Jindal's Choice

"Hi, I'm Bobby Jindal, the governor the great state of Louisiana."

[State direction: wait a beat. Flash megawatt smile.] 

So far, so good.

Then it occurs to you, as it must have occurred to Jindal's speechwriters, that he is a Republican at a time when it is really, really difficult to be a Republican.

What happens at this juncture will determine how delicate and able a politician Mr. Jindal is. 

He could make a standard Republican case against socialism, against creeping nationalization, against government, against spending, against liberalism. This would be an easy speech to write, an easier speech to deliver, and the easiest type of speech to dismiss.  The old arguments don't work; the language that Republicans use has been discredited. Moreover, President Obama is popular. The Democrats are popular. Most of the President's policies are popular. The administration has successfully persuaded the American people that the economy won't begin to recover soon, that more pain is on the way, and that long-term recovery requires short term solutions that, just five years, would have been considered radical.

Or, he could thank Obama, and then put on his Louisiana ambassador hat; Jindal rarely grants interviews these days unless the main subject will be his state. Thanks to Jindal, there's a perception that Lousiana and good government are no longer mutually exclusive.

Or, he could thank Obama, and then move to talk about what Republican governors across "this great land" are doing to help Americans cope with the economic struggles. He can talk about his own efforts in Louisiana; he can talk about Charlie Crist's health care reforms in Florida; he can talk about Gov. Jon Huntsman's programmatic budgeting and health insurance proposal in Utah; he can talk about Gov. Schwarzenegger's political reforms. In other words, he could reestablish the idea of an idea meritocracy within the party and issue an implicit throwdown of sorts to other Republicans: this party ought to reward people who propose ideas to fix the country, and not politicians who get stuck in the base politics pander rut.  He could even reward politicians who've challenged Republican orthodoxy.

Jindal may feel compelled to explain why he wants to refuse the government's expanded held for unemployment insurance; he says he's worried that it will saddle states with an unfunded burden two years hence, but even fellow federalistic budget hawks like Gov. Mark Sanford of South Carolina can't bear to refuse money for such direct stimulus. (Is Jindal trying to advance his political cause at the expense of Louisiana's poor? No, but it's not entirely clear why he's choosing to make an example out of unemployment insurance, of all things.  It may be easier for him to discuss the perils of unfunded mandates generally.

There will be, and should be, constructive criticism of the President. The exigencies of crises do not erase the need for an opposition party, although Republicans have learn the art of taquete - tip-toe steps - rather than the regular partisan boot-stomping.  Realistically, he knows that the economic crisis and the government's response to it are both just beginning; the process has to unwind for a while, and predicting the future is next to impossible. 

In general, his goals will be modest. I've seen Jindal up close; one on one, he's compelling. As a formal speaker, he is not particularly charismatic. How he'll come off on camera is real question.  He's a measured, thoughtful and easy-going fellow, so he's not going to scintillate. Indeed, his temperament might be tonally correct for our times; prudent, sober, but optimistic. In the abstract, he needs to give the American people a reason to believe that an opposition party is necessary; more prosaically, he can begin a rewrite of the mathematical formulas that govern Republican Party politics.  It's his choice.

 

Feb 24 2009, 4:08PM

What's Dennis Ross's Job? Not An Envoy...An "Adviser"

Check out this fascinating exchange between reporters and a State Department spokesperson, Robert Wood.

QUESTION:  Dennis Ross?

MR. WOOD:  Yeah. 

QUESTION:  What is he in charge exactly of? 

MR. WOOD:  Well, Dennis is -  

QUESTION:  Is it Iran?  And if it's not Iran - if it's Iran, why is it not written in the statement? 

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Feb 24 2009, 3:39PM

Something Both Parties Can Agree On

Just eight days after a pet chimpanzee mauled and critically injured a Connecticut woman, the House has managed to pass legislation outlawing interstate commerce for primates as pets. The bill, introduced by Reps. Earl Blumenauer (D-OR) and Mark Kirk (R-IL), passed by an overwhelming 323 to 95 margin. Who says bipartisanship is dead?

Feb 24 2009, 3:34PM

QOTD

I don't even know the congressional leadership.

Feb 24 2009, 3:30PM

How's It Playing?

Editorial boards across the "purple states" are looking ahead to President Obama's budget address, and continuing to assess the local implications of the passage of the stimulus package:

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Feb 24 2009, 3:04PM

No Formal Repercussions Likely from RNC for Stimulus Defectors

News that RNC Chairman Michael Steele might support primary opponents for the three GOP stimulus defectors has made the rounds in the blogosphere today--but was Steele serious when he made the suggestion yesterday, pressed by Neil Cavuto in a TV interview? According to an RNC official, there are no plans to break from traditional RNC policy--which is to stay out of primaries unless state parties choose to endorse--in the cases of Sens. Snowe (ME), Collins (ME), and Specter (PA).

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Feb 24 2009, 1:47PM

Just Asking...Answered

Re: Dennis Ross's stealth appointment as envoy to a nebulously defined Middle East region that does not include Iran. I speculated about internal dissension. But here's another angle: what if the administration wants to manage expectations? They don't want to appear to eager to engage Iran; they haven't finished their Iran policy review; it wouldn't make sense to formally introduce Ross without a policy directive and a clear plan in mind. On the other hand, the man needs to get to work. So: just announce that he's joining the team. And try to leave as minimal a footprint as possible. This explanation, which did not come from the administration, strikes me as more plausible.

Feb 24 2009, 1:36PM

Republicans Face Recruiting Challenges

Add Kentucky State Senate President David Williams to the list of Republicans who are resisting recruitment efforts by some national Republicans. Some Republican officials want Williams to challenge Sen. Jim Bunning in a primary, hoping that Bunning will yield to pressure and step down voluntarily. The National Republican Senatorial Committee insists that it would back Bunning in a primary, to which one might respond -- yes, but aren't you quietly backing efforts to convince other Republicans to take a look?  (Actually, come to think of it, Bunning couldn't be defeated in a primary anyway). Taking the NRSC at their word that they're OK with Bunning running for re-election, though, they can't be terribly happy with all the leaks that emanate from Republican circles.  (Bunning today threatened to sue the NRSC.)

The upshot is that it seems that Sen. John Cornyn and co. are having a tough time finding viable candidates to run for the Senate -- though it's not necessarily their fault.

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Feb 24 2009, 12:24PM

Just Asking....

Why was Dennis Ross's appointment as U.S. envoy announced not at a formal event but in a statement from the acting state department press secretary? Since Ross's portfolio includes Iran, more ceremony would have been expected, no? And why the long delay between the leak of the pending appointment and the appointment itself? Are the various State envoys experiencing envy about each other's portfolio?

Feb 24 2009, 11:31AM

Chu Works to Get the Green Cash Flowing

After environmentalists and mainstream politicians alike succeeded in dedicating a good chunk of President Obama's stimulus package to green energy, Obama's new energy secretary has been working on ways to make that happen more efficiently. Last week, Energy Secretary Steven Chu (who holds a Nobel Prize in physics) announced a slew of reforms to how the department doles out money, and a department official says more are on the way. The goal: streamlining the process so stimulus dollars can get spent sooner.

Many have posed the economic crisis as an opportunity for green revolution, and at a roundtable discussion on energy yesterday at the Newseum, the economy/energy/environment nexus was on the tip of many tongues.

"We have a plan going forward where we can reduce what could have been years down to months, and we feel very strongly that this thing will work," Chu said of DoE spending as luminaries such as Bill Cinton, Al Gore, T. Boone Pickens, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi listened.

Chu's reforms include rolling appraisals of applications for loans and funding, using outside contractors to underwrite loans, more staff and resources to process applications, and simplifying application paperwork. Chu has appointed Matt Rogers, a former senior partner at consulting giant McKinsey & Company, who also worked on energy procurement reform as part of Obama's transition team, to implement these reforms and oversee the stimulus money.

The stimulus placed $38.7 billion in the department's hands, with heavy emphases on alternative energy, efficiency, and infrastructure modernization. DoE says it will start offering loan guarantees under stimulus provisions early this summer, and that 70 percent of the stimulus cash will be spent by the end of next year.

To hear politicians and activists talk about the timing of stimulus cash flow, "now" seems to be the only acceptable answer. A significant part of Chu's job, so far, has been changing the way the department operates in order to make that happen.

Feb 24 2009, 11:31AM

The White House Will Get Its Labor Secretary

According to labor and Senate sources, there will be a vote later this afternoon on the confirmation of Hilda Solis as labor secretary. It's an up or down vote (thank Republicans, you guys, for agreeing to one), and so Solis is slated for confirmation. Republicans held up the vote as a way to protest "card check" legislation down the pike; they've made their point; given that 'card check' is not on deck, there's no reason to delay her anymore.

Feb 24 2009, 9:59AM

Tales From The Acne

Watching Prof. Obama hold court yesterday made for surprisingly compelling television. Even more interesting were the non-televised breakout sessions. After the jump, the highlights, including an irritible John McCain, the prospects for a commission on long-term budget reform, Sen. Baucus's expectation of a 70-vote margin on health care reform, the floating of a VAT, Rep. Rangel's tax reform preferences, and more.

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Feb 23 2009, 6:30PM

Americans Confident in Obama, Skeptical of Detroit

As President Obama gets ready to address Congress and the nation in his first State of the Union, a poll from CBS/NY Times shows the public confident in his economic decision-making; Chrysler and G.M., meanwhile, didn't fare so well. 76 percent are at least somewhat confident Obama will make the right decisions on the economy (31 percent "very confident," 45 percent "somewhat"), while 68 percent said the government should not send more federal assistance to the automakers, as requested. A Treasury spokesman said "everything is on the table" for saving the automakers, but, if saying "no" is the right answer in most Americans' eyes, the logical implication is that most think Obama will turn down the request. Intrade is not taking bets, as of yet.

Feb 23 2009, 4:24PM

QOTD

I apologize if my comments offended Justice Ginsberg [sic]. That certainly was not my intent.  It is great to see her back at the Supreme Court today and I hope she recovers quickly.  My thoughts and prayers are with her and her family.

Feb 23 2009, 4:10PM

The Daily Five: Obey's Doc; Rattner's New Job

A late afternoon news summary..........all you need to know......a regular feature? We shall see.

1.Bing, bing bing. Dow and S&P down 4.3%; "lowest level since 1997".. ..... President Obama spends part of the day with Axelrod, Favreau, working on budget speech.....he promises to return to "Pay-Go" budgeting as soon as possible. ...  Obama says that Marine One helicopter "seems perfectly adequate" to him; expensive new copters are under review and are example of "procurement process gone amok.".... Democrats say that AARP's Bill Novelli is being pushed by some close to Obama as HHS secretary.....

2. Administration officials, in public and private, say that health care reform and Medicare fixes go hand-in-hand and are the top priority; Social Security reform will be put off. ..... Rahm Emanuel gives help to a seizure victim.....2.  Rep. Obey unveils $410b omnibus appropriations bill to fund government thru 2009; vows to roll back Bush administration spending cuts. ... Governors happy that Obama admin. releases $15b in Medicaid funds....Quadrangle Group's Steven Rattner officially joins Treasury as counselor to the Secretary. He was formerly slated to be "car czar."......Amex is paying cardholders to close their accounts.

3 Henry Blodget says Citigroup is trying to 'screw' the taxpayers....... Which Lieberman do you like better?..... Dark (vacuum) energy may obscure cosmic background radiation to the point where future generations might not be able to detect evidence of Big Bang...

4. Sen. Jim Bunning (R-KY) apologizes for doomsaying w/r/t Justice Ginsburg; he misspells her name in apology. ... New CBS News/New York Times poll out at 6:30 pm ET tonight.....CNN poll says Americans have "high" confidence in President and Congress; very little confidence in Wall Street and auto execs. (Now do you understand why the White House is eager to Santelli-ize the opposition?)

5. Obama announced Elizabeth Jarvis-Shean as research director, ex-CAP VP Daniella Gibbs Leger as director of message events, Dag Vega as director of broadcast media (he's the guy who books for the Sunday shows), Dana E. Singiser as an assisant for legislative affairs, regional communications directors Amy Brundage, Moira Mack Muntz and Gannett Tseggai, Jason Djang as deputy director for video, Corey Ealons as director of African American media outreach, Shin Inoyue as director of specialty media, Jesse Lee as online programs director, Katherine Lyons as deputy director of message events, Luis Miranada as director for Hispanic media, Katie Stanton as "director of citizen participation," Joelle Terry as deputy director of message events, and everyone's favorite press wrangler, Samantha Tubman, as assistant social secretary.

Feb 23 2009, 4:02PM

DCCC Targets Putnam's (Safe?) Seat

The Democratic Congressional Committee (DCCC) released its new list of targets today, and among them is Rep. Adam Putnam (R-Fla.), a former member of the House GOP leadership who hails from a Republican stronghold district--and who won't be seeking reelection in 2010. Putnam's working-class Central Florida district has voted Republican (namely, for him) by at least 57 percent in the last three elections, but growing numbers of Hispanics and African Americans have been credited with making it slightly friendlier to Dems of late. Consequently, Putnam's soon-to-be-ex-constituents will start receiving DCCC robocalls slamming his vote against the stimulus. Despite the drubbings they've received there in previous years (in 2004, Democrat Bob Hagenmaier collected only 35 percent of the vote), and despite no superstar candidate having emerged to challenge the GOP in 2010, Democrats are projecting confidence and, evidently, think the seat is worth time and money at this early stage.

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Feb 23 2009, 3:49PM

OFA Begins To Raise Money

Now part of the Democratic National Committee, Organizing for America is hosting its first grassroots fundraiser on Feb. 26.  $250 gets you a VIP ticket; among the celebs in attendance: Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA). (An organizer tells me now that Warner is unconfirmed, but that Reps. Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Eric Massa will attend. $44 gets you generally admitted. About 500 young activist types have RSVPd, a pretty impressive number because Warner isn't really that much of a celebrity to them. The idea is that these 500 folks don't want to pay to schmooze; they really want to move OFA along.

Feb 23 2009, 1:30PM

The Politics Of The Citibank Tango

Citibank is teetering on the edge, with its shares trading under $2 as of Friday, and, almost as importantly, with the bank's alleged/perceived/unacknowledged solvency issues becoming part of the political culture.

Today, regulators, Treasury officials and bank executives are working through a plan that would inject the bank with billions in new capital. At the same time, they're asking Wall Street to calm its collective nervous system. The government won't pull Citibank into receivership, but a jittery stock market might force their hand.

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Feb 23 2009, 1:17PM

Woodhouse Replacing Finney As DNC Comms Director

The Democratic National Committee will soon announce that Democratic coalitions guru Brad Woodhouse will become communications director, an official said today. Woodhouse, a senior campaign adviser to Obama, has served as executive director of Americans United for Change, which organizes and runs media campaigns on behalf of Democratic causes. Woodhouse was asked to take the job within the past 24 hours, capping an extensive search. He will report to DNC executive director Jennifer O'Malley Dillon.  Karen Finney, the outgoing DNC comms director, is leaving to hang her own shingle. Among her clients: former DNC chairman Howard Dean. Finney is a former top aide to  Sec. of State Hillary Clinton when Clinton was first lady.

Feb 23 2009, 12:24PM

Holder Gets the Ball Rolling on Detainees

Slated to visit Guantanamo today, Attorney General Eric Holder this morning created a Department of Justice task force to review the cases of detainees and make recommendations on what to do with them as the prison's mandated closure looms. The task force will report to a panel of high-level officials from the Departments of State, Defense, and Homeland Security, as well as the offices of the Director of National Intelligence and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Interestingly enough, the task force's Executive Director, Matthew G. Olsen, became a senior member the department's National Security Division during Alberto Gonzales's tenure as AG in 2006.

Feb 23 2009, 11:29AM

Greenberg: Penn's Methods "Rigged"

Stan Greenberg, polling guru for President Bill Clinton's 1992 campaign, takes some shots at much-criticized pollster Mark Penn in his new book recounting his prominent campaign work -- some of it in conjunction with Penn. Among the juiciest: Greenberg accuses Penn's polling methods of being "rigged." Penn supplanted Greenberg both on Clinton's team and on the British Labour Party's 2005 campaign, and it was the latter experience from which the "rigged" accusation springs. Though rife with sour grapes and potentially motivated by vendetta, Greenberg's accusations echo some made after Penn's unsuccessful stint as top man on Hillary's primary run, according to Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com.  Penn responds that his "surveys for the Labor Party as "extremely accurate," says Greenberg was excluded from information because he was "not in the loop," and describes Greenberg's attacks as inaccurate and "unsubstantiated." 

 

Feb 23 2009, 9:00AM

Government: Big Banks Are Well Capitalized

This morning, ahead of the opening bells, the Treasury Department, FDIC, office of the comptroller of the currency, the office of thrift supervision and the Federal Reserve Board issued a fairly audacious joint statement: the big banks, they say, are well capitalized, and it remains the preference of this government to leave them in private hands.  The statement comes  in the wake of news reports suggesting that the Feds are negotiating with Citigroup to take as much as 40% of a stake in the company. However...


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Feb 23 2009, 8:37AM

Obama's Budget Projects Ten Years Out

President Obama first budget, to be revealed in outline form later this week is based on ten years' worth of economic projects, not the usual five, according to a senior administration official.

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Feb 23 2009, 8:19AM

An Honest Budget

In prepping Washington for its budget surgery, the administration has treated us to an abdominal sonogram. Some of the viscera -- tax increases, some cuts -- are visible now, but the outline itself is fuzzy.

Politically, a lot of the questions the Beltway wants to know -- will it kill the Bush tax cuts (yes), will it keep the estate tax (yes), will it incorporate costs from Afghanistan and Iraq (yes) -- have been answered.

But there's a lot we don't know. 

I asked David Walker, the U.S.  former comptroller-general who is president of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation, what would constitute a budget that is honest and serious about discipline and reform.  These are his queries:

Does the budget go out at least 10 years?  [Ed note: We know it goes out at least five....] 

What type of annual growth rate in spending is assumed?

If budget savings are forecast, then what specific proposals are the basis for such savings?

What is being proposed in connection with expiring provisions (e.g., Bush tax cuts) and an AMT fix?  [Ed note: we know that Obama will let the tax cuts for upper income brackets expire, and that the money will be used to help reduce the deficit in half by 2013]

What is being proposed with the regard to the temporary assistance provisions in the stimulus bill?

What new initiatives are proposed and what is the basis for any related budget estimates? [Ed note: there are hints that Obama has endorsed a down payment of sorts for his health reform plan; the money would come in theory, from the cancellation of Medicare Advantage, and other unspecified offsets.]

How long do they assume the recession will last?

What additional bailout, assistance, stimulus or other proposals are included?

What economic growth rates are assumed for the next few years and as an ultimate assumptions?**

What spending reforms he'll propose are also unknown. 

Obama has promised a "Grand Bargain," wherein his administration will apply long-term fixes to entitlements and the health care system in exchange for some sacrifice, such as bowing to the reality of higher premiums for a much-expanded Medicare program.

Feb 23 2009, 8:19AM

Will Obama Veto 5,000 Earmarks?

Before the inauguration, incoming administration officials would point to the February-March debate about extending the omnibus funding bill Congress used to keep the government running as a key test of the President's commitment to fiscal discipline.  The $410 billion omnibus continuing resolution isn't his bill; its 5,000 earmarks weren't added under his watch. But now, the money goes through only with his signature.  With everything else going on, it's  not likely that the White House will fight Congress over the omnibus. But it's worth noting that, at one point, that option was on the table. BTW: terms confuse. The money I'm writing about is for 2009, unless Obama wants to re-open the budget. This week, he's proposing an outline for 2010 spending.

Feb 22 2009, 9:00PM

Obama's Speech To The Nation

 

Remarks of President Barack Obama - As Prepared for Delivery

Address to Joint Session of Congress

Tuesday, February 24th, 2009

 

 

Madame Speaker, Mr. Vice President, Members of Congress, and the First Lady of the United States:

 

I've come here tonight not only to address the distinguished men and women in this great chamber, but to speak frankly and directly to the men and women who sent us here. 

 

I know that for many Americans watching right now, the state of our economy is a concern that rises above all others.  And rightly so.  If you haven't been personally affected by this recession, you probably know someone who has - a friend; a neighbor; a member of your family.  You don't need to hear another list of statistics to know that our economy is in crisis, because you live it every day.  It's the worry you wake up with and the source of sleepless nights.  It's the job you thought you'd retire from but now have lost; the business you built your dreams upon that's now hanging by a thread; the college acceptance letter your child had to put back in the envelope.  The impact of this recession is real, and it is everywhere.    

 

But while our economy may be weakened and our confidence shaken; though we are living through difficult and uncertain times, tonight I want every American to know this:

 

We will rebuild, we will recover, and the United States of America will emerge stronger than before. 

 

The weight of this crisis will not determine the destiny of this nation.  The answers to our problems don't lie beyond our reach.  They exist in our laboratories and universities; in our fields and our factories; in the imaginations of our entrepreneurs and the pride of the hardest-working people on Earth.  Those qualities that have made America the greatest force of progress and prosperity in human history we still possess in ample measure.  What is required now is for this country to pull together, confront boldly the challenges we face, and take responsibility for our future once more.

 

Now, if we're honest with ourselves, we'll admit that for too long, we have not always met these responsibilities - as a government or as a people.  I say this not to lay blame or look backwards, but because it is only by understanding how we arrived at this moment that we'll be able to lift ourselves out of this predicament. 

 

The fact is, our economy did not fall into decline overnight.  Nor did all of our problems begin when the housing market collapsed or the stock market sank.  We have known for decades that our survival depends on finding new sources of energy.  Yet we import more oil today than ever before.  The cost of health care eats up more and more of our savings each year, yet we keep delaying reform.  Our children will compete for jobs in a global economy that too many of our schools do not prepare them for.  And though all these challenges went unsolved, we still managed to spend more money and pile up more debt, both as individuals and through our government, than ever before.

 

In other words, we have lived through an era where too often, short-term gains were prized over long-term prosperity; where we failed to look beyond the next payment, the next quarter, or the next election.  A surplus became an excuse to transfer wealth to the wealthy instead of an opportunity to invest in our future.  Regulations were gutted for the sake of a quick profit at the expense of a healthy market.  People bought homes they knew they couldn't afford from banks and lenders who pushed those bad loans anyway.  And all the while, critical debates and difficult decisions were put off for some other time on some other day. 

 

Well that day of reckoning has arrived, and the time to take charge of our future is here.

 

Now is the time to act boldly and wisely - to not only revive this economy, but to build a new foundation for lasting prosperity.  Now is the time to jumpstart job creation, re-start lending, and invest in areas like energy, health care, and education that will grow our economy, even as we make hard choices to bring our deficit down.  That is what my economic agenda is designed to do, and that's what I'd like to talk to you about tonight. 

 

It's an agenda that begins with jobs. 

 

As soon as I took office, I asked this Congress to send me a recovery plan by President's Day that would put people back to work and put money in their pockets.  Not because I believe in bigger government - I don't.  Not because I'm not mindful of the massive debt we've inherited - I am.  I called for action because the failure to do so would have cost more jobs and caused more hardships.  In fact, a failure to act would have worsened our long-term deficit by assuring weak economic growth for years.  That's why I pushed for quick action.  And tonight, I am grateful that this Congress delivered, and pleased to say that the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act is now law.   

 

Over the next two years, this plan will save or create 3.5 million jobs.  More than 90% of these jobs will be in the private sector - jobs rebuilding our roads and bridges; constructing wind turbines and solar panels; laying broadband and expanding mass transit.

 

Because of this plan, there are teachers who can now keep their jobs and educate our kids.  Health care professionals can continue caring for our sick.  There are 57 police officers who are still on the streets of Minneapolis tonight because this plan prevented the layoffs their department was about to make. 

 

Because of this plan, 95% of the working households in America will receive a tax cut - a tax cut that you will see in your paychecks beginning on April 1st.

 

Because of this plan, families who are struggling to pay tuition costs will receive a $2,500 tax credit for all four years of college.  And Americans who have lost their jobs in this recession will be able to receive extended unemployment benefits and continued health care coverage to help them weather this storm. 

 

I know there are some in this chamber and watching at home who are skeptical of whether this plan will work.  I understand that skepticism.  Here in Washington, we've all seen how quickly good intentions can turn into broken promises and wasteful spending.  And with a plan of this scale comes enormous responsibility to get it right.

 

That is why I have asked Vice President Biden to lead a tough, unprecedented oversight effort - because nobody messes with Joe.  I have told each member of my Cabinet as well as mayors and governors across the country that they will be held accountable by me and the American people for every dollar they spend.  I have appointed a proven and aggressive Inspector General to ferret out any and all cases of waste and fraud.  And we have created a new website called recovery.gov so that every American can find out how and where their money is being spent. 

 

So the recovery plan we passed is the first step in getting our economy back on track.  But it is just the first step.  Because even if we manage this plan flawlessly, there will be no real recovery unless we clean up the credit crisis that has severely weakened our financial system.

 

I want to speak plainly and candidly about this issue tonight, because every American should know that it directly affects you and your family's well-being.  You should also know that the money you've deposited in banks across the country is safe; your insurance is secure; and you can rely on the continued operation of our financial system.  That is not the source of concern.

 

The concern is that if we do not re-start lending in this country, our recovery will be choked off before it even begins. 

 

You see, the flow of credit is the lifeblood of our economy.  The ability to get a loan is how you finance the purchase of everything from a home to a car to a college education; how stores stock their shelves, farms buy equipment, and businesses make payroll.

 

But credit has stopped flowing the way it should.  Too many bad loans from the housing crisis have made their way onto the books of too many banks.  With so much debt and so little confidence, these banks are now fearful of lending out any more money to households, to businesses, or to each other.  When there is no lending, families can't afford to buy homes or cars.  So businesses are forced to make layoffs.  Our economy suffers even more, and credit dries up even further. 

 

That is why this administration is moving swiftly and aggressively to break this destructive cycle, restore confidence, and re-start lending.

 

We will do so in several ways.  First, we are creating a new lending fund that represents the largest effort ever to help provide auto loans, college loans, and small business loans to the consumers and entrepreneurs who keep this economy running.   

 

Second, we have launched a housing plan that will help responsible families facing the threat of foreclosure lower their monthly payments and re-finance their mortgages.  It's a plan that won't help speculators or that neighbor down the street who bought a house he could never hope to afford, but it will help millions of Americans who are struggling with declining home values - Americans who will now be able to take advantage of the lower interest rates that this plan has already helped bring about.  In fact, the average family who re-finances today can save nearly $2000 per year on their mortgage.   

 

Third, we will act with the full force of the federal government to ensure that the major banks that Americans depend on have enough confidence and enough money to lend even in more difficult times.  And when we learn that a major bank has serious problems, we will hold accountable those responsible, force the necessary adjustments, provide the support to clean up their balance sheets, and assure the continuity of a strong, viable institution that can serve our people and our economy.

 

I understand that on any given day, Wall Street may be more comforted by an approach that gives banks bailouts with no strings attached, and that holds nobody accountable for their reckless decisions.  But such an approach won't solve the problem.  And our goal is to quicken the day when we re-start lending to the American people and American business and end this crisis once and for all.

 

I intend to hold these banks fully accountable for the assistance they receive, and this time, they will have to clearly demonstrate how taxpayer dollars result in more lending for the American taxpayer.  This time, CEOs won't be able to use taxpayer money to pad their paychecks or buy fancy drapes or disappear on a private jet.  Those days are over. 

 

Still, this plan will require significant resources from the federal government - and yes, probably more than we've already set aside.  But while the cost of action will be great, I can assure you that the cost of inaction will be far greater, for it could result in an economy that sputters along for not months or years, but perhaps a decade.  That would be worse for our deficit, worse for business, worse for you, and worse for the next generation.  And I refuse to let that happen.     

 

I understand that when the last administration asked this Congress to provide assistance for struggling banks, Democrats and Republicans alike were infuriated by the mismanagement and results that followed.  So were the American taxpayers.  So was I. 

 

So I know how unpopular it is to be seen as helping banks right now, especially when everyone is suffering in part from their bad decisions.  I promise you - I get it. 

 

But I also know that in a time of crisis, we cannot afford to govern out of anger, or yield to the politics of the moment.  My job - our job - is to solve the problem.  Our job is to govern with a sense of responsibility.  I will not spend a single penny for the purpose of rewarding a single Wall Street executive, but I will do whatever it takes to help the small business that can't pay its workers or the family that has saved and still can't get a mortgage. 

 

That's what this is about.  It's not about helping banks - it's about helping people.  Because when credit is available again, that young family can finally buy a new home.  And then some company will hire workers to build it.  And then those workers will have money to spend, and if they can get a loan too, maybe they'll finally buy that car, or open their own business.  Investors will return to the market, and American families will see their retirement secured once more.  Slowly, but surely, confidence will return, and our economy will recover.     

 

So I ask this Congress to join me in doing whatever proves necessary.  Because we cannot consign our nation to an open-ended recession.  And to ensure that a crisis of this magnitude never happens again, I ask Congress to move quickly on legislation that will finally reform our outdated regulatory system.  It is time to put in place tough, new common-sense rules of the road so that our financial market rewards drive and innovation, and punishes short-cuts and abuse. 

 

The recovery plan and the financial stability plan are the immediate steps we're taking to revive our economy in the short-term.  But the only way to fully restore America's economic strength is to make the long-term investments that will lead to new jobs, new industries, and a renewed ability to compete with the rest of the world. The only way this century will be another American century is if we confront at last the price of our dependence on oil and the high cost of health care; the schools that aren't preparing our children and the mountain of debt they stand to inherit.  That is our responsibility.

 

In the next few days, I will submit a budget to Congress.  So often, we have come to view these documents as simply numbers on a page or laundry lists of programs.  I see this document differently.  I see it as a vision for America - as a blueprint for our future.

 

My budget does not attempt to solve every problem or address every issue.  It reflects the stark reality of what we've inherited - a trillion dollar deficit, a financial crisis, and a costly recession. 

 

Given these realities, everyone in this chamber - Democrats and Republicans - will have to sacrifice some worthy priorities for which there are no dollars.  And that includes me.  

 

But that does not mean we can afford to ignore our long-term challenges.  I reject the view that says our problems will simply take care of themselves; that says government has no role in laying the foundation for our common prosperity.

 

For history tells a different story.  History reminds us that at every moment of economic upheaval and transformation, this nation has responded with bold action and big ideas.  In the midst of civil war, we laid railroad tracks from one coast to another that spurred commerce and industry.  From the turmoil of the Industrial Revolution came a system of public high schools that prepared our citizens for a new age.  In the wake of war and depression, the GI Bill sent a generation to college and created the largest middle-class in history.  And a twilight struggle for freedom led to a nation of highways, an American on the moon, and an explosion of technology that still shapes our world. 

 

In each case, government didn't supplant private enterprise; it catalyzed private enterprise.  It created the conditions for thousands of entrepreneurs and new businesses to adapt and to thrive. 

 

We are a nation that has seen promise amid peril, and claimed opportunity from ordeal.  Now we must be that nation again.  That is why, even as it cuts back on the programs we don't need, the budget I submit will invest in the three areas that are absolutely critical to our economic future:  energy, health care, and education. 

 

It begins with energy. 

 

We know the country that harnesses the power of clean, renewable energy will lead the 21st century.  And yet, it is China that has launched the largest effort in history to make their economy energy efficient.  We invented solar technology, but we've fallen behind countries like Germany and Japan in producing it.  New plug-in hybrids roll off our assembly lines, but they will run on batteries made in Korea. 

 

Well I do not accept a future where the jobs and industries of tomorrow take root beyond our borders - and I know you don't either.  It is time for America to lead again. 

 

Thanks to our recovery plan, we will double this nation's supply of renewable energy in the next three years.  We have also made the largest investment in basic research funding in American history - an investment that will spur not only new discoveries in energy, but breakthroughs in medicine, science, and technology. 

 

We will soon lay down thousands of miles of power lines that can carry new energy to cities and towns across this country.  And we will put Americans to work making our homes and buildings more efficient so that we can save billions of dollars on our energy bills. 

 

But to truly transform our economy, protect our security, and save our planet from the ravages of climate change, we need to ultimately make clean, renewable energy the profitable kind of energy.  So I ask this Congress to send me legislation that places a market-based cap on carbon pollution and drives the production of more renewable energy in America.  And to support that innovation, we will invest fifteen billion dollars a year to develop technologies like wind power and solar power; advanced biofuels, clean coal, and more fuel-efficient cars and trucks built right here in America.

 

As for our auto industry, everyone recognizes that years of bad decision-making and a global recession have pushed our automakers to the brink.  We should not, and will not, protect them from their own bad practices.  But we are committed to the goal of a re-tooled, re-imagined auto industry that can compete and win.  Millions of jobs depend on it.  Scores of communities depend on it.  And I believe the nation that invented the automobile cannot walk away from it. 

 

None of this will come without cost, nor will it be easy.  But this is America.  We don't do what's easy.  We do what is necessary to move this country forward.

 

For that same reason, we must also address the crushing cost of health care.   

 

This is a cost that now causes a bankruptcy in America every thirty seconds.  By the end of the year, it could cause 1.5 million Americans to lose their homes.  In the last eight years, premiums have grown four times faster than wages.  And in each of these years, one million more Americans have lost their health insurance.  It is one of the major reasons why small businesses close their doors and corporations ship jobs overseas.  And it's one of the largest and fastest-growing parts of our budget. 

 

Given these facts, we can no longer afford to put health care reform on hold.

 

Already, we have done more to advance the cause of health care reform in the last thirty days than we have in the last decade.  When it was days old, this Congress passed a law to provide and protect health insurance for eleven million American children whose parents work full-time.  Our recovery plan will invest in electronic health records and new technology that will reduce errors, bring down costs, ensure privacy, and save lives.  It will launch a new effort to conquer a disease that has touched the life of nearly every American by seeking a cure for cancer in our time.  And it makes the largest investment ever in preventive care, because that is one of the best ways to keep our people healthy and our costs under control. 

 

This budget builds on these reforms.  It includes an historic commitment to comprehensive health care reform - a down-payment on the principle that we must have quality, affordable health care for every American.  It's a commitment that's paid for in part by efficiencies in our system that are long overdue.  And it's a step we must take if we hope to bring down our deficit in the years to come. 

 

Now, there will be many different opinions and ideas about how to achieve reform, and that is why I'm bringing together businesses and workers, doctors and health care providers, Democrats and Republicans to begin work on this issue next week. 

 

I suffer no illusions that this will be an easy process.  It will be hard.  But I also know that nearly a century after Teddy Roosevelt first called for reform, the cost of our health care has weighed down our economy and the conscience of our nation long enough.  So let there be no doubt: health care reform cannot wait, it must not wait, and it will not wait another year.     

 

The third challenge we must address is the urgent need to expand the promise of education in America.   

 

In a global economy where the most valuable skill you can sell is your knowledge, a good education is no longer just a pathway to opportunity - it is a pre-requisite.    

 

Right now, three-quarters of the fastest-growing occupations require more than a high school diploma.  And yet, just over half of our citizens have that level of education.  We have one of the highest high school dropout rates of any industrialized nation.  And half of the students who begin college never finish. 

 

This is a prescription for economic decline, because we know the countries that out-teach us today will out-compete us tomorrow.  That is why it will be the goal of this administration to ensure that every child has access to a complete and competitive education - from the day they are born to the day they begin a career. 

 

Already, we have made an historic investment in education through the economic recovery plan.  We have dramatically expanded early childhood education and will continue to improve its quality, because we know that the most formative learning comes in those first years of life.  We have made college affordable for nearly seven million more students.  And we have provided the resources necessary to prevent painful cuts and teacher layoffs that would set back our children's progress. 

 

But we know that our schools don't just need more resources.  They need more reform.  That is why this budget creates new incentives for teacher performance; pathways for advancement, and rewards for success.  We'll invest in innovative programs that are already helping schools meet high standards and close achievement gaps.  And we will expand our commitment to charter schools.  

 

It is our responsibility as lawmakers and educators to make this system work.  But it is the responsibility of every citizen to participate in it.  And so tonight, I ask every American to commit to at least one year or more of higher education or career training.  This can be community college or a four-year school; vocational training or an apprenticeship.  But whatever the training may be, every American will need to get more than a high school diploma.  And dropping out of high school is no longer an option.  It's not just quitting on yourself, it's quitting on your country - and this country needs and values the talents of every American.  That is why we will provide the support necessary for you to complete college and meet a new goal:  by 2020, America will once again have the highest proportion of college graduates in the world.  

 

I know that the price of tuition is higher than ever, which is why if you are willing to volunteer in your neighborhood or give back to your community or serve your country, we will make sure that you can afford a higher education.  And to encourage a renewed spirit of national service for this and future generations, I ask this Congress to send me the bipartisan legislation that bears the name of Senator Orrin Hatch as well as an American who has never stopped asking what he can do for his country - Senator Edward Kennedy. 

 

These education policies will open the doors of opportunity for our children.  But it is up to us to ensure they walk through them.  In the end, there is no program or policy that can substitute for a mother or father who will attend those parent/teacher conferences, or help with homework after dinner, or turn off the TV, put away the video games, and read to their child.  I speak to you not just as a President, but as a father when I say that responsibility for our children's education must begin at home. 

 

There is, of course, another responsibility we have to our children.  And that is the responsibility to ensure that we do not pass on to them a debt they cannot pay.  With the deficit we inherited, the cost of the crisis we face, and the long-term challenges we must meet, it has never been more important to ensure that as our economy recovers, we do what it takes to bring this deficit down.

 

I'm proud that we passed the recovery plan free of earmarks, and I want to pass a budget next year that ensures that each dollar we spend reflects only our most important national priorities. 

 

Yesterday, I held a fiscal summit where I pledged to cut the deficit in half by the end of my first term in office.  My administration has also begun to go line by line through the federal budget in order to eliminate wasteful and ineffective programs.  As you can imagine, this is a process that will take some time.  But we're starting with the biggest lines.  We have already identified two trillion dollars in savings over the next decade.

 

In this budget, we will end education programs that don't work and end direct payments to large agribusinesses that don't need them.  We'll eliminate the no-bid contracts that have wasted billions in Iraq, and reform our defense budget so that we're not paying for Cold War-era weapons systems we don't use.  We will root out the waste, fraud, and abuse in our Medicare program that doesn't make our seniors any healthier, and we will restore a sense of fairness and balance to our tax code by finally ending the tax breaks for corporations that ship our jobs overseas. 

 

In order to save our children from a future of debt, we will also end the tax breaks for the wealthiest 2% of Americans.  But let me perfectly clear, because I know you'll hear the same old claims that rolling back these tax breaks means a massive tax increase on the American people:  if your family earns less than $250,000 a year, you will not see your taxes increased a single dime.  I repeat: not one single dime.  In fact, the recovery plan provides a tax cut - that's right, a tax cut - for 95% of working families.  And these checks are on the way.    

 

To preserve our long-term fiscal health, we must also address the growing costs in Medicare and Social Security.  Comprehensive health care reform is the best way to strengthen Medicare for years to come.  And we must also begin a conversation on how to do the same for Social Security, while creating tax-free universal savings accounts for all Americans.

 

Finally, because we're also suffering from a deficit of trust, I am committed to restoring a sense of honesty and accountability to our budget.  That is why this budget looks ahead ten years and accounts for spending that was left out under the old rules - and for the first time, that includes the full cost of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan.  For seven years, we have been a nation at war.  No longer will we hide its price.

 

We are now carefully reviewing our policies in both wars, and I will soon announce a way forward in Iraq that leaves Iraq to its people and responsibly ends this war. 

 

And with our friends and allies, we will forge a new and comprehensive strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan to defeat al Qaeda and combat extremism.  Because I will not allow terrorists to plot against the American people from safe havens half a world away. 

 

As we meet here tonight, our men and women in uniform stand watch abroad and more are readying to deploy. To each and every one of them, and to the families who bear the quiet burden of their absence, Americans are united in sending one message: we honor your service, we are inspired by your sacrifice, and you have our unyielding support.  To relieve the strain on our forces, my budget increases the number of our soldiers and Marines. And to keep our sacred trust with those who serve, we will raise their pay, and give our veterans the expanded health care and benefits that they have earned. 

 

To overcome extremism, we must also be vigilant in upholding the values our troops defend - because there is no force in the world more powerful than the example of America. That is why I have ordered the closing of the detention center at Guantanamo Bay, and will seek swift and certain justice for captured terrorists - because living our values doesn't make us weaker, it makes us safer and it makes us stronger.  And that is why I can stand here tonight and say without exception or equivocation that the United States of America does not torture.

 

In words and deeds, we are showing the world that a new era of engagement has begun.  For we know that America cannot meet the threats of this century alone, but the world cannot meet them without America.  We cannot shun the negotiating table, nor ignore the foes or forces that could do us harm.  We are instead called to move forward with the sense of confidence and candor that serious times demand.

 

To seek progress toward a secure and lasting peace between Israel and her neighbors, we have appointed an envoy to sustain our effort.  To meet the challenges of the 21st century - from terrorism to nuclear proliferation; from pandemic disease to cyber threats to crushing poverty - we will strengthen old alliances, forge new ones, and use all elements of our national power. 

 

And to respond to an economic crisis that is global in scope, we are working with the nations of the G-20 to restore confidence in our financial system, avoid the possibility of escalating protectionism, and spur demand for American goods in markets across the globe.  For the world depends on us to have a strong economy, just as our economy depends on the strength of the world's. 

 

As we stand at this crossroads of history, the eyes of all people in all nations are once again upon us - watching to see what we do with this moment; waiting for us to lead.     

 

Those of us gathered here tonight have been called to govern in extraordinary times.  It is a tremendous burden, but also a great privilege - one that has been entrusted to few generations of Americans.  For in our hands lies the ability to shape our world for good or for ill. 

 

I know that it is easy to lose sight of this truth - to become cynical and doubtful; consumed with the petty and the trivial. 

 

But in my life, I have also learned that hope is found in unlikely places; that inspiration often comes not from those with the most power or celebrity, but from the dreams and aspirations of Americans who are anything but ordinary. 

 

I think about Leonard Abess, the bank president from Miami who reportedly cashed out of his company, took a $60 million bonus, and gave it out to all 399 people who worked for him, plus another 72 who used to work for him.  He didn't tell anyone, but when the local newspaper found out, he simply said, ''I knew some of these people since I was 7 years old.  I didn't feel right getting the money myself."

 

I think about Greensburg, Kansas, a town that was completely destroyed by a tornado, but is being rebuilt by its residents as a global example of how clean energy can power an entire community - how it can bring jobs and businesses to a place where piles of bricks and rubble once lay.  "The tragedy was terrible," said one of the men who helped them rebuild.  "But the folks here know that it also provided an incredible opportunity."     

 

And I think about Ty'Sheoma Bethea, the young girl from that school I visited in Dillon, South Carolina - a place where the ceilings leak, the paint peels off the walls, and they have to stop teaching six times a day because the train barrels by their classroom.  She has been told that her school is hopeless, but the other day after class she went to the public library and typed up a letter to the people sitting in this room.  She even asked her principal for the money to buy a stamp.  The letter asks us for help, and says, "We are just students trying to become lawyers, doctors, congressmen like yourself and one day president, so we can make a change to not just the state of South Carolina but also the world.  We are not quitters." 

 

We are not quitters. 

 

These words and these stories tell us something about the spirit of the people who sent us here.  They tell us that even in the most trying times, amid the most difficult circumstances, there is a generosity, a resilience, a decency, and a determination that perseveres; a willingness to take responsibility for our future and for posterity.

 

Their resolve must be our inspiration.  Their concerns must be our cause.  And we must show them and all our people that we are equal to the task before us. 

 

I know that we haven't agreed on every issue thus far, and there are surely times in the future when we will part ways.  But I also know that every American who is sitting here tonight loves this country and wants it to succeed.  That must be the starting point for every debate we have in the coming months, and where we return after those debates are done.  That is the foundation on which the American people expect us to build common ground.

 

And if we do - if we come together and lift this nation from the depths of this crisis; if we put our people back to work and restart the engine of our prosperity; if we confront without fear the challenges of our time and summon that enduring spirit of an America that does not quit, then someday years from now our children can tell their children that this was the time when we performed, in the words that are carved into this very chamber, "something worthy to be remembered."  Thank you, God Bless you, and may God Bless the United States of America.

Feb 22 2009, 8:44PM

Obama's Speech To The Nation

 

Remarks of President Barack Obama - As Prepared for Delivery

Address to Joint Session of Congress

Tuesday, February 24th, 2009

 

 

Madame Speaker, Mr. Vice President, Members of Congress, and the First Lady of the United States:

 

I've come here tonight not only to address the distinguished men and women in this great chamber, but to speak frankly and directly to the men and women who sent us here. 

 

I know that for many Americans watching right now, the state of our economy is a concern that rises above all others.  And rightly so.  If you haven't been personally affected by this recession, you probably know someone who has - a friend; a neighbor; a member of your family.  You don't need to hear another list of statistics to know that our economy is in crisis, because you live it every day.  It's the worry you wake up with and the source of sleepless nights.  It's the job you thought you'd retire from but now have lost; the business you built your dreams upon that's now hanging by a thread; the college acceptance letter your child had to put back in the envelope.  The impact of this recession is real, and it is everywhere.    

 

But while our economy may be weakened and our confidence shaken; though we are living through difficult and uncertain times, tonight I want every American to know this:

 

We will rebuild, we will recover, and the United States of America will emerge stronger than before. 

 

The weight of this crisis will not determine the destiny of this nation.  The answers to our problems don't lie beyond our reach.  They exist in our laboratories and universities; in our fields and our factories; in the imaginations of our entrepreneurs and the pride of the hardest-working people on Earth.  Those qualities that have made America the greatest force of progress and prosperity in human history we still possess in ample measure.  What is required now is for this country to pull together, confront boldly the challenges we face, and take responsibility for our future once more.

 

Now, if we're honest with ourselves, we'll admit that for too long, we have not always met these responsibilities - as a government or as a people.  I say this not to lay blame or look backwards, but because it is only by understanding how we arrived at this moment that we'll be able to lift ourselves out of this predicament. 

 

The fact is, our economy did not fall into decline overnight.  Nor did all of our problems begin when the housing market collapsed or the stock market sank.  We have known for decades that our survival depends on finding new sources of energy.  Yet we import more oil today than ever before.  The cost of health care eats up more and more of our savings each year, yet we keep delaying reform.  Our children will compete for jobs in a global economy that too many of our schools do not prepare them for.  And though all these challenges went unsolved, we still managed to spend more money and pile up more debt, both as individuals and through our government, than ever before.

 

In other words, we have lived through an era where too often, short-term gains were prized over long-term prosperity; where we failed to look beyond the next payment, the next quarter, or the next election.  A surplus became an excuse to transfer wealth to the wealthy instead of an opportunity to invest in our future.  Regulations were gutted for the sake of a quick profit at the expense of a healthy market.  People bought homes they knew they couldn't afford from banks and lenders who pushed those bad loans anyway.  And all the while, critical debates and difficult decisions were put off for some other time on some other day. 

 

Well that day of reckoning has arrived, and the time to take charge of our future is here.

 

Now is the time to act boldly and wisely - to not only revive this economy, but to build a new foundation for lasting prosperity.  Now is the time to jumpstart job creation, re-start lending, and invest in areas like energy, health care, and education that will grow our economy, even as we make hard choices to bring our deficit down.  That is what my economic agenda is designed to do, and that's what I'd like to talk to you about tonight. 

 

It's an agenda that begins with jobs. 

 

As soon as I took office, I asked this Congress to send me a recovery plan by President's Day that would put people back to work and put money in their pockets.  Not because I believe in bigger government - I don't.  Not because I'm not mindful of the massive debt we've inherited - I am.  I called for action because the failure to do so would have cost more jobs and caused more hardships.  In fact, a failure to act would have worsened our long-term deficit by assuring weak economic growth for years.  That's why I pushed for quick action.  And tonight, I am grateful that this Congress delivered, and pleased to say that the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act is now law.   

 

Over the next two years, this plan will save or create 3.5 million jobs.  More than 90% of these jobs will be in the private sector - jobs rebuilding our roads and bridges; constructing wind turbines and solar panels; laying broadband and expanding mass transit.

 

Because of this plan, there are teachers who can now keep their jobs and educate our kids.  Health care professionals can continue caring for our sick.  There are 57 police officers who are still on the streets of Minneapolis tonight because this plan prevented the layoffs their department was about to make. 

 

Because of this plan, 95% of the working households in America will receive a tax cut - a tax cut that you will see in your paychecks beginning on April 1st.

 

Because of this plan, families who are struggling to pay tuition costs will receive a $2,500 tax credit for all four years of college.  And Americans who have lost their jobs in this recession will be able to receive extended unemployment benefits and continued health care coverage to help them weather this storm. 

 

I know there are some in this chamber and watching at home who are skeptical of whether this plan will work.  I understand that skepticism.  Here in Washington, we've all seen how quickly good intentions can turn into broken promises and wasteful spending.  And with a plan of this scale comes enormous responsibility to get it right.

 

That is why I have asked Vice President Biden to lead a tough, unprecedented oversight effort - because nobody messes with Joe.  I have told each member of my Cabinet as well as mayors and governors across the country that they will be held accountable by me and the American people for every dollar they spend.  I have appointed a proven and aggressive Inspector General to ferret out any and all cases of waste and fraud.  And we have created a new website called recovery.gov so that every American can find out how and where their money is being spent. 

 

So the recovery plan we passed is the first step in getting our economy back on track.  But it is just the first step.  Because even if we manage this plan flawlessly, there will be no real recovery unless we clean up the credit crisis that has severely weakened our financial system.

 

I want to speak plainly and candidly about this issue tonight, because every American should know that it directly affects you and your family's well-being.  You should also know that the money you've deposited in banks across the country is safe; your insurance is secure; and you can rely on the continued operation of our financial system.  That is not the source of concern.

 

The concern is that if we do not re-start lending in this country, our recovery will be choked off before it even begins. 

 

You see, the flow of credit is the lifeblood of our economy.  The ability to get a loan is how you finance the purchase of everything from a home to a car to a college education; how stores stock their shelves, farms buy equipment, and businesses make payroll.

 

But credit has stopped flowing the way it should.  Too many bad loans from the housing crisis have made their way onto the books of too many banks.  With so much debt and so little confidence, these banks are now fearful of lending out any more money to households, to businesses, or to each other.  When there is no lending, families can't afford to buy homes or cars.  So businesses are forced to make layoffs.  Our economy suffers even more, and credit dries up even further. 

 

That is why this administration is moving swiftly and aggressively to break this destructive cycle, restore confidence, and re-start lending.

 

We will do so in several ways.  First, we are creating a new lending fund that represents the largest effort ever to help provide auto loans, college loans, and small business loans to the consumers and entrepreneurs who keep this economy running.   

 

Second, we have launched a housing plan that will help responsible families facing the threat of foreclosure lower their monthly payments and re-finance their mortgages.  It's a plan that won't help speculators or that neighbor down the street who bought a house he could never hope to afford, but it will help millions of Americans who are struggling with declining home values - Americans who will now be able to take advantage of the lower interest rates that this plan has already helped bring about.  In fact, the average family who re-finances today can save nearly $2000 per year on their mortgage.   

 

Third, we will act with the full force of the federal government to ensure that the major banks that Americans depend on have enough confidence and enough money to lend even in more difficult times.  And when we learn that a major bank has serious problems, we will hold accountable those responsible, force the necessary adjustments, provide the support to clean up their balance sheets, and assure the continuity of a strong, viable institution that can serve our people and our economy.

 

I understand that on any given day, Wall Street may be more comforted by an approach that gives banks bailouts with no strings attached, and that holds nobody accountable for their reckless decisions.  But such an approach won't solve the problem.  And our goal is to quicken the day when we re-start lending to the American people and American business and end this crisis once and for all.

 

I intend to hold these banks fully accountable for the assistance they receive, and this time, they will have to clearly demonstrate how taxpayer dollars result in more lending for the American taxpayer.  This time, CEOs won't be able to use taxpayer money to pad their paychecks or buy fancy drapes or disappear on a private jet.  Those days are over. 

 

Still, this plan will require significant resources from the federal government - and yes, probably more than we've already set aside.  But while the cost of action will be great, I can assure you that the cost of inaction will be far greater, for it could result in an economy that sputters along for not months or years, but perhaps a decade.  That would be worse for our deficit, worse for business, worse for you, and worse for the next generation.  And I refuse to let that happen.     

 

I understand that when the last administration asked this Congress to provide assistance for struggling banks, Democrats and Republicans alike were infuriated by the mismanagement and results that followed.  So were the American taxpayers.  So was I. 

 

So I know how unpopular it is to be seen as helping banks right now, especially when everyone is suffering in part from their bad decisions.  I promise you - I get it. 

 

But I also know that in a time of crisis, we cannot afford to govern out of anger, or yield to the politics of the moment.  My job - our job - is to solve the problem.  Our job is to govern with a sense of responsibility.  I will not spend a single penny for the purpose of rewarding a single Wall Street executive, but I will do whatever it takes to help the small business that can't pay its workers or the family that has saved and still can't get a mortgage. 

 

That's what this is about.  It's not about helping banks - it's about helping people.  Because when credit is available again, that young family can finally buy a new home.  And then some company will hire workers to build it.  And then those workers will have money to spend, and if they can get a loan too, maybe they'll finally buy that car, or open their own business.  Investors will return to the market, and American families will see their retirement secured once more.  Slowly, but surely, confidence will return, and our economy will recover.     

 

So I ask this Congress to join me in doing whatever proves necessary.  Because we cannot consign our nation to an open-ended recession.  And to ensure that a crisis of this magnitude never happens again, I ask Congress to move quickly on legislation that will finally reform our outdated regulatory system.  It is time to put in place tough, new common-sense rules of the road so that our financial market rewards drive and innovation, and punishes short-cuts and abuse. 

 

The recovery plan and the financial stability plan are the immediate steps we're taking to revive our economy in the short-term.  But the only way to fully restore America's economic strength is to make the long-term investments that will lead to new jobs, new industries, and a renewed ability to compete with the rest of the world. The only way this century will be another American century is if we confront at last the price of our dependence on oil and the high cost of health care; the schools that aren't preparing our children and the mountain of debt they stand to inherit.  That is our responsibility.

 

In the next few days, I will submit a budget to Congress.  So often, we have come to view these documents as simply numbers on a page or laundry lists of programs.  I see this document differently.  I see it as a vision for America - as a blueprint for our future.

 

My budget does not attempt to solve every problem or address every issue.  It reflects the stark reality of what we've inherited - a trillion dollar deficit, a financial crisis, and a costly recession. 

 

Given these realities, everyone in this chamber - Democrats and Republicans - will have to sacrifice some worthy priorities for which there are no dollars.  And that includes me.  

 

But that does not mean we can afford to ignore our long-term challenges.  I reject the view that says our problems will simply take care of themselves; that says government has no role in laying the foundation for our common prosperity.

 

For history tells a different story.  History reminds us that at every moment of economic upheaval and transformation, this nation has responded with bold action and big ideas.  In the midst of civil war, we laid railroad tracks from one coast to another that spurred commerce and industry.  From the turmoil of the Industrial Revolution came a system of public high schools that prepared our citizens for a new age.  In the wake of war and depression, the GI Bill sent a generation to college and created the largest middle-class in history.  And a twilight struggle for freedom led to a nation of highways, an American on the moon, and an explosion of technology that still shapes our world. 

 

In each case, government didn't supplant private enterprise; it catalyzed private enterprise.  It created the conditions for thousands of entrepreneurs and new businesses to adapt and to thrive. 

 

We are a nation that has seen promise amid peril, and claimed opportunity from ordeal.  Now we must be that nation again.  That is why, even as it cuts back on the programs we don't need, the budget I submit will invest in the three areas that are absolutely critical to our economic future:  energy, health care, and education. 

 

It begins with energy. 

 

We know the country that harnesses the power of clean, renewable energy will lead the 21st century.  And yet, it is China that has launched the largest effort in history to make their economy energy efficient.  We invented solar technology, but we've fallen behind countries like Germany and Japan in producing it.  New plug-in hybrids roll off our assembly lines, but they will run on batteries made in Korea. 

 

Well I do not accept a future where the jobs and industries of tomorrow take root beyond our borders - and I know you don't either.  It is time for America to lead again. 

 

Thanks to our recovery plan, we will double this nation's supply of renewable energy in the next three years.  We have also made the largest investment in basic research funding in American history - an investment that will spur not only new discoveries in energy, but breakthroughs in medicine, science, and technology. 

 

We will soon lay down thousands of miles of power lines that can carry new energy to cities and towns across this country.  And we will put Americans to work making our homes and buildings more efficient so that we can save billions of dollars on our energy bills. 

 

But to truly transform our economy, protect our security, and save our planet from the ravages of climate change, we need to ultimately make clean, renewable energy the profitable kind of energy.  So I ask this Congress to send me legislation that places a market-based cap on carbon pollution and drives the production of more renewable energy in America.  And to support that innovation, we will invest fifteen billion dollars a year to develop technologies like wind power and solar power; advanced biofuels, clean coal, and more fuel-efficient cars and trucks built right here in America.

 

As for our auto industry, everyone recognizes that years of bad decision-making and a global recession have pushed our automakers to the brink.  We should not, and will not, protect them from their own bad practices.  But we are committed to the goal of a re-tooled, re-imagined auto industry that can compete and win.  Millions of jobs depend on it.  Scores of communities depend on it.  And I believe the nation that invented the automobile cannot walk away from it. 

 

None of this will come without cost, nor will it be easy.  But this is America.  We don't do what's easy.  We do what is necessary to move this country forward.

 

For that same reason, we must also address the crushing cost of health care.   

 

This is a cost that now causes a bankruptcy in America every thirty seconds.  By the end of the year, it could cause 1.5 million Americans to lose their homes.  In the last eight years, premiums have grown four times faster than wages.  And in each of these years, one million more Americans have lost their health insurance.  It is one of the major reasons why small businesses close their doors and corporations ship jobs overseas.  And it's one of the largest and fastest-growing parts of our budget. 

 

Given these facts, we can no longer afford to put health care reform on hold.

 

Already, we have done more to advance the cause of health care reform in the last thirty days than we have in the last decade.  When it was days old, this Congress passed a law to provide and protect health insurance for eleven million American children whose parents work full-time.  Our recovery plan will invest in electronic health records and new technology that will reduce errors, bring down costs, ensure privacy, and save lives.  It will launch a new effort to conquer a disease that has touched the life of nearly every American by seeking a cure for cancer in our time.  And it makes the largest investment ever in preventive care, because that is one of the best ways to keep our people healthy and our costs under control. 

 

This budget builds on these reforms.  It includes an historic commitment to comprehensive health care reform - a down-payment on the principle that we must have quality, affordable health care for every American.  It's a commitment that's paid for in part by efficiencies in our system that are long overdue.  And it's a step we must take if we hope to bring down our deficit in the years to come. 

 

Now, there will be many different opinions and ideas about how to achieve reform, and that is why I'm bringing together businesses and workers, doctors and health care providers, Democrats and Republicans to begin work on this issue next week. 

 

I suffer no illusions that this will be an easy process.  It will be hard.  But I also know that nearly a century after Teddy Roosevelt first called for reform, the cost of our health care has weighed down our economy and the conscience of our nation long enough.  So let there be no doubt: health care reform cannot wait, it must not wait, and it will not wait another year.     

 

The third challenge we must address is the urgent need to expand the promise of education in America.   

 

In a global economy where the most valuable skill you can sell is your knowledge, a good education is no longer just a pathway to opportunity - it is a pre-requisite.    

 

Right now, three-quarters of the fastest-growing occupations require more than a high school diploma.  And yet, just over half of our citizens have that level of education.  We have one of the highest high school dropout rates of any industrialized nation.  And half of the students who begin college never finish. 

 

This is a prescription for economic decline, because we know the countries that out-teach us today will out-compete us tomorrow.  That is why it will be the goal of this administration to ensure that every child has access to a complete and competitive education - from the day they are born to the day they begin a career. 

 

Already, we have made an historic investment in education through the economic recovery plan.  We have dramatically expanded early childhood education and will continue to improve its quality, because we know that the most formative learning comes in those first years of life.  We have made college affordable for nearly seven million more students.  And we have provided the resources necessary to prevent painful cuts and teacher layoffs that would set back our children's progress. 

 

But we know that our schools don't just need more resources.  They need more reform.  That is why this budget creates new incentives for teacher performance; pathways for advancement, and rewards for success.  We'll invest in innovative programs that are already helping schools meet high standards and close achievement gaps.  And we will expand our commitment to charter schools.  

 

It is our responsibility as lawmakers and educators to make this system work.  But it is the responsibility of every citizen to participate in it.  And so tonight, I ask every American to commit to at least one year or more of higher education or career training.  This can be community college or a four-year school; vocational training or an apprenticeship.  But whatever the training may be, every American will need to get more than a high school diploma.  And dropping out of high school is no longer an option.  It's not just quitting on yourself, it's quitting on your country - and this country needs and values the talents of every American.  That is why we will provide the support necessary for you to complete college and meet a new goal:  by 2020, America will once again have the highest proportion of college graduates in the world.  

 

I know that the price of tuition is higher than ever, which is why if you are willing to volunteer in your neighborhood or give back to your community or serve your country, we will make sure that you can afford a higher education.  And to encourage a renewed spirit of national service for this and future generations, I ask this Congress to send me the bipartisan legislation that bears the name of Senator Orrin Hatch as well as an American who has never stopped asking what he can do for his country - Senator Edward Kennedy. 

 

These education policies will open the doors of opportunity for our children.  But it is up to us to ensure they walk through them.  In the end, there is no program or policy that can substitute for a mother or father who will attend those parent/teacher conferences, or help with homework after dinner, or turn off the TV, put away the video games, and read to their child.  I speak to you not just as a President, but as a father when I say that responsibility for our children's education must begin at home. 

 

There is, of course, another responsibility we have to our children.  And that is the responsibility to ensure that we do not pass on to them a debt they cannot pay.  With the deficit we inherited, the cost of the crisis we face, and the long-term challenges we must meet, it has never been more important to ensure that as our economy recovers, we do what it takes to bring this deficit down.

 

I'm proud that we passed the recovery plan free of earmarks, and I want to pass a budget next year that ensures that each dollar we spend reflects only our most important national priorities. 

 

Yesterday, I held a fiscal summit where I pledged to cut the deficit in half by the end of my first term in office.  My administration has also begun to go line by line through the federal budget in order to eliminate wasteful and ineffective programs.  As you can imagine, this is a process that will take some time.  But we're starting with the biggest lines.  We have already identified two trillion dollars in savings over the next decade.

 

In this budget, we will end education programs that don't work and end direct payments to large agribusinesses that don't need them.  We'll eliminate the no-bid contracts that have wasted billions in Iraq, and reform our defense budget so that we're not paying for Cold War-era weapons systems we don't use.  We will root out the waste, fraud, and abuse in our Medicare program that doesn't make our seniors any healthier, and we will restore a sense of fairness and balance to our tax code by finally ending the tax breaks for corporations that ship our jobs overseas. 

 

In order to save our children from a future of debt, we will also end the tax breaks for the wealthiest 2% of Americans.  But let me perfectly clear, because I know you'll hear the same old claims that rolling back these tax breaks means a massive tax increase on the American people:  if your family earns less than $250,000 a year, you will not see your taxes increased a single dime.  I repeat: not one single dime.  In fact, the recovery plan provides a tax cut - that's right, a tax cut - for 95% of working families.  And these checks are on the way.    

 

To preserve our long-term fiscal health, we must also address the growing costs in Medicare and Social Security.  Comprehensive health care reform is the best way to strengthen Medicare for years to come.  And we must also begin a conversation on how to do the same for Social Security, while creating tax-free universal savings accounts for all Americans.

 

Finally, because we're also suffering from a deficit of trust, I am committed to restoring a sense of honesty and accountability to our budget.  That is why this budget looks ahead ten years and accounts for spending that was left out under the old rules - and for the first time, that includes the full cost of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan.  For seven years, we have been a nation at war.  No longer will we hide its price.

 

We are now carefully reviewing our policies in both wars, and I will soon announce a way forward in Iraq that leaves Iraq to its people and responsibly ends this war. 

 

And with our friends and allies, we will forge a new and comprehensive strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan to defeat al Qaeda and combat extremism.  Because I will not allow terrorists to plot against the American people from safe havens half a world away. 

 

As we meet here tonight, our men and women in uniform stand watch abroad and more are readying to deploy. To each and every one of them, and to the families who bear the quiet burden of their absence, Americans are united in sending one message: we honor your service, we are inspired by your sacrifice, and you have our unyielding support.  To relieve the strain on our forces, my budget increases the number of our soldiers and Marines. And to keep our sacred trust with those who serve, we will raise their pay, and give our veterans the expanded health care and benefits that they have earned. 

 

To overcome extremism, we must also be vigilant in upholding the values our troops defend - because there is no force in the world more powerful than the example of America. That is why I have ordered the closing of the detention center at Guantanamo Bay, and will seek swift and certain justice for captured terrorists - because living our values doesn't make us weaker, it makes us safer and it makes us stronger.  And that is why I can stand here tonight and say without exception or equivocation that the United States of America does not torture.

 

In words and deeds, we are showing the world that a new era of engagement has begun.  For we know that America cannot meet the threats of this century alone, but the world cannot meet them without America.  We cannot shun the negotiating table, nor ignore the foes or forces that could do us harm.  We are instead called to move forward with the sense of confidence and candor that serious times demand.

 

To seek progress toward a secure and lasting peace between Israel and her neighbors, we have appointed an envoy to sustain our effort.  To meet the challenges of the 21st century - from terrorism to nuclear proliferation; from pandemic disease to cyber threats to crushing poverty - we will strengthen old alliances, forge new ones, and use all elements of our national power. 

 

And to respond to an economic crisis that is global in scope, we are working with the nations of the G-20 to restore confidence in our financial system, avoid the possibility of escalating protectionism, and spur demand for American goods in markets across the globe.  For the world depends on us to have a strong economy, just as our economy depends on the strength of the world's. 

 

As we stand at this crossroads of history, the eyes of all people in all nations are once again upon us - watching to see what we do with this moment; waiting for us to lead.     

 

Those of us gathered here tonight have been called to govern in extraordinary times.  It is a tremendous burden, but also a great privilege - one that has been entrusted to few generations of Americans.  For in our hands lies the ability to shape our world for good or for ill. 

 

I know that it is easy to lose sight of this truth - to become cynical and doubtful; consumed with the petty and the trivial. 

 

But in my life, I have also learned that hope is found in unlikely places; that inspiration often comes not from those with the most power or celebrity, but from the dreams and aspirations of Americans who are anything but ordinary. 

 

I think about Leonard Abess, the bank president from Miami who reportedly cashed out of his company, took a $60 million bonus, and gave it out to all 399 people who worked for him, plus another 72 who used to work for him.  He didn't tell anyone, but when the local newspaper found out, he simply said, ''I knew some of these people since I was 7 years old.  I didn't feel right getting the money myself."

 

I think about Greensburg, Kansas, a town that was completely destroyed by a tornado, but is being rebuilt by its residents as a global example of how clean energy can power an entire community - how it can bring jobs and businesses to a place where piles of bricks and rubble once lay.  "The tragedy was terrible," said one of the men who helped them rebuild.  "But the folks here know that it also provided an incredible opportunity."     

 

And I think about Ty'Sheoma Bethea, the young girl from that school I visited in Dillon, South Carolina - a place where the ceilings leak, the paint peels off the walls, and they have to stop teaching six times a day because the train barrels by their classroom.  She has been told that her school is hopeless, but the other day after class she went to the public library and typed up a letter to the people sitting in this room.  She even asked her principal for the money to buy a stamp.  The letter asks us for help, and says, "We are just students trying to become lawyers, doctors, congressmen like yourself and one day president, so we can make a change to not just the state of South Carolina but also the world.  We are not quitters." 

 

We are not quitters. 

 

These words and these stories tell us something about the spirit of the people who sent us here.  They tell us that even in the most trying times, amid the most difficult circumstances, there is a generosity, a resilience, a decency, and a determination that perseveres; a willingness to take responsibility for our future and for posterity.

 

Their resolve must be our inspiration.  Their concerns must be our cause.  And we must show them and all our people that we are equal to the task before us. 

 

I know that we haven't agreed on every issue thus far, and there are surely times in the future when we will part ways.  But I also know that every American who is sitting here tonight loves this country and wants it to succeed.  That must be the starting point for every debate we have in the coming months, and where we return after those debates are done.  That is the foundation on which the American people expect us to build common ground.

 

And if we do - if we come together and lift this nation from the depths of this crisis; if we put our people back to work and restart the engine of our prosperity; if we confront without fear the challenges of our time and summon that enduring spirit of an America that does not quit, then someday years from now our children can tell their children that this was the time when we performed, in the words that are carved into this very chamber, "something worthy to be remembered."  Thank you, God Bless you, and may God Bless the United States of America.

Feb 22 2009, 5:18PM

Obama Names A Transparency Gumshoe

Tomorrow, as part of an effort to convince Congress and the public that he's serious about transparency and accountability, President Obama will name Earl Devaney, a former Interior Dept. inspector general, as  chairman of the Recovery Act Transparency and Accountability Board.  Devaney played a major role in uncovering Jack Abramoff-related corruption at Interior. Also: Obama will ask Vice President Biden to open his office to recipients of the stimpak money, makling sure their efforts are "speedy and effective," according to a White House official.  Reports to the President on that score will be posted on Recovery.gov.

Feb 21 2009, 11:22AM

Governing California and Abel Maldonado's Gamble

The man who almost singlehandedly passed the California state budget this week, State Sen. Abel Moldonado, was able to  extract a fairly significant concesson from the powers that be.

Maldonado is a moderate; mod Republicans have long suffered, in their minds, under California's primary system.

State voters will now get to decide whether they'd prefer a system that drops party lines from ballots; instead, the top two vote getters, regardless of party (and without party labels), would advance. Basically, as Soren Dayton writes, "In swing districts, it is likely that the top vote getters would be from each party. In districts that are highly partisan, as nearly all of the state legislative and Congressional districts are, there is the possibility that two Republicans or two Democrats could get on the general election ballot."  And because independent voters will play a larger role in the primary process,  mods would have a better chance of getting through, assuming, as Dayton notes, they don't factionalize themselves.  "If this passes in 2010, and the state continues with another highly-partisan/highly-ideological redistricting, the 2012 election could be quite interesting," he writes.

As you might image, the parties themselves might go nuclear against this. If you believe that the public employees unions, the social conservatives, the tax groups,and the trial lawyers are running the state -- or running it into the ground -- you've got to find a way to detach them from controlling the parties.

If the parties are unhappy, will the legislature try to put something *else* on the ballot that will screw up the question? This has been done before.

Will some issue entrepreneur put money behind this?

If you're a Meg Whitman (R) or a Tom Campbell (R) supporter in the gubernatorial race, you'd be tempted to dump a zillion dollars into GOTV for this. Whitman is explicitly running to the left in the Republican primary,  and Campbell could win this one if Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner and Whitman beat each other up with $200 million of their own money.

If this amendment passes, this could mean 10-15 more blue dogs and a big shift to the left in the CA delegation.

And it might make California governable again.

Feb 20 2009, 5:30PM

What's A Gay Republican's Duty?

Why did an openly gay Republican Minnesota state senator, Paul Koering, refuse to vote in favor of marriage rights for same-sex couples?  He thinks it's a waste of time, and not why his constituents voted him to office.  The Atlantic's Andrew Sullivan called this view "learned helplessness," and wonders why Koering couldn't walk and chew gum at the same time. A dissenter called it "smart politics." But Koering's office is very sensitive to the criticism. Ken Swecker, a legislative aide to Koering has a composed a form letter that he's sending to critics. In it, he calls marriage rights a "pointless" issue.  (The full Swecker letter, along with an e-mail from a gay Republican, are after the jump.)

"He here to represent the interests of his rural Minnesota constituents who voted him into office. As a constituent of his myself, I am happy to see him take non-personal votes on several issues. After all, I would not want another politician taking another vote that would serve his or her personal interests more so than the People's, would you?"

This suggests a very different reason for Koering's vote: that he wanted to prove to his constituents that he wasn't somehow hijacked by the concerns of gay rights activists, and that he might have deliberately voted against his own personal interest...perhaps because he felt it was the right thing to do, or perhaps we wanted something to brag about. 

What's new about this debate is that it is public; this is one of the first times that an openly gay legislator against a gay rights bill, and the political language to describe his vote is limited. He's either brave or self-hating. A more general question: should a gay legislator always vote in favor of gay rights legislation, even if he thinks it's distracting, even if he thinks it'll accomplish nothing?  What if, as Swecker writes, a majority of the district opposes it? Does the gay legislator have a duty to his district? To the gay rights movement? To closested gays? To national politics? To his conscience?   What do you think?

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Feb 20 2009, 5:23PM

The Santelli Clause

Double-Late-Breaking, Friday-Afternoon Analysis: I enjoyed Rick Santelli¹s rant as much as anyone. Financial news has found its Howard Beale . It¹s likewise amusing to see the White House snap back at Santelli, as Marc just wrote about. Leaving aside the obvious hypocrisy (Santelli didn¹t get worked up when his bank-exec neighbors got bailed out), here¹s a less obvious bit: The stimulus also contains a huge mortgage-related giveaway to wealthy types exactly like the pit traders in Santelli's audience. Buried on page 111 is a clause raising the "jumbo-conforming limit" on government-backed mortgages from $625,500 to $729.750 in rich areas like New York, Washington DC, and Santelli's home of Chicago. This is a big deal because Fannie and Freddie are the only ones buying mortgages anymore, so it will have the effect of driving down interest rates on really big mortgages. (Good breakdown here ) The Regular Joes on whose behalf Santelli seemed to be ranting don¹t take out $730K mortgages.

But I¹ll bet CNBC anchors do. If I were Robert Gibbs, I would point this out. I might even have some fun by dubbing the provision " the Santelli Clause" to drive home the point.

Feb 20 2009, 4:18PM

The White House Encourages Santelli, On Purpose

This is very simple. White House press secretary Robert Gibbs went out of his way today to blast CNBC's Rick Santelli for his "rant" yesterday against Obama's mortgage assistance plan.  The early press reaction asks why the White House would give Santelli free publicity and elevate him to Official status? Easy: they'd rather the opposition be identified with Santelli and stock brokers than with, say, a Joe the Plumber type (but who actually is a plumber and who has serious real reservations about the mortgage plan). Let opponents of the plan get into a tizzy, and let them have Santelli -- whose regular guy creds have to be established -- as their spoxman.  Because, as it stands, ordinary folks don't much trust Wall Street these days....  Still, as Chris Good writes below, the Santelli moment was real enough, and it might catalyze something among conservatives, and it might be the type of political activity that an enterprising Republican presidential candidate can take advantage of.

Feb 20 2009, 3:36PM

Jindal's Stimulus Stand: Won't Take Unemployment Benefits From Feds

Just got a statement from the Louisiana Governor's spokesperson:

 

"Today, Governor Bobby Jindal announced that the state will not change its law to use a part of the $787 billion federal stimulus bill that would result in an unemployment insurance tax increase on Louisiana businesses. The Governor also announced that the state will use a provision in the legislation to increase state unemployment benefits for recipients by an extra $25 per week, and reaffirmed his acceptance of the transportation funds included in the bill to fund shovel-ready transportation priorities in the state." 

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Feb 20 2009, 3:20PM

The Daily Five: Gibbs Blasts Santelli

1.  WH spox Gibbs on Rick Santelli:  "I also think that its tremendously important that for people who rant on cable television - to be responsible and understand what it is they're talking about. I feel assured that Mr. Santelli doesn't know what he's talking about."   ......  Shares of Bank of America and Citigroup fell on "nationalization" fears, says the press. .... ..... But actually, they fell b/c Wall Street things they're insolvent. ... Sens. Schumer and Dodd endorse short-term, Swedenequse-nationalization of some banks...A good analysis is here......Citi employees joke about retiring with "government" benefits .... Transportation Sec. Ray LaHood floats a vehicle mileage tax in advance of commission recommendation.....House Republicans prepare alternative mortgage assistance plan....  would Obama veto a new CR if it had too many earmarks?

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Feb 20 2009, 2:30PM

How's It Playing?

As the President's $275 billion foreclosure plan makes its way towards Congress, it's worth taking a closer look at how the proposal is being received in newspapers across the country. Many editorial boards have demonstrated an impressive level of support for the general contours of the plan, yet a range of opinion has emerged on many of its specific provisions.  These areas of disagreement may foreshadow the political fault lines that will emerge when the legislation appears before Congress.  

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Feb 20 2009, 1:43PM

Rick Santelli: Campaign Meme?

During campaign season, when the political microscope is turned to high power, anything mildly outrageous can be a theme for a day. Could CNBC's Rick Santelli be one of those themes for the GOP?

Two websites and a petition have sprung up since Santelli's now widely publicized on-air rant yesterday, in a pit of traders on the floor at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, against President Obama's $75 billion plan to help struggling homeowners refinance, all in favor of Santelli's proposal for a Chicago Tea Party in July.

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Feb 20 2009, 1:13PM

The Outrage Industrial Complex

A Washington-based journalist and analyst writes:

 

I think this OUTRAGE report is beneath you. It has, as you no doubt know, a flattening affect, equating all "outrages" or the week, large and small and serves to trivialize ones that actually matter. Now "what actually matters," is a subjective call and I suspect you and I have different politics. That's fine. But like the cliche about "partisan bickering", the OUTRAGE report falls into that very old, tired beltway trap of viewing all politics as fundamentally theatrical and substance-less.  That's something you do a very good job of avoiding in your other writing.

That's part of the point. Everyone uses the same language and affect to express outrage -- often over what someone said -- regardless of the harm of said outrage. I have found that, even in cases where someone says something offensive, expressions of outrage are almost always derivative of a desire to get publicity, or to make someone feel good, etc. We're all adults. Let's save our outrage for acts against real people that harm them, rather than just hurt their feelings. (Torturing people = outrageous.  A cartoon of a chimp in the New York Post? Offensive, yes, but orders of magnitude less harmful.)

In undergraduate political physics, practitioners are taught that Pi = (Ci + O)L -- that the perceived importance of a thing is equal to cosmic importance plus the outrage that's expressed over it multiplied by the intrinsic loudness of the expressed outrage. This works because most people engage in politics emotionally before they apply standards of reason and logic. And that's totally fine -- doing politics is inherently about the manipulation of symbols and emotions. But outrage, as has been noticed elsewhere, is a very specific emotion, and it's become the default emotion.

There are people in Washington who have the job of manufacturing outrage; who get paid to take offense, or to find ways to take offense, and to broadcast their outrage to others. The more outrage they generate, the more attention they get. I think it was Michael Kinsley who said that these folks go from zero to outrage in 60 seconds.  These outrage factories, be they media watchdogs, bloggers, cable show hosts, TV bookers, lobbyists, communication consultancies -- all operate as if outrage were the only valence level they can occupy. Often, the outrage is accompanied by argument. Just as often, it is used to replace argument.

The Outrage-Industrial Complex is flotsam and jetsam from the boiling hot ball of fire that was partisan politics over the past 25 years; it was constructed to magnify the high-energy partisan shots back inward, so as to fuel the fireball, much like -- and you'll forgive the physics metaphor again -- beryllium and other metals reflect neutrons back at the pit of the weapon, thus increasing its potential yield.

The OIC is incapable of distinguishing between what hurts and what harms; they're not capable of displaying anger (which may overlap with outrage, but is often more genuine), between bemusement and annoyance, or even shame

What has the flattening effect, then? Is it my fairly gentle satire of what's been "outrageous" to the political community this week? Or is it the willingness of the political community to devalue outrage itself by sanctioning its overuse?

Feb 20 2009, 12:16PM

Health Care Lives

Health care reform is alive and kicking in Congress, despite the withdrawal of President Obama's nominee to lead the charge: one of the Senate's leading voices on the issue today announced a hearing on it slated for next week.  Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT), who released a comprehensive health reform plan in November, will hold a hearing Wednesday to discuss the major challenges of health care reform and its impact on the budget. Baucus says he'll introduce major health legislation in the first part of this year. Only question is: who will be Obama's chief health officer when he does?

Feb 20 2009, 11:08AM

DNC Hires Bill Clinton Hand To Be Pol. Director

President Obama's Democratic National Committee is beginning to fill in its senior staff roster.  Among the top hires: Clyde Williams, a former senior adviser to the Clinton Foundation and before that, a deputy chief of staff in the Department of Agriculture.  Williams will be political director. His name will not be familiar to the larger Obama political world. He has a background in grassroots organizing, particularly with African Americans, as he was, in a way, former President Clinton's liaison to Harlem when the prez moved his office there after leaving office.  The DNC is close to announcing its communications director; today, several communication staffers hired during the Dean regime will turn in their keys, including the DNC's internet and research director.

Feb 20 2009, 11:05AM

Outrages Of The Week

A regular feature wherein symbolic outrages, contrived outrages, real outrages, and outrageous outrages are recounted. Think of it as a first draft of bathetic history.

Liberals are OUTRAGED that Rush Limbaugh seemed to liken Democrats to murderers, rapists, and "this Muslim guy" that "offed his wife's head"...

CNBC Rick Santelli is OUTRAGED that his taxpayer money is subsidizing his neighbors' mortgages.

New York Post reporters are OUTRAGED that their cartoonist compared Barack Obama to a chimp.

John Gibson is OUTRAGED that Huffington Post thought he compared Eric Holder to a monkey's bright blue scrotum.

And the New York Post is OUTRAGED that liberals interpreted the cartoon as being racist.

Europe is OUTRAGED that General Motors is cutting jobs on the continent.

Michelle Malkin is OUTRAGED that no one is paying attention to her OUTRAGE.

Republican activists continue to be OUTRAGED at the idea that Democrats will bring back the "Fairness Doctrine."

Jonas Brother Nick thinks his fans are OUTRAGEOUS in a good way.

Some folks are OUTRAGED that the House Oversight Committee refuses to hold hearings on pro wrestling and baseball's steroid problems.

 

Feb 20 2009, 8:38AM

Just Asking....

Is Sen. John Cornyn in charge of making the decision concerning the next Health and Human Services Secretary? Isn't President Obama potentially giving away a Senate seat by appointing Sebelius? With the retirement of Sen. Sam Brownback, she's the strongest statewide Democratic candidate and would be favored to flip the seat, right? 

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Feb 19 2009, 5:20PM

Word(s) of the Day for Pelosi: Fiscal Responsibility

Conservative members of the Democratic Party were unhappy about how the $787 billion stimulus was crafted, but Speaker Nancy Pelosi today made, at least, an overture toward their philosophy of spending restraint. Pelosi asked every committee chair in the House to look for ways to trim federal spending in their upcoming round of budget hearings. (With President Obama set to release his budget proposal next week, Congress will begin deliberations on the budget soon.)

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Feb 19 2009, 5:02PM

The Cost of the Reagan Centennial

Eager for stimulus news, I have tried to obsessively follow the release of Congressional Budget Office cost estimates. And I see that the CBO released a bunch of new estimates last night, though they had nothing to do with the stimulus package. There was, for instance, a cost estimate of House concurrent resolution 37 (pdf) -- a resolution "authorizing the use of the Capitol grounds for the Greater Washington Soap Box Derby." The CBO estimates that this would "result in no significant cost to the federal government." Who knew?

One cost estimate that I thought was interesting, however, was for H.R. 131 (pdf) -- which would would "establish a commission to plan, develop, and coordinate the commemoration of the 100th anniversary of the birth of former President Ronald Reagan on February 6, 2011." Setting up this commission will apparently cost the federal government $1 million. How would Ronald Reagan feel about that?

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Feb 19 2009, 4:55PM

The Times Weighs On Its McCain-Lobbyist Story; Suit Is Dropped

National Journal's Ed Pound reports that lobbyist Vicki Iseman is dropping her lawsuit against The New York Times after the paper agreed to run a statement declaring it "did not state" and "did not intend to conclude that Ms. Iseman had engaged in a romantic affair with" Sen. John McCain.

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Feb 19 2009, 4:39PM

Incorrigible

Director Panetta, are you ready to have me take a crack at administering this oath?  Are you ready? 

Feb 19 2009, 4:00PM

How's It Playing? One Down, A Zillion To Go

President Obama's signing of the $787 billion stimulus bill on Tuesday brought a small measure of closure to one of the early challenge of his presidency, but today's headlines remind us that the new administration still has many other fires to fight. Homeowners teetering on the edge of foreclosure need help, the nation's major banks and two of the Big Three automakers are slouching toward bankruptcy, and the country is grappling with the political and economic implications of the current troop escalation in Afghanistan. Today's editorials in newspapers across the "purple states" reflected the staggering range of public policy challenges before the president.

 

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Feb 19 2009, 3:51PM

A Word About Chris Cillizza

116 words, actually. In the fall of 2005, Chris Cillizza and I began our respective blogs within a week each of other. We were, at the time, the only mainstream political reporters whose journalism was featured exclusively in a blog format.  He had The Fix; I had Hotline On Call.  We were competitors inside Washington - Chris's audience at the Washington Post dwarfed mine -- , but we soon found different niches and a way to coexist. I like to think that we were both pioneers in a way.  Four years later, with a new baby on the way and a promotion to White House correspondent on the resume, Chris will be ratcheting down his online-only contributions for a while.  He's a generous and kind guy, and a great journalist, and I wish him the best.

Feb 19 2009, 3:23PM

Good To Be Here

Today, the Atlantic's growing empire welcomes Chris Good, formerly of The Hill, to our site.  Chris will be a reporter and web producer, contributing to our standing and regular features, and serving as the all around website wrangler for us as the Politics Channel expands. Good helped bring The Hill into the digital dimension, running its Congress blog, Briefing Room blog and HillTube video feature. He's a 2005 graduate of Duke, and he plays the blues harmonica.

Feb 19 2009, 2:44PM

2012: Huntsman Travels to South Carolina

It is _so_ not too early, and besides, it's probably more efficient this way. Gov. Jon Huntsman, Jr., of Utah will take a side trip from his National Governors Association meeting in Washington next week. He's going to South Carolina, where the state's kingmaking attorney general, Henry McMaster, will introduce him to a bevy of state chairs and activists. The news was first reported by the Deseret News.  McMaster's participation is interesting; he was an early endorser of Sen. John McCain's. A spokesman for McMaster tells me that his sherparing duties aren't meant to indicate any endorsement. "Governor Huntsman and Attorney General McMaster have some mutual political friends from the McCain campaign and the Reagan administration and the governor is hosting a fundraiser for General McMaster in Salt Lake in March," said Trey Walker.  "McMaster is hosting a dinner in SC for him to introduce him to some supporters and friends while he is on the east coast." 

Feb 19 2009, 2:35PM

The Market Mover Fallacy

Added to the list of political fallacies I've started...well.. I am starting, right now: the market mover fallacy. Check out this rant by CNBC's Rick Santelli, who is outraged at President Obama's mortgage subsidization plan. That's perfectly reasonable. But the context surrounding his discontent, at least as posted by Matt Drudge, seems to be the news that the equity markets hated the plan. (Check out the reaction of his live audience).  Therefore, the plan must be bad. 

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Feb 19 2009, 12:51PM

Young Democrats and Young Republicans Unite

And what could possibly bring them together?  What else? Sunday liquor sales in Georgia.

Feb 19 2009, 12:13PM

Changing The Culture

I was reminded of how President Barack Obama is changing our culture when reading a pool report yesterday on First Lady Michelle Obama's hosting of 180 students from D.C. elementary schools at the White House. The White House's chief usher reminded the children -- most of them black -- that the nation's executive mansion was built by slaves. That's something he couldn't have said, wouldn't have said, and would have made headlines if he'd uttered the phrase if the president were white and the first lady wasn't a direct descendant of those slaves Amid the economic crisis and the daily scrum, one can quite easily lose sight of the importance of this juxtaposition. And then there's this: a serious, light-hearted effort to change urban linguistics....instead of using the N word, use "president."  Even if it's a satire or parody, it works. (Update: it _is_ a parody.)  And still... it's provocative.

Multimedia

Feb 19 2009, 11:54AM

President, Please!

Replacing the "N Word" with "President," or, how Obama's election is changing urban linguistics.

Feb 19 2009, 9:00AM

Obama Prepares His Budget

It will be a vitally important political document, the crucible for Obama's ideas about economic sacrifice, responsibility and post-partisanship.  Next week's fiscal responsibility summit tees up Obama's first address to Congress, which tees the budget outline (to be released two days later, probably on 2/26), which tees up the schedule for the rest of the year.  Big question: will it be an honest budget? If so, it'll be painful to read -- the administration would get real about war costs, for example, and the budget plan would contain deep cuts in favored Democratic programs. Will it contain specific proposals to address the growth of entitlements? (Remember, health care reform really can't take begin without a firm idea of what Congress is going to do about Medicare and Medicaid.)

Feb 19 2009, 7:30AM

HHS Update: Sebelius?

The New York Times reports this morning that Gov. Kathleen Sebelius of Kansas has emerged as the leading candidate to be nominated for Secretary of Health and Human Services.  White House officials insist on caution when using the term "leading."  But of the two candidates known to be vetted (the other is Tennessee's Phil Bredesen), only Sebelius has yet to pooh-pooh her own chances. 

Feb 19 2009, 7:16AM

President Obama's Top Republican Ally

SACRAMENTO-While tensions are rising between President Obama and Congressional Republicans, California's Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger says he is eager for more opportunities to partner with Obama on big issues like health care and energy. He's also got some advice for the new president about building inclusive "post-partisan" coalitions.

Schwarzenegger is positioned to become perhaps Obama's most important Republican ally.

He was among the most prominent GOP governors who backed the economic recovery plan that cleared Congress with support from no Republicans in the House and just three in the Senate. And Schwarzenegger has advanced his own state-level initiatives on health reform, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and promoting alternative energy that closely track Obama's campaign proposals.

"Whether it is health care, whether it is environmental issues, we are willing to work with him," Schwarzenegger said in an interview Tuesday as he lustily puffed on a cigar in his smoking tent inside the State Capitol. "We started with infrastructure because that was a very important part of the whole thing and we felt it was really good that he was interested in infrastructure and put money aside as part of the stimulus."

Though leading Congressional Republicans have grown steadily more dismissive of Obama's stimulus package, Schwarzenegger continues to defend the plan, particularly the elements promoting energy conservation and renewable energy. "There is good stuff in there," he said.

"Some of my Republican colleagues are questioning how does it create jobs when you green government buildings. Well let me tell you, you don't green government buildings by just looking at it; you have to put a lot of people to work to green all those buildings. And you have to buy a lot of technology and you create a lot of jobs if you go and say all government buildings [must be retrofitted] That is all in the right direction."

Schwarzenegger can probably relate to Obama's problems attracting Republican votes. The plan the governor negotiated with state legislative Democratic leaders to eliminate the state's $42 billion budget deficit with a mix of spending cuts, tax increases and borrowing has been blocked because it can't attract the meager three votes from Senate Republicans it needs to clear the state constitution's two-thirds requirement for budget approval.

At a brief press conference Wednesday Schwarzenegger said that the legislative Republicans insisting that the state's deficit can be closed without tax increases need remedial math lessons. Amid the protracted standoff, the state has begun sending layoff notices to as many as 20,000 state workers and is preparing to shelve hundreds of infrastructure projects-which could throw out of work nearly another 100,000 people in a state where unemployment is already spiraling. Late Wednesday, the governor's aides expressed hope that they may be nearing the third Senate Republican vote they need-but hopes have been raised and dashed before during the 105 day impasse.

Schwarzenegger said he hasn't given any thought to whether he'd accept a job from Obama after his gubernatorial term expires in 2010, though he did say: "Even without having a position it would be my pleasure to do anything I can to help him be successful because it is our country." But while Schwarzenegger remains in office, cooperation makes political sense for both him and the president. Obama won nearly 61% of the vote in California last November, more than any candidate in either party since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936. And as the White House confronts the reality that relatively few Congressional Republicans have either an ideological inclination or electoral incentive to regularly compromise with them, spotlighting support from GOP governors will likely grow increasingly important to them.

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Feb 18 2009, 6:16PM

SpeechRead: Bernanke Defends The Fed

I've invented the term SpeechRead to refer to my service (or time-killer?) of reading important American political speeches so you don't have to.

 

Read the speech. 

 

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke chooses to begin his remarks about the American economy with an anecdote about his boyhood hometown in South Carolina, where unemployment is 14%.  Even the Federal Reserve, reserved, impartial, calm, has a heart.  Bernanke calls the economic challenges of our time "extraordinary," in the sense that they are pervasive, largely unforeseen, and usually rapid in making themselves known. Most financial journalists are using that word in their lede stories.  Reading and understanding his speech is helpful for non-specialists like me, and I presume, most of my readers, even if you're inclined to disagree with the particulars.

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Feb 18 2009, 4:54PM

The Atlantic's Boldest: The Department Of Corrections

1. In one of my Six Clicks yesterday, I refered to Joe Klein as "Joel Klein."

2. Twice I referred to Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn as "she." Mr. Quinn is unambigiously a male.

3. I repeatedly (and even in an earlier version of this post) misspelled the name of RNC chairman candidate Chip Saltsman. 

4. In an early version of a post, I said that it remained uncertain whether Justice Ginsburg's cancer was malignant; all cancers are malignant. As the son of an oncologist, I should know this.

I apologize for all these errors; I take them seriously, because they make me look stupid. That said, there will be more, and I ask for your forbearance in advance.

Feb 18 2009, 4:46PM

DrudgeWatch: Sweden Rocks

Matt Drudge's headline has been roughly the same for about 24 hours: OBAMA MOVES TOWARD 'SWEDISH MODEL' FOR BANKS   Ooh. Scary. Socialism. Nationalization.  But it's not Obama who's moving toward the Swedish model, it's the entire American elite who are, including most bankers, economists, and many Republican senators.

Feb 18 2009, 3:53PM

The Good and Bad in Obama's Housing Plan

Obama announced his proposal to prop up the collapsing housing market today in Phoenix (one of the country's foreclosure capitals). Having obviously learned from the debacle of Geithner's banking plan roll-out, today's proposal was both larger ($75 billion rather than $50 billion) and more detailed than many expected. The proposal has its faults -- it is more costly than necessary and includes cram down provisions -- but I expect it to be effective, and I'm glad to see the focus on servicer and homeowner incentives. The White House has published an executive summary of the plan (PDF) and an online Q&A. Here are a few of the plan's strengths and weaknesses:

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Feb 18 2009, 3:00PM

What The Uighurs Decision Means

The White House was expecting today's decision and, in a way, welcomes it, because it gives that branch maximal authority to decide what to do with Guantanamo detainees, preventing federal judges from unilaterally ordering the release of a detainee into the country. As I understand the reasoning, the 17 detainees in question don't possess habeus corpus right simply because the previous administration incorrectly or injudiciously deemed them to be "enemy combatants." Judge A. Raymond Randolph asks "what law authorized the district court to order the government to bring petitioners to the United States and release them here?"

Why is the Obama administration OK with this outcome? Because they want flexibility, even if it means that, in the end, federal judges will have more authority than they currently do.

Feb 18 2009, 2:15PM

Democrats Get All Preemptive-y

The White House and Congressional Democrats were caught off-guard by the quality, quantity and perseverance of Republican opposition to the economic stimulus plan, perhaps lulled by the opposition party's joyful, pre-inaugural riffs of a bipartisanship theme.  Communication -postmortems have been conducted by White House, House and Senate Democratic officials. And as the president introduces his plan to remedy the housing crisis, they're operating off lessons learned.

 

First: be pre-emptive in framing.  That's the idea behind a research release from the Center for American Progress. Don't let Republicans appear on talk shows without giving their media interlocutors something to challenge them with. As Republicans carp about the plan, you'll see Democrats point out that Republicans have been urging the president to get to this phase of the economic recovery universe more quickly.

 

The goal is to make it difficult for Republicans to keep saying they support the goals of the president's plans but not the legislation aiming to further them. Do Americans really think there is such a vast divide between the way Republicans and Democrats want to accomplish things that Republicans just simply can't bring themselves to support the legislation to advance goals everyone agrees on?



On the other hand, party unity is a precious commodity. The balancing act for Republicans is to find the sweet spot where opposition to the Obama agenda does not seem to the American people like (a) opposition for the sake of opposition or (b) opposition arising out of wedlock between Congressional Republicans and political conservativism of recent years, a failed state, in the eyes of voters.

 

The main Republican criticisms of the plan appear to be that the plan doesn't help those who need it -- Sen. Richard Shelby says it helps those who least need it, pointing to the Fannie/Freddie refinancing instructions, which would allow "underwater homeowners to refinance even if they are not at risk of default."  You'll see Republicans pound away at Democrats for not prioritizing the need to keep people in their homes.

 

Privately, Democrats and White House officials say that, indeed, one of the longer short term goals (not an oxymoron) is to nudge people who shouldn't be owning homes back into the rental market until the economy stabilizes.

 

Also: a goal is to prevent foreclosure waves, the idea being that foreclosed properties reduce home prices by a significant amount and produce social costs that exceed the suffering experienced by the buyer and the lender. Keeping people who can afford homes in their homes is one of the best ways, the administration believes, to drive out speculators and balance the market. Through incentives, the government wants to convince private lenders that it's worth their dime to renegotiate mortgages without acrimony, and ultimately, to reduce the debt-to-income ratio to around 30% ; crucially, according to the White House, the government isn't doing the lending directly. 

Feb 18 2009, 2:05PM

First House Democrat To Call for Burris's Resignation

Actually, Rep. Phil Hare (D-IL) is the first member of Congress to call for the resignation of Illinois's newest senator. 

"I am deeply disappointed that Senator Burris hid the fact that he attempted to raise money for former Governor Blagojevich at the same time he was lobbying for an appointment to the U.S. Senate.

"Senator Burris' story has now evolved several times since he testified before the Illinois House Impeachment Committee in December. The only logical conclusion is that he is not being entirely straight with the people of Illinois.

"A cloud of corruption has hung over our state and its leaders for too long. The impeachment and removal of former Governor Blagojevich was a step in the right direction. But just as it looked like a new era in Illinois politics was possible, we suffer yet another setback. It is like a recurring nightmare.

"Given this latest revelation, I believe it is in the best interest of all Illinoisans that Senator Burris resigns. Our state and its citizens deserve the whole truth, not bits and pieces only when it is convenient."

Feb 18 2009, 2:03PM

How's It Playing?

Following the President's signing of the $787 billion stimulus package in Denver yesterday, editorial boards across the nation's "purple states" assessed the bill's long-term implications for their state economies.

The Rocky Mountain News takes stock of what it believes is good and bad in the bill. Though arguing the stimulus is necessary and praising its investments in infrastructure, the editors question the President's enthusiasm for large increases in federal spending on health care and education. They are eager to know how Obama will reconcile this non-infrastructure spending with another goal he stated in Denver - restoring fiscal discipline.

The Cincinnati Enquirer argues that the most important feature of the stimulus bill is that the country will perceive it as aggressive action against the country's economic woes. While the editors suggest that we may need further tax cuts down the line, as well as additional targeted spending programs, they praise the President for passing the bill so swiftly after taking office. They believe the stimulus package represents an appropriately aggressive start to the long-term process of revitalizing the American economy

More

Feb 17 2009, 7:49PM

Feeling Good About What You've Bought

The Americans United coalition has cut the first post-ARRA television ad; it'll run on national cable and in Washington, D.C., according to a spokesman. Why the need to tout a bill that's already been signed? One calls to mind Charles Grodin's character in Dave, wondering why the country needed to spend money making Americans feel good about cars they already bought?  The answer, I think, lies in two words: "first step."  They were used by President Obama today at the bill signing. They're used by Obama in an e-mail to his presidential campaign list. And they're in the new ad. The goal, I think, is to condition elites, and then the American people, to see the economic recovery act as one of several significant, expensive, complicated (or, to keep the metaphor, high, risky and precarious) steps that the government needs to take in order to right the economy.   

Feb 17 2009, 7:26PM

I Read The Auto Biographies So You Don't Have To

Here's GM's plan.   It wants up to $30 billion from the government.... in exchange for essentially becoming SM: Specific Motors.

More

Feb 17 2009, 2:51PM

With Stimulus Done, Labor Turns To EFCA

With successful passage of the $787 billion stimulus package in their rearview mirror, organized labor is returining to their top political priority: convincing Congress and the President to pass and sign the Employee Free Choice Act, or card check, which would remove significant barriers to unionizing.  Labor's working with a coalition of Democratic allies, including the Center for American Progress Action Fund, which will release a  report tomorrow on the benefits of unionization for the U.S. economy.  The grassroots field campaign of the unions continues to be gradually ratcheted up; events will be held in 16 states. And labor is working nicely together: the state-based events are being done in complete coordination between AFL-CIO, Change to Win, and SEIU, who will be working in total coordination to pass the Employee Free Choice Act.

Feb 17 2009, 1:51PM

How's It Playing? The Auto Quandary And Tarp II

Editorialists are getting used to the administration's new approach to the auto bailout. The Kansas City Star counsels that President Obama must ensure that government supervision is "based primarily on the broad public good rather than narrow political interests in Washington." A number of recent editorials and op-eds also grappled, in one way or another, with the Gregg debacle and GOP opposition to the stimulus, and the long-term implications of these developments for the Republican Party.

More

Feb 17 2009, 1:45PM

The Gay Shift

A post last week on Gov. Jon Huntsman Jr.'s new support for civil unions precipitated a history lesson of sorts from advisers to former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney.  I wrote that Romney

".... was blasted as a false convert to the "pro-marriage" side for appearing to switch his position from favoring civil unions to opposing them. Romney said he supported neither arrangement for gays but preferred civil unions if he had to choose; he was pushed into weighing in on the issue because of his state's Supreme Court legalized gay marriage during his term."

It's tough to be a Republican presidential candidate and try to handle the gay issue.  Romney was caught in a trap of sorts.It's true that he never unambiguously supported civil unions;  he  ran for governor opposing both gay marriage and civil unions while favoring domestic partnership agreements.

Of course, it seems quaint now, but in pre-gay marriage Massachusetts, the idea of granting reciprocal rights to same-sex couples was considered progressive for a Republican. Later, the issue of marriage equality became the sine qua non of the gay rights movement -- thanks largely to the Massachusetts Goodrich decision.

Civil unions were a term of art used to refer to the arrangements that Vermont's legislature had made to comply with a state supreme court decision of their own); the implication, though, was what Romney's "domestic partnership" support was equivalent to a the support of civil unions, at least as a concept.

In 2003, Massachusetts's Supreme Judicial Court legalized gay marriage. Romney fought to pass a constitutional amendment defining marriage as a union of one man and one woman. That amendment lost. A competing amendment defining marriage as a union between one man and one woman but also permitting civil union came up for consideration and the governor's office supported it -- relucantly.

Why? Romney aides that it was their only option at that point, and that they needed a positive vote that we could take to the court in order to seek a stay of the SJC's ruling until the constitutional amendment process played itself out.

The hybrid amendment passed but the court strategy failed.

What Romney did next was tio drop his support for the hybrid amendment and join an effort to get a pure "one man/one woman" amendment back before the Legislature.

It required a citizen signature drive, and Romney were successful in doing that, and got it through its first "yes" vote in the legislature (it needs two "yes" votes by the legislature meeting in constitutional convention before it can be voted on by the people).

At that point, Romney left office. When Deval Patrick came in, he successfully urged a "no" on the second vote and the amendment died.

Precisely because it's a complicated legal and legislative process, Romney's foes have distorted the facts to claim he "supported" civil unions. Viewed in context of what actually happened, it's more complicated.

In defense of Romney and others, though, the terrain on gay rights has been shifting so fast that most politicians in the middle have been caught out in the cold -- both moderate Republicans who find their "progressiveness" on gay issues is no longer so compelling to LGBT voters, and moderate Democrats who find themselves on the wrong side of a signal civil rights issue.  

(To that end, Obama will be probably be the last Democratic presidential nominee to oppose same-sex marriage.)

Romney's tone on gay rights changed, as his friends and even members of his family would come to notice.  Early on, he didn't have a problem associating himself with gay equality, in part because he faced no pressure from social conservatives.  One that pressure was felt, he tried to balance surface calls for tolerance with his new crowd's outright opposition to homosexuality itself.

Of all the potential 2012 candidates, Huntsman and Gov. Sarah Palin are closest to where the public is. Romney's next.

Feb 17 2009, 1:06PM

Recovery.Gov: It's Alive!

I see that recovery.gov -- the administration's website for tracking stimulus dollars -- has gone live. From the website's welcome note:

Recovery.gov is a website that lets you, the taxpayer, figure out where the money from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act is going. There are going to be a few different ways to search for information. The money is being distributed by Federal agencies, and soon you'll be able to see where it's going -- to which states, to which congressional districts, even to which Federal contractors. As soon as we are able to, we'll display that information visually in maps, charts, and graphics.

There is an interactive map with state-by-state estimated job effects and a chart on the areas to which the funds are allocated.

Feb 17 2009, 12:38PM

The Biggest Tax Cutter

Don't know if anybody has yet noticed in the Republican Party but President Obama was presented last week a major talking point for 2012.

He'll sign today one of the largest tax cuts in history.

In spite of the White House pointing this out to journalists, it is funny how little remarked-upon this is.

It's hard imagine we won't hear about this  four years from now. And if that's not boxing a future Republican candidate in ahead of time, I don't know what is.

Think about how many potential Republican arguments are going to be pre-empted by that nice little fact?

Feb 17 2009, 11:57AM

Bob Schaffer Hits the Bottle

Maybe this is a sign of just how bad things have gotten for Republicans: recent Colorado Senate candidate Bob Schaffer has become...(drum roll)...a margarita pitchman! For real. Specifically, he is hawking something called "Coyote Gold Premium Margarita Mix." (Which makes a lot of sense, because when people think "delicious margaritas" they naturally also think "Colorado.") Here's video to prove it. Look out Coors Light. You've got Rocky Mountain competition.

Feb 17 2009, 10:47AM

When The Auto Makers Report In...

You can find their plans here, on the Treasury's website. Don't expect anything until later in the afternoon.

Feb 16 2009, 12:08PM

Rethinking The Clinton Transition

Remember how bad that Clinton transition was? All the nominee juggling. The stronger-than-expected prerogatives of Congress? Early White House chaos? Communications problems?   The point is: transitions are very hard. Maybe it's not fair to compare them. Depending upon your point of view, Obama's transition was stunningly efficient (thanks in large part to the Bush White House) or it vindicated the decisions that Clinton's planners made. In late 1992, Clinton decided to focus on cabinet nominees and policy first, and put off the organization of the White House staff until later. Some of Obama's policy reviews, by contrast, still haven't been completed. The White House staff had weeks to prepare, but in retrospect, the building is like a gravity field operating on energy: everything slows down, regardless of input.  Metrics don't tells us everything either; by this point in 1993, every cabinet member sans one -- the Attorney General -- was confirmed. 

Feb 16 2009, 11:26AM

Straw Men

You can forgive President Obama, struggling with Congress for the first time as the Oval Office occupant, for resorting to a debating tactic that would make my high school forensics teacher, Dean Rhoads, scowl.  Of a large basket of his opponents, the President said:   

As I said, the one concern I've got on the stimulus package in terms of the debate and listening to some of what's been said in Congress is that there seems to be a set of folks who -- I don't doubt their sincerity -- who just believe that we should do nothing. Now, if that's their opening position or their closing position in negotiations, then we're probably not going to make much progress, because I don't think that's economically sound and I don't think that's what the American people expect, is for us to stand by and do nothing.

I don't doubt Obama's sincerity either, but, well, straw men are made of sterner stuff.

Except for a Republicans on the fringe, the opposition party did want to do something: they wanted more tax cuts and fewer spending. (It is true that, as the debate went along, Republicans seemed to suddenly have as much trouble with the size of the package as with its composition - and if that sounds dirty, it's meant to be.)  Obama has regularly described these policy prescriptions as "failed;" there wasn't a need to mischaracterize.  What was it about the debate that pressured President Obama to appear to exaggerate the nature of Republican opposition?

It may have been the polls.  Internal polling conducted for the DNC and passed along to the White House confirmed public polling: overwhelmingly, Americans wanted Congress to "do something."  Casting your opponents as wanting to "do nothing" was a neat trick, and one that might have been intended to obscure a policy debate that had gotten away from the White House, at least temporarily.   Another neat trick: portraying opposition as "well meaning" and just the same old politics, as if the election, once and for all, completely sealed off the White House from mere politics, and completely ratified Democratic political principles as ideology-free.   Democrats respond to these assertions by pointing out, correctly, that the practical effect of Republican opposition was wholly political: if they'd succeeded in peeling off a Democratic senator, the works would be gummed up and Obama wouldn't get his stimulus and nothing would be done.  

Besides, they say, the President and his chief political adviser, David Axelrod, can be forgiven for seeking to make explicit the contrasts they perceived.  Make no mistake: the Axelrod to Obama channel is broadcasting loudly these days, much to Obama's benefit. 

Indeed, Axelrod has a similar habit of discovering new opponents, a tendency that manifested itself at various points in the presidential campaign.  Obama's going through a rough patch; the cable news networks are Availability Biasing the present, turning bumps in the road into insurmountable boulders, reporters are asking normal questions, and - boom - persecution complex . Washington thinks one thing, but Obama thinks another. The smelly denizens of the Beltway are totally out of touch with the American people.  The American people know exactly what Obama is doing.  Washington's ways are the problem.  And so on. 

I used to think this was intellectually dishonest.  Why would such a sophisticated campaign fall into such cliché caricature?  Then I realized that Axelrod really believed it. And because he turned out to be right more often than not - Obama did have a long-term strategy; the American people did possess a subtlety that the press corps forgets - he deservedly gets a little bit of a pass. 

Lest you think I'm being uncharitable,  let me also say that Axelrod's self-preservation instincts, his  ability to read routes, his insistence on ethics and accountability, all these were critical to  Obama's political success.  (The first senior White House official to counsel Obama to say he screwed up when Tom Daschle's tax problems exposed a double standard, was, I am told, Axelrod.)

Conversely, Mr. Axelrod's supreme attention to The Narrative of Barack Obama is, I must say, admirable and annoying to those of us who try to see shades of gray.

It was jarring to read Axelrod channel Frank Rich, in a column by, uh, Frank Rich:

On Wednesday, as a stimulus deal became a certainty on Capitol Hill, I asked David Axelrod for his take on this Groundhog Day relationship between Obama and the political culture.

"It's why our campaign was not based in Washington but in Chicago," he said. "We were somewhat insulated from the echo chamber. In the summer of '07, the conventional wisdom was that Obama was a shooting star; his campaign was irretrievably lost; it was a ludicrous strategy to focus on Iowa; and we were falling further and further behind in the national polls." But even after the Iowa victory, this same syndrome kept repeating itself. When Obama came out against the gas-tax holiday supported by both McCain and Clinton last spring, Axelrod recalled, "everyone in D.C. thought we were committing suicide."

The stimulus battle was more of the same. "This town talks to itself and whips itself into a frenzy with its own theories that are completely at odds with what the rest of America is thinking," he says. Once the frenzy got going, it didn't matter that most polls showed support for Obama and his economic package: "If you watched cable TV, you'd see our support was plummeting, we were in trouble. It was almost like living in a parallel universe."

For Axelrod, the moral is "not just that Washington is too insular but that the American people are a lot smarter than people in Washington think."

For one thing, these dastardly cable networks get a lot of love from Obama advisers. (How many times has a senior official appeared on Morning Joe since the inauguration?  More than  a half dozen?)

For another, the "punditocracy," as Rich calls it, did not uniformly pronounce rites upon Obama's opposition to the gas tax holiday;  in fact, the opposite was true. They agreed with it substantively and believed it would work properly. 

For another, the punditocracy was at least half right: the White House had to change gears. They believed they'd get GOP support. They didn't. They scrambled to ramp up a communications strategy that proved, yes, successful.  

For another, the p-tocracy doesn't exist in the way Axe and Rich believe it does. There are so many different types of pundits, analysts and reporters, all broadcasting to an immensely sophisticated audience that sifts, filters and chooses what to believe. (Most (non-conservative) op-ed columnists weren't hysterical about the White House's growing pains, for example.)

Obama's winning, and he has plenty of political enemies.  Why the need to find them where they aren't?

Feb 15 2009, 9:16AM

Obama's To Do List

Everyone has a to-do list around the house.

In an interview Friday afternoon on Air Force One en route to Chicago, President Obama shared his with a small group of columnists.

Now that Congress has approved his economic recovery plan, he was asked, what's his plan for the rest of 2009? Here's his reply:

THE PRESIDENT:  My priorities for the rest of the year.  Number one is to get the right structure for the successor to TARP; spending the $300-some billion that has already been authorised as wisely as possible, and injecting transparency and trust into the financial system.  Having a housing program that provides relief to people who are at risk of losing their homes.  Financial regulations that ensure that the crisis doesn't happen again.  A innovative and aggressive push for health care reform that focuses not just on access but also on costs, and trying to just provide relief to working families.  And a push for an energy policy that puts us on a path to sustainability. 

You asked given what we inherited, are we going to be able to get all this done.  Some of these reforms don't cost money.  They will still be heavy political lifts because there are philosophical arguments about how to approach it.  Some of these problems are very complicated.  Health care is a classic situation where it may cost money on the front end and save enormous money on the back end and what we're going to have to figure out is what can we do now to start getting that ball rolling, because the longer we put that off, the worse off we are financially.  Medicare and Medicaid on their current trajectory cannot be sustained.  And the only way I think we're going to fix it is if we see those two problems in the broader contest of bending the curve down on health care inflation....

I should add one more thing and that is a budget process that starts bending the deficit curve down. I think that all these goals are complementary.  I also think that the American people understand we won't get everything done overnight.  The U.S. government and the U.S. economy are enormous ocean liners, they're not speedboats.  So what we will do this year is to try to get them on the right trajectory and hopefully that means at the end of my term you'll look back and you'll say we're at a different place than we would have been had we not made these changes.

Footnote: one White House aide says to look for Obama to convene his fiscal responsibility summit-an effort to build consensus for long-term deficit reduction- on the day before his economic speech to Congress on February 24. Later that week, Peter Orszag, the Office of Management and Budget director, will unveil the framework of Obama's first budget.

Feb 14 2009, 3:10PM

Obama: An Eternal Optimist -- But Not A Sap

The common theme of  President Obama's early efforts has been the solidity of his goals, and the pliability of his means for achieving them, Atlantic Media political director Ronald Brownstein writes. Brownstein and a select group of columnists interviewed President Obama last night.  Read Ron's take here.  An except is below.

Obama held no illusions about the scale of the challenges he faces, both economic and political. One of those challenges was the overwhelming Republican resistance to his plan, which frustrated his campaign hopes of quickly bridging Washington's ideological and partisan divides. Obama seemed to split that opposition into several categories. Some of it was ideological: "I think that there were some senators and House members who have a sincere philosophical difference with the idea of any government role in boosting demand in the economy. They don't believe in [economist John Maynard] Keynes and they are still fighting FDR." Some was tactical: "I also think that there was a decision made... where [Republican leaders] said... 'If we can enforce conformity among our ranks, then it will invigorate our base and will potentially give us some political advantage either short-term or long-term." He paused. "Whether that's a smart strategy, I think you should ask them."

Feb 14 2009, 11:10AM

When Might Obama Revise The State Secret Privilege?

Consider the case of Maher Arar, a Canadian citizen who was rendered to Syria after being detained by U.S. authorities at New York's JFK airport in 2002. Arar was subsequently tortured by Syrians. He's suing the U.S. government for damages. (Read Jane Mayer's compelling account of Arar's experience here)

The government invoked the State Secrets Privilege to respond to certain requests by Arar's lawyer.  A judge threw the case out on several grounds, only one of which was the assertion of the privilege. A three judge panel on the appeals court agreed, but now the full appeals court is now re-hearing the case.

What attracts the Obama Administration to this case is that the State Secrets Privilege was not asserted as the primary reason why the case shouldn't go forward, the courts so far have not dismissed it solely on those grounds, and the suit is against the government, not a private corporation.  The Obama Justice Department could revoke the privilege claim on the grounds that it was improperly asserted, and they could still keep the case alive. Revoking the privilege in this case would not jeopardize the entire case and wouldn't necessarily set a standard that the administration would later regret.   Or they could settle the case, providing a roadmap of sorts for future claims against the government.

Feb 13 2009, 8:17PM

Stimulus Meets Obama's Standard

A few weeks ago the Obama administration released a stimulus metrics report (pdf) promising that 75 percent of the stimulus would pay out in the first 18 months. Fiscal stimulus, said team Obama, should to be timely. And they received a bit of a drubbing for saying so: early reports suggested that the House version of the bill would pay out at a tardier rate than promised.

Well, earlier today the CBO released its cost estimate (sorry, another pdf) of the conference version of the bill. According to the CBO, the deficit will increase by $584.3 billion in the first 18 months, out of a total $787.2 billion deficit increase. By my math that's a 74.2251 percent payout rate. So unless someone wants to be awfully punctilious about the missing .7749 percent, I think it's safe to say that the stimulus bill meets the standard of timeliness that Obama set for himself.

On the other hand, if you substract the silly $70 billion for the AMT patch -- and I do want to be annoyingly punctilious about that -- the payout rate drops a couple of percentage points. Still, it's not bad.

Feb 13 2009, 4:12PM

Media Shields Up!

While the stimulus debate consumes all attention, a bill to enhance journalists' rights has been introduced in Congress. A federal shield law to usually prevent journalists from having to divulge confidential sources was brought back to the House of Representatives on Thursday. The Free Flow of Information Act would create a shield law applicable in federal cases, like that of Judith Miller's in 2005. State shield laws do not apply in federal cases.

More

Feb 13 2009, 3:14PM

2012 And Huntsman's Surprise

(with reporting from Justin Miller)

Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, Jr. (R) stunned his state when his spokesperson  announced the governor's support for civil unions. 70 percent of Utahns oppose civil unions, but their objections won't count against Huntsman who said he won't run for a third term as governor - but they could weigh heavily on a 2012 White House run.  Huntsman is presidential-quality timber. One of the most popular governors in the country, he's smart, has deep pockets that could fund a campaign and he's had a conservative record earned by cutting taxes and slimming government. He is pro-life and calls himself a social conservative.  In fact, the Weekly Standard calls him as "impressive as [Bobby] Jindal, though far more moderate." After this week's development Huntsman will live up to the "far more moderate" label. Huntsman was one of the first governors to endorse John McCain in 2008 and stayed with McCain through The Troubles.

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Feb 13 2009, 2:21PM

Organizing For America: A Test Run

Organizing for America, the current incarnation of the Obama campaign, considers its economic recovery meeting program a huge success.  How so? Without ground organizers, they held 3,600 meetings in all 50 states and Americans submitted more than 31,030 stories about their economic plight.  See them here.  Here's my question: what happens now?  Did these stories influence Congress? Or was this more of an exercise... a way to see how Obama supporters would respond to a call. No, I'm told, the point was to gather the stories to post them in a way that puts a human face on the crisis.   But.. who's looking at the website?  Local newspapers and TV stations, according to Obama political aides. The goal is to get local coverage from all of the stories.  We'll see.  The scale of the response has been impressive, but its effects and ultimate purpose are unclear.

Feb 13 2009, 1:46PM

Conservative GOP Mormon Governor Favors Civil Unions

Sorry to reduce Gov. John Huntsman, Jr. of Utah that way, but it's an easy shorthand.He opposes gay marriage but supports expanding civil rights for gay people. More on this a little later...


Feb 13 2009, 1:25PM

Roubini Watch On The Go

Guru-seekers like me can now follow the financial prophet of the age, Nouriel Roubini, on our iPhones. His company, RGE Monitor, has created a free iPhone app called Roubini Watch.

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Feb 13 2009, 12:12PM

The Bill's Here

ProPublica has the best summary of its spending provisions per government agency.

Feb 13 2009, 11:45AM

Dems And Welfare: A Response

The author, who asked to remain anonymous, is a former Democratic Hill staffer who spent years in trenches of welfare reform.

"I can assure you that Democrats are not "secretly gutting welfare reform."  Democrats have long been concerned that the "caseload reduction credit" is a blunt instrument.  Why exactly should a state get credit towards the work participation standards just because they have fewer people on the caseload?  The evidence is pretty clear that it's not like 100% of people who leave welfare get jobs -- the "leaver studies" of the late 90s suggest that, at best, 2/3 of those who leave have jobs at some point.  What Rector at Heritage is arguing -- and has always argued -- effectively means that states should get credit towards the work participation rate for families they cut off and end up in homeless shelter.  How is that work?  What Democrats have tried to get -- including during the early 00's reauthorization -- was a more targeted "employment credit" that would give states credit for former recipients with jobs.  Crazy liberals like Blanche Lincoln and John Breaux supported this switch."

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Feb 13 2009, 11:02AM

Oh Big Bank? Dr. Geithner Is Here To See You

There is a subtlety to the Obama administration's TARP principles that needs to be made explicit.

 

It's an arguable point, but these so-called stress tests, which will be involuntarily given to major financial institutions, are the spark plugs for a much larger government intervention in the banking system.


My premise is that policy and politics intersect. TARP II will not be administrated in a frictionless universe.


The major question for Treasury these days is: is the problem one of liquidity or insolvency? The administration's private answer: we know that it's an insolvency problem; we'll deal with liquidity in the near term and set up a way to deal with solvency over the long-term.

 

The point here is that the administration CANNOT force broad nationalization down Congress's throats; they CAN begin to make that argument when there is proof that a major bank is insolvent.

 

How does the administration prove this? 

By giving these banks physicals -- stress tests.

 

When it turns out that one, two, or four major banks or institutions are unquestionably on the brink of insolvency, it will be MUCH easier for the government to step in and seize them, politically and administratively.  Whether this is done by some new entity, a la Sweden, or by an existing entity, like the FDIC, is unclear, probably will depend on conditions at the time.


The government has neither the capacity or capability to see all the banks. And I'd bet that many physical might simply be given some medicine -- beta blockers, if you will -- in the form of cash to keep them minimally solvent until the crisis has passed. 


But others might be deemed too big too fail, and TARP II allows the government to take them over if necessary.

Feb 13 2009, 11:00AM

Are Dems Secretly Gutting Welfare Reform?

Is this the return of welfare wars?

The final compromise of the economic stimulus bill includes $5 billion for states that anticipate a larger than expected increase in welfare claims. But to give states maximum flexibility, Democrats have written in a provision that would allow states to increase the number of welfare caseloads while holding steady the percentage people getting Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) benefits that would be required to work or look for jobs. Before we get into the details, a word about the politics: a number of conservatives and even liberals have written to me wondering why the GOP isn't making more of a fuss about this. The answers are fairly simple: they want to avoid being seen as poor-people bashers, they know that Americans still associate welfare with minorities, and there are different sensitivities they must consider when making political claims about the priorities of the first black president.

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Feb 13 2009, 9:52AM

"OUTRAGE"s Of The Week

Outrage is the corn-based ethanol that fuels political action in Washington. Today, we're inaugurating a recurring feature: a list of the outrages, genuine and contrived, of the week. Missed an outrage? E-mail us.

1. The mayor of Las Vegas is OUTRAGED that Barack Obama dared to... say something about Las Vegas.

2. Democrats are OUTRAGED that Eric Cantor's office forwarded to the press a satirical video that included...horrors...naughty words. 

The rest, after the jump.

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Feb 12 2009, 7:08PM

Breaking Table: Judd Gregg

Andrew Sullivan and me on what happened, what we're hearing, and what this means for Obama's agenda. 

Feb 12 2009, 5:27PM

Judd Gregg Steps Away

First, breaking thought: boy, the White House has a problem. The White House confused bipartisanship with consensus-building and used Gregg as a token.

 

Second, considered thought: Gregg says he just messed up. He thinks Obama is sincere about bipartisanship. And if Gregg is sincere in what he says, then the White House may have a new Republican ally in the Senate.

 

Sen. Judd Gregg, at his press conference: "has been my own person." It "became clear to me that it would be very difficult for me to serve in this cabinet or any cabinet and not be 100% with the team."

 

Says POTUS "has been incredibly gracious."  Says that "none of this decision [is about] his  willingness to offer  diversity of thought."



Says POTUS "has aggressively reached across the aisle." Says Obama "will be a strong and effective and good president."

 

Says he will be "more effective" for POTUS in the Senate.

 

Says the Census "was a slight catalysing issue. It wasn't a big enough issue to discuss what the issue was."

 

Says administration is doing "extraordinary job" of managing financial crisis.

 

"I made a mistake. I should have focused sooner on the implications of my being in the cabinet versus ... doing my own job."

 

A note about the census: it's NOT TRUE that the White House removed the agency or its personnel from the Census Department. It IS true that the White House has discretion over policy. Gregg seems to now understand that the Census issue really wasn't an issue.

Feb 12 2009, 5:19PM

Gregg: How It Might Play

To watch: is the media going to go with the "Gregg does not believe Obama was sincere in his outreach" angle (which would seem weird to find out about AFTER you have accepted the job?

Or is this an angle through which the Republicans are going to look like the ones slapping Obama everytime he reaches out?

Feb 12 2009, 5:15PM

White House On Gregg: He Wanted The Job

Here's a statement from Press Secretary Robert Gibbs:

"Senator Gregg reached out to the President and offered his name for Secretary of Commerce.  He was very clear throughout the interviewing process that despite past disagreements about policies, he would support, embrace, and move forward with the President's agenda.  Once it became clear after his nomination that Senator Gregg was not going to be supporting some of President Obama's key economic priorities, it became necessary for Senator Gregg and the Obama administration to part ways.  We regret that he has had a change of heart".

Feb 12 2009, 4:58PM

The Granite Cracks: Judd Gregg Withdraws

A reporter's notebook:

Sen. Judd Gregg's decision to withdraw caught the White House by surprise. The press office found out about it at about the same time as the world did. If senior administration officials had advance notice, they did not widely disseminate it.

 

The White House loses a major talking point in bipartisanship and a major player on fiscal discipline and at least one news cycle. 

 

A Republican associate of Gregg's says that he knew "from the beginning" that "it was not going to work" -- as in, the course of events convinced him almost immediately that his own values and the political goals of the Obama White House were in too much conflict.

 

The friend speculates that Gregg was waiting for the right moment to withdraw.  That said, Gregg wanted the job in the first place, and presumably knew what he was getting into. It would be incorrect to believe that he was coaxed into this, charmed into it, by the White House, although administration officials went out of their way to convince Gregg that his input would be valued, even going so far as to pledge not to ask New Hampshire's Democratic governor to appoint a Democratic replacement.

 

The Census: the White House was trying to calibrate its message, letting Latino groups know that it took their concerns about underreporting seriously without creating a partisan issue. The White House failed in this endeavor. The thread was just too big for the needle.


A Democratic aide e-mails: "You can tell something went sour or bitter here, Gregg puts out his statement about 30 seconds before Obama starts his stimulus speech."

Feb 12 2009, 4:20PM

Breaking: Gregg Out

Sen. Judd Gregg, it turns out, didn't like the Obama administration's policy on the Census and did not believe that the White House was serious about its bipartisan outreach. More on this story as it develops.  Here's a statement from his office:

Sen. Gregg stated, "I want to thank the President for nominating me to serve in his Cabinet as Secretary of Commerce.  This was a great honor, and I had felt that I could bring some views and ideas that would assist him in governing during this difficult time. I especially admire his willingness to reach across the aisle.

"However, it has become apparent during this process that this will not work for me as I have found that on issues such as the stimulus package and the Census there are irresolvable conflicts for me.  Prior to accepting this post, we had discussed these and other potential differences, but unfortunately we did not adequately focus on these concerns.  We are functioning from a different set of views on many critical items of policy.

"Obviously the President requires a team that is fully supportive of all his initiatives.

"I greatly admire President Obama and know our country will benefit from his leadership, but at this time I must withdraw my name from consideration for this position.

"As we move forward, I expect there will be many issues and initiatives where I can and will work to assure the success of the President's proposals.  This will certainly be a goal of mine.

"Kathy and I also want to specifically thank Governor Lynch and Bonnie Newman for their friendship and assistance during this period.  In addition we wish to thank all the people, especially in New Hampshire, who have been so kind and generous in their supportive comments.

"As a further matter of clarification, nothing about the vetting process played any role in this decision.  I will continue to represent the people of New Hampshire in the United States Senate."

Gregg's decision renders moot my post below.

Republicans are atwitter at anonymous news reports suggesting that the White House doesn't trust Republican Commerce Secretary designate Judd Gregg to handle the delicate political sensitivies associated with the 2010 Census. Minority groups have long contended that they're undercounted and have advocated the use of statistical modeling to improve the count. Republicans have Gregg have long believed that Democrats want to inflate their numbers for political gain.  When black and Hispanic groups protested Gregg's nomination, the White House assured them, perhaps overeagerly, that Census policy is carefully overseen by the White House.   Republicans, willfully or genuinelly, took this to mean that Rahm Emanuel or Michael Strautmanis or someone at the White House would micromanage the Census and bypass the chain of command.

More

Feb 12 2009, 3:11PM

StimPack Summary

After the jump, the latest summary from the House Appropriations Committee.

More

Feb 12 2009, 2:23PM

How's It Playing? More On TARP

A Dallas Morning News editorial says that regular folks are justifiably angry at the gargantuan sums top banks received from the public TARP purse, but that Congress should be put in the "hot seat" as well. U.S. banks behaved badly, it argues, but Washington enabled them.
 
The Seattle Times criticizes the Obama administration for raising expectations about Geithner's address on Tuesday and then shoving him on-stage "empty-handed". Americans carrying the debt of the bailout deserve candor on the challenges, opportunities and expenses of the nation's economic crisis, the editors argue.
 
The (Charleston, SC) Post and Courier also implores Geithner to rapidly fill in the blanks on the administration's plans to revitalize the banking sector. Until "the details are clear on how the government will evaluate bank balance sheets, and what prices the new partnership will offer for troubled assets," the editors believe it will be hard to predict results.
 
The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette is concerned by the magnitude of the administration's proposed rescue of the country's financial houses and that the bailout will be routed "through the sticky channels of Wall Street", doing little for the average taxpayer. 
 
The (Oklahoma City) Oklahoman says the Obama administration "is finding it easier to vilify former Treasury chief Hank Paulson than to come up with a better plan" to boost the financial sector.   
 
The Boston Globe says that Geithner and the Treasury Department "shouldn't settle for half-measures when bold strokes are needed."
 
By contrast, The Sacramento Bee assesses the massive scale of the stimulus package and concludes that the lessons of overconfidence have been lost on the new generation of liberals.
 

Feb 12 2009, 1:37PM

NRCC Airs Ads Bonking Dems On Stimulus

The National Republican Campaign Committee is hitting 30 Demcorats with radio ads blasting their support for the stimulus package, a spokesman said.  Listen to an example of the ad here.  The ads say that these Dems "voted for a wasteful, porkbarreled spending program," and include the Litany -- STDs, smoking cessations, NEA funding.  The ad buys aren't large, but they're the first major effort by the right-of-center crowd to hold Democrats accountable. According to the NRCC, the ads target:   John Barrow (GA-12); Bruce Braley (IA-01); Chris Carney (PA-10); Travis Childers (MS-01); Kathy Dahlkemper (PA-03); Steve Driehaus (OH-01); Chet Edwards (TX-17); Bart Gordon (TN-06); Alan Grayson (FL-08); John Hall (NY-19); Steve Kagen (WI-08); Mary Jo Kilroy (OH-15); Larry Kissell (NC-08); Suzanne Kosmas (FL-24); Dan Maffei (NY-25); Betsy Markey (CO-04); Eric Massa (NY-29); Jerry McNerney (CA-11); Charlie Melancon (LA-03); Dennis Moore (KS-03); Glenn Nye (VA-02); John Salazar (CO-03); Mark Schauer (MI-07); Kurt Schrader (OR-05); Carol Shea-Porter (NH-01); Ike Skelton (MO-04); Zack Space (OH-18); Harry Teague (NM-02); Dina Titus (NV-03) and Tim Walz (MN-01).

Feb 12 2009, 1:16PM

Where's The Bill?

No one has seen the final text of the stimulus package legislation yet. The Democrats probably won't follow through on their promise to post bill texts online at least 48 hours before a vote, probably because they want to meet the somewhat artificial deadline imposed by the White House. Rumors abound about what's in the bill and what's not; some say retroactive executive compensation restrictions are in, others say they're out. There is always a tension between transparency and efficiency. Democrats, in this case, are choosing the latter value.

Feb 12 2009, 12:47PM

Let's Stop This Before It Goes Any Further

The award for "Most destructive effect on public discourse by a single person" for the 2000s, so far, goes to Dick "no doubt" Cheney.  ("Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction." Cheney, speech to national VFW Convention, August 26, 2002.) Of course, this is a career-achievement award, not limited to this one event. 

 

My nominee for the winner in the 1990s would be Elizabeth "Betsy" McCaughey. At various stages in her career she has been a banker, a Republican politician, and a staffer at conservative think tanks, but she entered the public stage in the mid-1990s in the guise of a dispassionate, independent researcher who considered it her duty to inform the public about the dire threats it faced. Come to think of it, that is more or less the guise Cheney took in warning about the threat from Iraq.

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Feb 12 2009, 12:25PM

The Loyalists

All the focus on the lockstep Congressional Republican opposition to President Obama's economic recovery has overshadowed an equally striking development: Congressional Democrats are uniting much more comprehensively around Obama's early agenda than they did around Bill Clinton's.


So far, the experiences of Obama and Clinton are similar in one respect. Not a single House or Senate Republican voted for Clinton's economic agenda in 1993, either on initial passage or when it returned to each chamber from a House-Senate conference committee. Every House Republican opposed Obama's plan when it initially cleared the House last month and just three Senate Republicans backed it when it cleared the chamber on Tuesday. Obama might gain a few House Republicans when the chamber considers the final bill this week, but almost certainly not enough to change the overall picture of preponderant GOP opposition.

 

But Obama's experience with Congressional Democrats is notably different than Clinton's.  In the initial House vote on Obama's plan last month, 244 House Democrats sided with the president and just 11 opposed him. That's a marked improvement over Clinton's performance with House Democrats during the key votes on his economic agenda. In the initial vote on Clinton's plan, 38 House Democrats voted no (compared to 218 who supported him). After conference with the Senate, the final version of Clinton's plan passed the House that August with a bare minimum of 218 votes-largely because 41 Democrats voted no. That means almost 96% of House Democrats voted with Obama on his economic agenda, compared to the roughly 85% who supported Clinton on both the first and second round.

The contrast is equally stark in the Senate. All 58 Senate Democrats backed Obama's economic plan. By contrast, six Democratic Senators voted against Clinton's plan on both initial and final passage; those defections meant that the plan reached Clinton's desk only after Vice President Al Gore cast a tie-breaking vote on August 5, 1993.

 

Congressional Democrats are displaying comparable levels of unity on other early Obama priorities. Every Senate Democrat voted for both the expansion of the children's health insurance program for the working poor, and the Lilly Ledbetter Pay Act making it easier to bring sex discrimination lawsuits. All but two House Democrats voted for the insurance expansion (on both initial and final passage) and all but five backed the Ledbetter Act.

All of that contrasts again with the divisions that plagued Clinton and Congressional Democrats. In both 1993 and 1994, House and Senate Democrats voted together around 85% of the time (according to the annual calculations from our friends at Congressional Quarterly), with the disagreements most likely to erupt on the biggest issues like the North American Free Trade Agreement and the crime bill. Fissures among the Democrats were a key reason Clinton's health care legislation never reached a floor vote in either chamber.

 

Democratic lobbyist Steve Elmendorf, formerly chief of staff for House Democratic Leader Richard Gephardt, offers several reasons why Democrats united more effectively for Obama's economic plan than Clinton's. For one thing, Obama won a stronger victory than Clinton, who managed just 43% of the vote in 1992's three way race; Obama's package also cut taxes, rather than raised them, as Clinton's did to close the deficit he inherited from George H.W. Bush.

 

Two other structural factors may be at least as important in the change. One is the evolving nature of the Democratic caucus, especially in the House, as the electorate has ideologically resorted over the past generation. That "great sorting-out" has reduced the number of conservative Southern Democrats most likely to vote against the party majority during the Clinton era and added more Democrats from centrist non-Southern suburban districts more in tune with the party's overall thrust. "It's a different demographic," Elmendorf says. "In 1993, before the 1994 election, we had a lot more southern, a lot more rural, a lot more conservative Democrats than we do now. We have some, but to the extent has party has grown it has grown in the more affluent suburbs, so the kind of Democrat we have is more likely to be supportive of the party than the boll weevils we had in 1993-94 who were frequently looking for an opportunity to [vote against] the party."

 

Tom Bonier, targeting director at the liberal National Committee for an Effective Congress notes that while the House Democratic caucus is almost as exactly as large now (257) as it was in 1993 (259), over that intervening period the party has lost 22 Southern and Border state seats and gained 21 everywhere else. "You had a lot more Democrats representing very Republican districts in conservative Southern and border state regions then and you don't have that now to the same extent," he says. Likewise, Democrats hold about the same number of Senate seats now (58 or 59, depending on Minnesota's final outcome) as they did in 1993 (57), but fewer are in the South. All of that suggests the party is more cohesive partly because more of its members are representing comparable constituencies and operating with common electoral incentives.

 

The other factor reflected in the early Democratic unity is a long-term shift in the Capitol Hill culture that has diminished the tolerance for defection in both parties. The level of party unity among both House and Senate members has increased in each party under every president since the 1970s (again according to CQ figures). When Henry Waxman overthrew John Dingell as House Energy and Commerce chairman earlier this year partly because of concern that Dingell would resist the party majority's climate change legislation, it sent legislators a vivid reminder that they are living in an era when advancement is increasingly linked to loyalty.

On other issues, Democrats may experience sharper differences. Energy and climate change may divide them by region and health care could split them ideologically-leaving Obama with some of the same headaches Clinton faced. But the decades-long trend toward greater party unity and a more parliamentary-style of legislating-on both sides-seems irreversible.

 

Feb 12 2009, 10:48AM

The Logic Of George Will

His argument:

John McCain probably was eager to return to the Senate as an avatar of bipartisanship, a role he has enjoyed. It is, therefore, a measure of the recklessness of House Democrats that they caused the stimulus debate to revolve around a bill that McCain dismisses as "generational theft."

P1: John McCain enjoyed being bipartisan in the past.

P2: [All people who enjoy things in the past will want to continue doing them in the future.]

C1: Therefore John McCain wanted to continue being bipartisan.

P3: John McCain did not continue being bipartisan.

P4: [Only recklessness by House Democrats could cause John McCain not to be bipartisan.]

C2: Therefore House Democrats are reckless.

Huh?

Feb 12 2009, 10:22AM

The Crown Jewels

Amnesty International USA, The Center for Human Rights and Global Justice, and the Center for Constitutional Rights obtained, via FOIA, documents that confirm the existence of secret CIA prisons at Bagram and in Iraq; affirm the DOD's cooperation with the CIA's ghost detention program; and show one case where the DOD sought to delay the release of Guantánamo prisoners who were scheduled to be sent home by a month and a half in order to avoid bad press.
JS_Docs_Feb_2009.pdf

Feb 12 2009, 5:04AM

Housekeeping!

Based on reader requests, the RSS feed of this site now includes the full text, rather than an excerpt and a link. But if y'all start to mess with my traffic, I reserve the right to change it back.

Feb 12 2009, 4:55AM

Don't Bail

Republican primaries in three competitive 2010 U.S. Senate races may see attacks from the right on candidates who voted for the financial bailout last year. The bailout was never particularly popular among Republicans, even when nominee John McCain supported it. Now just 35 percent of Republicans say that passing the $700 billion bailout was a good thing, according to a December Gallup poll. This low support could mean uphill battles for Republican House members who are running for Senate next year.

In Missouri, former Sen. Jim Talent (R) announced today he would not run for Sen. Kit Bond's (R) open seat next year, leaving the Republican contest a likely fight between Rep. Roy Blunt and state Treasurer Sarah Steelman who are said to be considering Senate campaigns. Blunt could face heavy fire from Steelman for voting twice in favor of both versions of the bailout last year and being the chief House Republican negotiator with Democrats to pass the bill. Steelman said in September she would have voted against the bill.

In Illinois, Reps. Mark Kirk and Peter Roskam are also considering running against Sen. Roland Burris (D) and could also fight over the bailout. Kirk voted in favor of both versions of the bailout while Roskam opposed them. 

As for the newly competitive Connecticut race to beat Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT), whose popularity has tanked over a mortgage controversy, the bailout dynamic may be slightly less harmful. Connecticut is stacked with insurance and financial industry employees who may been the most keen to the bailout. Still, former GOP Reps. Chris Shays and Rob Simmons could spar over the issue. Shays voted for the bailout twice before losing reelection in 2008. Simmons, who was booted from Congress in 2006, said the bailout money's been wasted.

 Having seen that plan's roll-out go over like a lead balloon with the stock market and Republicans' low approval of bailouts, Blunt, Kirk and other Republicans who supported the original bailout may decide to revise their stances for fear of primary challenges.

Feb 11 2009, 5:02PM

State Secrets Legislation Re-Introduced

Sens. Specter, Leahy, Feingold, Whitehouse and Kennedy unveiled the 2009 version of their State Secrets Protection Act today. Its aim is to provide guidance to federal courts currently considering cases involving the ever-so-controversial State Secrets Privilege.  The legislation codifies best practices that some courts use but others don't, like the appointment of special masters to independently evaluate intelligence information.  The government would be required to disclose the evidence behind its particular privilege claims to judges, and not merely assert that such evidence exist.  Also, judges wouldn't be able to dismiss the case solely because the privilege has been asserted; the pleadings stage must have been underway, along with document discovery. (Note: judges can still dismiss the case solely based on the privilege claim, but he or she must vet the information in a legal proceeding beforehand, and must allow the defense to make a counterlcaim.) The legislation would establish new safeguards for protecting classified information and provide a way for judges to report on the cases to Congress.

Feb 11 2009, 4:52PM

Provocation of The Day: Not Changy

Something about the fluff boilerplate, especially this week, is unconvincing. Pakistan is cooperating on some things, but its lack of cooperation on others almost completely destroys the point of the help they do provide. 

From the White House Press Office:

President Obama also had a productive conversation with Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari this morning.  President Obama expressed his support for Pakistan's democracy and his commitment to a strong partnership with Pakistan.  The two leaders agreed on the importance of maintaining a strong bilateral relationship to address issues of common interest, such as counter-terrorism and economic development.  And in line with Ambassador Holbrooke's mission, both leaders agreed to work together to advance peace and prosperity in Pakistan and the region.

All this says is that the veneer of friendly cooperation is important to the public relations goals of the administration. Don't treat Americans as if they're stupid. A more honest "readout" would indicate that the two men discussed nuclear terrorism, Afghanistan, the ISI, Pakistan's economy, and A.Q. Khan (the U.S. doesn't even know where he is at this point!) No embellishment necessary. No "strong bilateral relationship," no "agreed to work together," no hosannahs to Pakistan's democracy. Pakistan helps the US on intelligence matters, and the administration doesn't need to take slaps at them; indeed, the U.S. believes that economic assistance to the Pashtunistan region is the most effective diplomatic weapon we have. Fine.  But sugarcoating the relationship is intellectually dishonest.

Feb 11 2009, 4:00PM

How's It Playing? TARP II and The Stimulus Package

Will DiNovi and I are going to try to compile this feature every day -- a smattering of opinion and first takes on what's happening in Washington from news and editorial observers outside Washington.

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Feb 11 2009, 3:13PM

Bredesen's Down On His Chances

Tennessee Gov. Phil Bredesen says that the post of Health and Human Services secretary probably won't come his way.  Meanwhile, at an Atlantic event this morning, my colleague Joshua Green tried to get Sen. Ron Wyden to say whether he might be up for consideration. Wyden wouldn't say...

Feb 11 2009, 2:35PM

On State Secrets, Why Didn't The Administration Seek A Continuance?

Of all the responses to the administration's endorsement of the state secrets privilege in Mohamed et. al. v. Jeppesen, one question pops out: why, if the administration were simply overwhelmed with information, didn't they just ask the court of appeals to give them some more time? Even if denied, it would signal their intention to review the government's strategy and the facts of the case. Wouldn't it be a costless legal move? 

It's a valid question. Read on.

More

Feb 11 2009, 2:28PM

Jindal to Give GOP Response

One thing to know about Bobby Jindal -- he's stopped giving interviews to national political reporters; he wants to focus on his state. But on February 24, the opportunity to represent the Republican Party to the nation was too good to pass up.

Feb 11 2009, 1:30PM

Behind The Palin Pull Out

Sarah Palin is pulling back from her post-election media spree by withdrawing from CPAC, a move that can only help her if she wants a national political role.

 

More

Feb 11 2009, 1:24PM

Just Asking....

Why are all the formal stimpak conferees male?

Feb 11 2009, 12:20PM

Why Geithner Won't Nationalize The Banks

I'm decidedly not an expert on bank nationalization, but from discussing the matter with some experts and administration officials, the primary reason why the Obama Administration decided not to nationalize (or even quasi-nationalize) banks (a.k.a., take the Swedish approach) is because the government doesn't have the capacity or the staff to do so, because the Treasury and the Fed wouldn't be very good at it, and because it would precipitate a political and policy fight that's much larger than what the administration could reasonably handle at a time when it has so many urgent tasks. We're talking about the Big Banks here, and not the smaller ones that have already been nationalized.

Feb 11 2009, 11:25AM

Bank CEOs In The House

The House Committee on Financial Services is now holding its hearing on Tarp Accountability. Eight CEOs of the biggest banks that received TARP money have been called to testify, including Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman, Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan and Ken Lewis of Bank of America. For the CEOs it is a chance to go an an "image offensive" and make the case that their institutions have been lending far more in recent months than they would have in absence of TARP funds. For Committee Chair Barney Frank it is an opportunity to call the bankers to the carpet for doing tacky things with taxpayer dollars.

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Feb 11 2009, 10:54AM

A (Real) Deal

The real (but technically fake) conference is almost finished, with House, Senate and White House negotiators -- (the three Republicans, Rahm Emanuel, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi) -- letting it be known that they've come to accord on at least $790 billion in spending. (ABC News has a precise figure of $789.5)  The Republican Senators will pare back some of their preferred tax cuts, and the Democrats will get some of their education / state aid money restored, although both sides will have to sacrifice.  The fale (but technically real) conference is slated to begin this afternoon, giving an illusion of broad bipartisan negotiation to the enterprise. 

Feb 11 2009, 10:13AM

Rangel Murtha

Rangel Murtha. Murtha. Rangel Rangel Rangel. Murtha. Rangel. Murthangel. Rantha.  Democrats have a major perception problem here, no? 

Feb 11 2009, 10:10AM

Just Asking...

The Democrats are selling the stimulus plan as it if were a Samsung 50 inch integrated plasma TV.  The Republicans? Where's the 527 activity? Where are the influencer-targeted cable ads? I get plenty of e-mails from Republican/conservative groups warning of the socialization of government, and maybe talk radio is talking care of the base quotient for Republicans, but no one seems to be willing to put any money behind the opposition.

Feb 11 2009, 10:08AM

Your Conference

It's at 3:00 pm ET today; live on C-SPAN, featuring Sens. Reid, Inouye, Baucus, Cochran and Grassley, Reps. Obey, Rangel, Waxman, Lewis and Camp.

Feb 11 2009, 8:14AM

Does A-Rod Have A Date With Congress?

Monday's interview with Peter Gammons of ESPN was intended to answer, and in so doing quell, the explosive news that New York Yankees' slugger Alex Rodriguez tested positive for anabolic steroids in 2003. Yes, he did it, Rodriguez haltingly confessed. His admission had all the hallmarks of a professionally managed damage-control campaign: the intimate home setting, the soft sweater*, the furrowed look of concern, the cloying phraseology ("I was young and naïve"--didn't Monica Lewinsky say that!?), and, because he's a Yankee and therefore a dim bulb, the utter inability to pull it off convincingly. All of it was geared toward "putting this behind him" and ensuring that it be only a one-day story.

Read the dispatch by Joshua Green.


Feb 10 2009, 9:51PM

Solis Gets A Vote?

Organized labor had been told not to expect a vote on the confirmation of Rep. Hilda Solis to be Labor Secretary until after a brief Congressional recess.  Now, labor's being told that Solis's vote will take place tomorrow at 2:00 pm.  One White House official says that scenario "looks good" but wouldn't confirm it any further; another said that there is a mark-up scheduled but no vote.

Feb 10 2009, 9:22PM

StimPack Politics: More Ads

A very excited Brad Woodhouse of Americans United e-mailed to say that group member AFSCME is airing new ads on national cable and on spot markets in DC that take a play from GOP Whip Eric Cantor's advice to Republicans to just say no on the stimulus bill.  The tagline of the spots: "No is not an option." Says Woodhouse: "We also have radio spots going up targeting 21 House and Senate members titled "Second Chance" which reminds voters that the target in question voted against the Obama plan and since then it was announced that nearly 600,000 jobs were lost in January - 20k a day - and that they will have a second chance to do the right thing and support the bill."  All the ads will air beginning Wednesday and last through Friday, at least. My Foghorn Leghorn Voice, I say I say I say I say again -- where's the other party's outside ads? Why aren't Republican donors paying for anti-stimulus ads?

Feb 10 2009, 5:40PM

"No Easy Out"

TARP II is released. Poor reviews from many. Wall Street plummets.  Obama, on ABC News's Nightline tonight, is nonplussed. "Well, you know, Wall Street I think is hoping for an easy out on this thing and there is no easy out."  

Feb 10 2009, 5:33PM

Why They Kept Secret

The State Secret Privilege is perhaps the most powerful executive tool available for any president to use, and thus the Obama administration's decision to preserve its invocation, in Mohamed v. Jeppesen, was immediately interpreted by the vocal civil libertarian community as a betrayal of its basic principles. During the campaign, Obama had criticized its use to preemptively dismiss civil lawsuits against the government. Adding to the current agitation, Obama aides have been silent about its reasoning and the process. 

But based on interviews with current administration officials involved in the case, with Bush administration officials, as well as with national security law experts, a clearer explanation emerges.

Officials decided that it would be imprudent to reverse course so abruptly because they realized they didn't yet have a full picture of the intelligence methods and secrets that underlay the privilege's assertions, because the privilege might correctly protect a state secret, and because the domino effect of retracting it could harm legitimate cases, both civil and criminal, that are already in progress.

"If you decide today precipitously to waive this privilege, you can't get it back,
an administration official said. "If you decide to assert it, you can always retract it in the future."

Though Justice Department prosecutors tended to the case during the presidential transition, senior Obama administration officials at the department were involved in a brief but detailed review of the case; they included Eric Holder, the attorney general, who has been on the job for less than a week. The director of the CIA hasn't been confirmed yet; at the time of his hearing last week, nominee Leon Panetta had been briefed about some ongoing issues, but was not yet read in to most of the agency's classified activities. 

Speculation about the underlying intelligence abounds. Some critics say that the administration agreed to keep the privilege assertion in place because it wants to participate in whatever illicit activities the privilege is meant to cover up.  But many of those same critics argue that so much about the case is already in the public domain.

The officials who spoke would not discuss the particulars of the case. They did agree to discuss the various cross-pressures that the administration finds itself facing.

One is that many Obama administration legal experts believe that the privilege was recklessly abused during the past six years in particular, and that its application became political or punitive. To that end, Holder directed his staff to review all current assertions of privilege -- a review that won't be completed for several more weeks.  It may very well be noted that foreign policy concerns aren't state secrets, and it shouldn't matter in a U.S. court of law whether Jordan's King would be politically inconvenienced, or whether, even the United States should have the ability to decide what constitutes a state secret in a case where people were tortured.

The state secrets privilege has been bureaucratically calcified to an extent that worries many experts, with the Department of Justice making the decision about what's harmful more and more often, and the CIA and other intelligence agencies having less of a say.   There is evidence that the privilege has always been used in this way, but that the Bush Administration's invocations were subject to more (legitimate) watchdogging from the press and outside interests. Some Obama administration officials believe that the privilege's assertion is legitimate, but that the Supreme Court, in the case which gave rise to the privilege, was much too deferential to the government.

One problem: the glut of cases courts are dealing with force the administration's hand. "Courts are not going to allow them to have as much time to think through the policies," said Robert Chesney, a University of Texas authority on national security law.

Retracting the privilege in this case might subject the government to a host of claims that it cannot fight; it makes sense that the administration wants to manage how it handles the issue of accountability.

Then there are the secrets themselves.

Public documents in the case cite the cooperation with the U.S. of Pakistan and Morocco, but the government has hinted that a trial would necessitate the release of information that bears on many other countries as well, countries which may have signed classified security arrangements with the United States, and countries who don't torture but would retract their intelligence cooperation if its nature was to be publicly disclosed.

Similarly, though the Obama administration has promised to stop rendering prisoners to countries that torture, Obama might well wish to keep up intelligence cooperation on other matters; if a country like Jordan, which is known to have taken rendered prisoners and known to have cooperated on a secret basis with the U.S. on many other activities, decides that their internal political risk is too great, they may withdraw cooperation altogether. A new administration needs to be very careful about the signals it sends.

"These new officials at DOJ, because of their own past arguments, deserve the benefit of the doubt," said Ken Gude, a national security law specialist at the left-leaning Center for American Progress. "I can't imagine that the magic wand has risen over them in the two weeks they've been office, so that they'll say, 'we were wrong, and the Bush Administration was right.'"

"I completely agree with the decision," said William Weaver, a professor at the Unviersity of Texas at El Paso and a long-time critic of the privilege. "You can't unring the bell. Once this stuff is out and it's been released, then it's over." 

The senior administration official said that the decision should not be interpreted as a definitive administration statement on accountability for the Bush Administration, or even for the five Mohamed detainees who were tortured.

"We all recognize that it's a very complex and sensitive dynamic, but whatever the answer, discovery in a piece of private litigation is not it. It might be the [Sen. Pat Leahy] truth commission idea, a DOJ truth commission, or even investigations run by the Justice Department. There will be a national clearing of the air," the official said.

"Whether people like it or not, it is going to take us some time to figure us out." a senior administration official said.

A Justice spokesman declined to comment; a spokesperson for Leahy, who came out in favor of a truth and reconcilliation commission yesterday, said that her boss would have no comment on the Jeppesen case.

Feb 10 2009, 3:00PM

Jim Jones On A New NSC

One of the ways we hope this site distinguishes itself from others is by paying attention to what people in power say. Sounds common enough -- but if the official isn't a President or a leading member of Congress, we tend to ignore them. News coverage of the Munich Conference rightly focused on Vice President Biden's careful words on Russia, NATO and Afghanistan. Few paid attention to the speech by the new national security adviser, James L. Jones, a speech within which he laid out the rationale for a massive reorganization of the National Security Council.  He'd given hints in an interview with an American newspaper a few days before. But before the security professionals in Munich, he spelled out what he meant.

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Feb 10 2009, 12:48PM

State Secrets

I'm going to spend some more time on the phone this afternoon attempting to figure out why the Obama Administration ratified the invocation of the state secrets' privilege yesterday.  We know what happened; we know how civil libertarians responded; we know that the Justice Department used the occasion to announce a review of other invocations; we know next to nothing about the sequence of events in this case; we know the how, but not the why. 

Feb 10 2009, 11:56AM

The Big Sell

Selling the Financial Stability Plan might be even more difficult for the administration than convincing the American public that in the short term, adding nearly $1 trillion to the debt is the only way to prevent $1 trillion of economic growth from not being realized. Early on, the following interests seem to like the plan: Congress, the Business Roundtable....the Real Estate Roundtable (which loves the expansion of the Federal Reserve's asset backed loan facility), the mortgage industry. Who doesn't? The market, which is skeptical that investors will want to risk contributing to the government's Public-Private Initiative -- and the realization that the government, in a time of unmatched crisis, is putting even more of its assets on the line.

Elsewhere: The Elkhart Truth, the local newspaper for Elkhart, Indiana, sees the President's appearance and press conference there yesterday as a sign that "Obama is fighting on our behalf, as promised." The Rocky Mountain News is concerned that the stimulus package is doing too much to expand health care entitlements. The Las Vegas Sun's editorial board argues "Republicans should end the political grandstanding and vote yes on the stimulus bill. The Des Moines Register seconds the call to avoid delays in passing the stimulus bill. Yesterday, the Concord (NH) Monitor's editorial board argued it was time to bring back the Civilian Conservation Corps and the Works Projects Administration. And, on a different subject altogether, here's an interesting editorial from the Denver Post expressing concern about the enormous costs incurred by the U.S. prison system.

Feb 10 2009, 11:51AM

Obama To Address Congress On Feb. 24

His message: the budget.

Feb 10 2009, 11:11AM

Dems Find Their Man For Ohio

Ohio Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D) has made public what's been known privately for months: his desire to run for U.S. Senate.  Fisher filed paperwork to form an exploratory committee for the race to replace retiring Sen. George Voinovich (R) late Monday. Fisher's demonstrated interest will likely clear the Democratic field of primary challengers given virtually assured support from Gov. Ted Strickland. Barring scandals before the primaries, the Senate race is now set between Fisher and ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

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Feb 10 2009, 8:20AM

Who'll Win The Conference?

A conference could be a meeting of House and Senate Democratic staff, after which a bill is presented to members and a vote is quickly scheduled. Or it could be a fully fledged back-room negotiating session with lawmakers from both parties. Most likely, though, the stimulus conference will be a closed process and focused on reconciling the three Republican Senators who voted in favor of their bill with the desire of Speaker Pelosi and chairman Dave Obey to restore cuts in state and education aid. The White House will preside, as presidents can do -- and I think the House will conclude, in the end, that some of what's been cut from their first go-round can be funded through later appropriations. The pressure from the White House to get Obama a bill will warp political spacetime more than the density pressure of Democrats in the House.

Feb 10 2009, 7:12AM

TARP Details

The TARP II details are now in relief. 1. Government regulators will get banks onto treadmills and perform some sort of "stress test" to make sure that they keep afloat and can wisely spend whatever money they get. Banks that need money will be given a "capital bugger" to make sure they can keep lending.  2. The Treasury is partnering with the Federal Reserve to start a consumer lending initiative that will use up to $1 trillion to kick-start the secondary lending markets, which would reduce borrowing costs across the board. 3. Toxic assets -- PPIF -- the Public-Private Investment Fund will use TARP seed money to create an institution to buy up bad assets -- the private sector would determine the price for these previously illiquid assets.$50 billion will be used to reduce monthly payments and establish uniform foreclosure mitigation guidelines.


Feb 10 2009, 7:08AM

Geithner's Speech

Some highlights from the speech that Sec.Tim Geithner plans to deliver later today:

I want to be candid:  this comprehensive strategy will cost money, involve risk, and take time. We will have to adapt it as conditions change.  We will have to try things we've never tried before.  We will make mistakes.  We will go through periods in which things get worse and progress is uneven or interrupted.

In our financial system, 40 percent of consumer lending has historically been available because people buy loans, put them together and sell them.  Because this vital source of lending has frozen up, no plan will be successful unless it helps restart securitization markets for sound loans made to consumers and businesses - large and small.

Feb 9 2009, 9:03PM

Quoted

"His hand is open, but if you shake it, it has a very firm grip."

Feb 9 2009, 7:45PM

Liveblogging The Obama News Conference

After the jump.

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Feb 9 2009, 7:34PM

Specter On Compromise

The Pennsylvania Republican Senator issues this warning: "My support for the Conference Report on the stimulus package will require that the Senate compromise bill come back virtually intact including, but not limited to, overall spending, the current ratio of tax cuts to spending, and the $110 billion in cuts."

Feb 9 2009, 5:46PM

Obama's Ahead On Nominees

Is President Barack Obama lagging behind the curve when it comes to sending nominations to the Senate for confirmation?  To the contrary: he's breaking it.  Data compiled by a smart contact from public data shows that 41 official nominations were been submitted in January, the most ever for a recent president. President Reagan, in January of 1981, managed to nominate 27 people officially. The second President Bush -- merely 17. The pace of nominations tends to drop in February because Congress is consumed by budget fights; it picks up rapidly in March and April.

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Feb 9 2009, 4:32PM

"The Overlap is 90-plus Percent"

That was Larry Summers' argument for why we shouldn't worry too much about the differences between the House and Senate stimulus bills. But it's worth noting that the psychological threshold of 90 percent doesn't apply in lots of other situations. Observing that "92.4 percent of the of the labor force was employed in January" will reassure no one. And the fact that there is 90 percent overlap between the House and Senate bills shouldn't be reassuring either.

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Feb 9 2009, 3:47PM

Obama DoJ Asserts "State Secrets;" ACLU Blasts Obama

Jeppesen DataPlan, an entity known to anyone familiar with aviation, helped the U.S. government plan flights and logistics for its extraordinary rendition program in the earlier part of this decade. A lawsuit brough by five men who say they were unlawfully rendered to torturing countries was dismissed by a judge who agreed with the Bush Administration's claim of a state secrets privilege. Civil rights activists had hoped that the Obama Administration would somehow change its mind at appeal, and argue the case on its merits in open court. That's not going to happen. Today, the Justice Department -- the Eric Holder / Obama Justice Department -- re-asserted the state secrets privilege in Mohamed et al. v. Jeppesen. This may be disappointing to civil libertarians, but it shouldn't be surprising.

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Feb 9 2009, 3:27PM

Leahy Wants Truth Commission

  1. According to the Wall Street Journal, Senate Judiciary Committee chairman Pat Leahy wants to set up a Truth Commission to explore wiretapping, warrentless surveillance and other Bush Administration era activities. The commission would have subpeona power, but witnesses wouldn't be at risk for perjury. risk for charges other than perjury. An important distinction!

Feb 9 2009, 2:35PM

The World Braces For TARP II

The Department of the Treasury has kept a tight lid on information about its new Troubled Asset Relief Program plans; not even major banks have been briefed. Officials there say they won't begin to brief the financial press until after the Senate passes its version of the stimulus package; lawmakers will hear tonight from Treasury officials. The secrecy has effectively kept tension on a string of economic actors, from Congress, can't adjust its own response to the mortgage crisis without knowing what Treasury will do, to the markets, which have been bobbling.

TARP II is a tranche of about $350 billion designed to unlock the credit markets, help homeowners deal with mortgages and other debt, help and banks deal with toxic assets. The government has almost too many choices. Almost certainly, the Treasury wants to make sure that a large portion of the money it gives to banks will be quickly turned into loans and made available to the public. President Obama, in remarks today, said that the government will "set up a whole new mechanism to help people get consumer credit," and help small and medium sized businesses get credit. "We're going to make sure a lot of that money is going directly to the consumers," he said.

For homeowners - and here, we're talking about primary homes -- the government has at least three options: they can assume the mortgage debt themselves (won't happen), standardize loan modifications (probably will happen through Fannie and Freddie), and force the owners of mortgages to either submit to a third party's terms on what they should be, or work out the terms with the owners of the mortgages themselves.

There have been hints that TARP II will provide government resources to citizens with other types of debt, like outstanding student loans. Treasury officials declined to comment.

The Obama Administration has a unique public relations challenge, and, natch, it involves what'll be the most controversial (and potentially most effective) use of its money.They don't want the public, or the market, to think about the entity that will purchase or assume distressed assets as a "bad bank." They'll be lucky if people adopt the technical term - "aggregator." Instead, according to an administration official, an active, asset-purchasing "public-private partnership" will be set up in lieu of a simple government guarantee on the assets themselves. The Wall Street Journal reports today that the seed money will come from TARP. The big question: how does the government get banks and hedge funds to buy in? What incentives can they offer? Ostensibly, if the banks and funds believed that they were going to profit from contributing capital in the long-term, they might be amenable. But these entities are short of cash as it is, and what cash they have they're either hoarding or paying it out. They're risk averse and not thinking long-term. TARP I demonstrated the government's incapacity to effectively value assets, leaving taxpayers on the hook for the difference between market value and what the government had to pay. Banks had no incentive to sell anything to the government for less than what the government paid another bank.

Presumably, Sec. Geithner knows all of this. According to the Journal, the government's "working theory for the government/private-sector partnership is that investors wouldn't overpay, because if they did, they'd stand to lose money; but they also wouldn't underpay, since the selling banks wouldn't be willing to part with their assets too cheaply."

Banks might buy into the aggregator concept because it gets at the core problem they face, which is balance sheet clean up. The theory is that once you clean up a bank's balance sheet, you'd improve the transparency of the assets of financial institutions and thereby reduce uncertainty in the market and - crucially -- help attract private capital back into the financial system. Getting rid of bad assets also allows managers to focus on running their profitable businesses and not worrying about their toxic assets.

As far as hedge funds co-investing with the government in the aggregator, there is potential for a lot of profit. Distressed assets can be purchased a good prices and risk mitigated by the government's involvement. Government is a good partner because of the resources it can bring to bear on problems it wants to see fixed and because private investors may benefit from guarantees that limit their downside exposure.

Clues and eyewinks coming from the administration suggest that a primary goal won't be recapitalization. Why? Because the money is being lost at a much greater rate than the government can shovel it in. That was a problem with TARP I, and the Obama administration appears to have learned from it.

Feb 9 2009, 2:12PM

Mr. Republican Speaker, You're Not A Republican Anymore

So get out of our party. And while you're at it, formally relinquish our party's claim on the majority in the state house.   According to the Tennessee Republican Party, the Speaker of the state house, a Republican named Kent Williams, is a heretic and no longer deserves to be affiliated with party of Lincoln.  The party's executive committee affirmed the political disbarment, throwing Tennessee politics out of equilibrium. 

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Feb 9 2009, 12:58PM

What's Ron Paul Up To?

It's an economic crisis he largely predicted -- so what's former presidential candidate / Rep. Ron Paul up to these days?  He's thinking about the long-term. His  campaign for Liberty will start training activists at eight regional summits this year while it continues to urge followers to work against the stimulus and bailout measures in Congress.

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Feb 9 2009, 10:19AM

Assistants and Unders

We're two weeks into the Obama administration and there's a good number of Undersecretaries and Assistant Secretaries -- the people who do the deal heavy lifting on policy formation -- who haven't been appointed yet, much less begun their confirmation processes.  It usually takes six to eight weeks from the point of nomination to confirmation.  There's some anxiety among Hill Democrats because of this; a lot that needs to be done can't be done without the right people in place.

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Feb 9 2009, 6:24AM

What's A Depression?

I asked an administration official for a definition. A 5% decline in real GDP over the course of a year? Persistent unemployment, with rates above 10%? I didn't get a good answer...

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Feb 8 2009, 4:38PM

Manna

Hundreds of heretofore unreleased Congressional Research Service reports on virtually every topic of concern to everyone. Wikileaks got their hands on them. Why is this manna? Because the CRS doesn't release reports to the public, and Congress releases them selectively. 

Feb 8 2009, 4:36PM

Bye Bye, RNC Strategy

More evidence that Michael Steele wants a clean slate at the Republican National Committee: on Friday, he axed the entire strategy division, including employees who've worked on data for more than 18 years. These guys have the institutional knowledge that, depending upon your opinion, have either brought the party to its glory days, or kept it from expanding beyond a base of whites.

Feb 8 2009, 4:25PM

"Generational Theft"

That's what House minority leader John Boehner is now calling the House-Senate stimulus proposals. Mr. Boehner blogged these comments on a website that's so new you can't even Google it -- AmericaSpeakOn.org. You're going to hear Boehner's phrase a lot this week from Republicans.  The basic argument is that Democrats are trying to spending and borrow their way to prosperity, which is true in a technical sense but debatable and provocative politically.

An esoteric Question: did Boehner actually write his post himself? Or did a staffer write it and get his approval? Did the staffer get his approval? How often, in Washington, do staffers write blog posts for principals and then convince the press or whomever that the principals themselves deserve credit as the authors? Isn't ghostwriting less acceptable in the blog world? 

AmericaSpeakOn appears to be a new conservative 501(c)4 group..... more on them tomorrow.

Feb 7 2009, 2:19PM

ObamaRoots Participation: Success Or Failure?

"It's a bust!"  That's what McClatchy's Franke Greve concludes about Organizing for America's house meetings to generate support for the Obama stimulus package.

Few supporters are answering President Barack Obama's call for nationwide house-party gatherings this weekend to build grass-roots support for his economic stimulus plan.

A McClatchy survey of sign-up rosters for a score of cities across the country revealed only 34 committed attendees in Tacoma, Wash., as of midafternoon Friday; in Fort Worth, Texas, only 54, and in Sacramento, Calif., just 78.

"Before the election, we would have had 500 to 800," said Kim Mack, 46, a Sacramento city-facility manager who's hosted house parties for political figures and causes since the mid-'90s.

I think it's too early to reach that conclusion. More than 30,000 people have submitted questions, according to Organizing for America. They're expecting tens of thousands of people to participate in more than 3,330 meetings. The grassroots activity and pressure is a downstream effect of the meetings themselves, so it's probably not fair to judge the outcome before there really is an outcome.   Online signups don't accurately reflect total interest -- and during the campaign, there were thousands of paid field organizers and volunteers helping to set up meetings and events.  These events -- these 3,330 events -- are totally volunteer generated.  NB: President Obama recorded a video for his supporters.

Feb 7 2009, 11:39AM

Explaining The Cable TV Booking Dispartiy

One reason why Republicans have taken control of the debate about the stimulus bill is that they're managed to muscle their way onto political television, which influences how other reporters cover the debate.  Why do Republican lawmakers outnumber Democratic lawmakers by a ratio of 2 to 1 on the cable news chat shows? There's a very simple reason.

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Feb 6 2009, 8:54PM

Is The Stimulus Package Really Losing Support?

Perhaps a closer look at stimulus package polling is in order. Many reporters, myself included, have dutifully put forth the notion that the White House is losing support, which is true in a sense: as compared to when it was first contemplated, fewer Americans are lending their unequivocal support for the stimulus.  And the White House "is clearly not where we want to be," as spokesman Robert Gibbs noted today as he revealed the President's travel next week.  But the level of support now versus support from a week ago -- from the time when the public attacks against it began -- appears to be virtually unchanged. Indeed, the basic question asked by Gallup: "As you may know, Congress is considering a stimulus package worth of least $800 billion. Do you favor or oppose such legislation?" -- yields data unchanged since January 25, and, indeed, with a slight change of wording (a package of $775 billion), since early January.

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Feb 6 2009, 4:17PM

Was Blago Rolled?

Rich Miller, editor of Capitol Fax Blog, the insider publication of record on Illinois politics and government, disagrees with National Journal's Jonathan Rauch on whether Gov. Rod Blagojevich was treated fairly by the Illinois legislature. 

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Feb 6 2009, 2:50PM

It's OK To Be Afraid Of Something That's Really Scary

Critics of the Obama administration have accused the President of trying to spook the American people into believing that the only to prevent economic Armageddon is to pressure Congress to support the stimulus package. They're using the language of Democrats who criticized Republicans and the Bush-Cheney administration for trying to scare the American people into a state of suspended obedience to political authority. The terrorist threats might have been real, but we know now that a lot of the "facts" marshalled to support the rhetoric wasn't.  In the case of the economic crisis, though, maybe Americans aren't panicking as much as they should: the job market spiraldown continues, and more apocalyptically, the rate of decline is picking up. The labor force is contracting rapidly; the unemployment rate is close to its 1990s peak at 7.8%. (Want higher than that? Go to the 1970s.) Americans are working fewer hours, too. Scary! Christina Romer, the White House's chief economist, noted that of the 3.6 million jobs lost over the past year, most of them have been lost in the last four months. The rate is comparable to the rate recorded by economists in 1938, during the....yep.

Feb 6 2009, 2:07PM

DeLauro For HHS?

Two Democratic sources say that White House is considering Rep. Rosa DeLauro for the now-vacated Health and Human Services Dept. nomination. DeLauro has the health care chops; she knows the issues cold. She is personally close to the two men who will lead healthcare through the Senate, Sen. Ted Kennedy and Sen. Chris Dodd, for whom she served as chief of staff at one point.  Oh, and the chief of staff to President Obama lives in her basement.

Feb 6 2009, 1:41PM

Next Week, Obama Travels To Sell Stimulus Package

According to a White House official, President Barack Obama will travel to Indiana and Florida early next week as part of a concentrated campaign to sell the American people on the stimulus package.

Feb 6 2009, 1:36PM

Interpreting The Beltway

Editorial boards across the country are grappling with how the stimulus package will affect state programs and budget shortfalls, as well as the electoral fortunes of their local politicians.

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Feb 6 2009, 12:58PM

The return of William Donaldson

A short while ago Barack Obama signed an executive order creating an Economic Recovery Advisory Board, staffed by outside experts and headed by former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker. According to the White House, "The board will bring a diverse set of perspectives and voices from different parts of the country and different sectors of the economy to bear in the formulation and evaluation of economic policy":

The members will include former Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman William Donaldson, former Fed Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson, UBS Americas Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Robert Wolf, General Electric Co. Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Immelt and Service Employees International Union Secretary-Treasurer Anna Burger, according to an administration official.

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Feb 6 2009, 10:40AM

Limbaugh At CPAC

The latest schedule for the Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington, D.C. late February:  Possible presidential candidates include Rep. Paul Ryan (WI), speaking Thursday, Rep. Mike Pence (IN), speaking Thursday -- he's invited, not confirmed -- Gov. Mike Huckabee, on Thursday, Gov. Sarah Palin, on Thursday -- invited, not confirmed, and Rep. John Shadegg (AZ). On Friday, Sen. John Cornyn speaks in the early morning; Newt Gingrich hosts a screening of a movie about Ronald Reagan. Ron Paul and Mitt Romney speak in the afternoon. On Saturday, Rick Santorum begins the day and Gov. Tim Palwenty is an invites speaker.  The lovely Ann Coulter speaks at noon. And Rush Limbaugh finishes the conference.

Feb 6 2009, 10:21AM

Reboot

Can Obama build or even manage a wired presidency?  Wired, naturally enough, investigates

Feb 6 2009, 10:10AM

The Bredesen Experience

The White House and Gov. Phil Bredesen of Tennessee are in serious discussions about the Health and Human Services Secretary position; Bredesen is being vetted for the job. Some activists and health care experts are very anxious because they know that Bredesen, in the lingo of the field, is a cost-cutter, rather than an all-access guy. But his courting by the White House might not be as surprising as it first seems:  Obama's health care plan was always predicated on cost control and a little less than universal. And Bredesen is, above all else, a start-up guy with an enterpreneur's enthusiasm--and waning focus.   This speech to the National Press Club four years ago sums up the PNB approach pretty well:

The bottom line is this: If we want to fix the problem that the states are facing today, and even more importantly if we want to start planning for tomorrow how we in fairness offer a hand to every citizen who needs it; if we want to do these things we have to start by getting the economic fundamentals straightened out; by making the money we have go farther.

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Feb 6 2009, 8:26AM

Political Relativity

Who won?

It's the basic question we love to pretend to hate to ask.  Washington is conditioned to judge the sweep of events as if the sun's path across the sky is the formal marker of political time; the favored metaphors are football and baseball games; four quarters; nine innings.  Thinking about politics in this way distorts reality. 

 

If you're the scoreboard operator, The White House team - and generally Democrats - lost. Unforced errors abounded. Communication between players broke down. Chaos and confusion reigned. Hard evidence: support for the stimulus package dropped fairly dramatically. This observation tells us something about the challenges of our times, and of the growing pains of changing a government, and of the institutional competition between branches. 

 

You could be excused for not thinking that the end result is inevitable: sometime soon, probably within ten days, President Obama will sign a massive, $800 (or so) billion stimulus package into law. Most of the principles he outlined in January will have been successfully transformed into actionable legislation. He will have won, despite having allegedly lost.  Democrats will have won. They will have succeeded in putting a down-payment on their party's most cherished political priorities.

 

History is agnostic; it's just that the basic structure of politics has changed. The field is tilted in a direction. Republicans are fighting uphill, and make no mistake - they are fighting like hell.

 

Not to say that the process hasn't been messy, and that heretofore unforeseen challenges won't confront the new power elite, and that the White House will escape the fight without getting cut. The BDAs can come later.

 

Obama had to quickly recalibrate after it became clear that ex-Sen. Tom Daschle's nomination, though tenable, would come at too much cost. I also think Daschle wasn't in the mood to fight and win but lose, perhaps, his honor in the process.   Obama had campaigned on a platform of single standard and transparency, and here he seemed to be making an exception for a good friend of his on the basis of, well, nothing but the friendship. He campaigned on a platform of blocking lobbyists from serving in his administration, but he had just given several of them a waiver, and here he was, standing by a Washington insider who ostensibly (although unintentionally) broke the law. Once the Daschle blinders were taken off, Obama apologized. The Outside the Beltway news coverage was much more favorable than the "honeymoon is over" crowd. 

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Feb 6 2009, 6:19AM

The Table: Who Got Rolled This Week?

What the heck happened between Obama, the House, the Senate, and the public? Andrew Sullivan and I try to sort it all out. The Table, an Atlantic exclusive, is back.

Feb 5 2009, 9:14PM

Labor To Fight Back On Solis

For organized labor, enough's enough. The nomination of Hilda Solis is languishing in the Senate, with Republican protesting Solis's past association with labor groups and Democrats wondering about the tax problems her husband recently solved. Tomorrow, the AFL-CIO fights back. "Enough is enough," a spokesman said tonight  Watch Friday for labor, women's groups and Hispanic groups to open fire against Republicans. "We worked with [Republicans] in good faith. Solis has answered all their questions but they continues to oppose her for partisan ideological reasons."  No word on labor is satisfied with the level of White House pressure on Congress to get Solis approved.

Multimedia

Feb 5 2009, 9:07PM

The Table: Stimulus And Ideology

What the heck happened this week? Andrew Sullivan and I try to sort it all out. The Table, an Atlantic exclusive, is back.

Feb 5 2009, 6:39PM

How Obama Gets To 60

National Journal's Kevin Friedl explains how -- and who. Check out his helpful chart.

 

Feb 5 2009, 6:31PM

Dean For HHS Gains Momentum

I confess I don't know whether there is room in this world for Howard Dean to be in a cabinet that reports to Rahm Emanuel. I know that Gov. Phil Bredesen of Tennessee is a top candidate. That said, the former Vermont governor, DNC chair, NGA chair, health care expert and presidential candidate has some momentum tonight.  Sen. Tom Harkin, who has discussed the job with the White House, has publicly endorsed Dean, as has the influential House member Raul Grijalva, who wrote the following letter to Obama.  GrijalvaLetter.pdf 

Feb 5 2009, 5:58PM

Obama Reverses Bush Insurance Restrictions

Politics and policy collide: in August of 2007, the Bush Administration's Medicare and Medicaid overseers limited the flexibility of states to set income eligibility requirements for S-CHIP, the major federal/state health insurance program for children. Democrats claimed that the requirements were particularly punitive to certain states and would cut tens of thousands of children off the rolls, children for whom SCHIP was the most efficient source of insurance.

In some ways, the agency directive was an attempt to short-circuit the S-CHIP reauthorization debate because it forced states that wanted to increase coverage to children in families earning more than 250% of the poverty line to cover 95% of those living below 200% of the poverty line; beyond that, states had to record a decline in the coverage rate of employer-sponsored insurance.  Those goals were next to impossible to meet. That was the point.

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Feb 5 2009, 4:57PM

Kennedy, Baucus Pledge Year One Health Care Reform

In a letter to President Obama today, Senators Edward M. Kennedy and Max Baucus said that, Daschle or no Daschle, they're committed to "enacting comprehensive health care reform this year," and urged Obama to "swiftly choose an exceptionally qualified and dedicated alternate nominee for Secretary of Health and Human Services to assist in our efforts."

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Feb 5 2009, 4:05PM

Obama's Intelligence

At his confirmation hearing this afternoon, CIA director nominee Leon Panetta was prepared with a series of crisp answers. Yes, waterboarding is torture. Yes, the CIA will cooperate with Justice Department investigations into intelligence policies. No, the president cannot order CIA operatives to torture anyone.  No, the president does not believe that operatives who acted in good faith under the law as it was written during the Bush Administration should be prosecuted.

 

Panetta opposes extraordinary rendition, agreeing with the executive order signed by President Obama that ordered renditions to torturing countries prohibited but allowed the general practice of renditioning to continue.  He said he looks forward to working with agency veteran Steve Kappes, who will be his deputy.  He was skeptical about overreliance on contracting and overclassification.  He said he wouldn't surround himself with "yes men."

 

He even got the lingo right - calling the CIA - "CIA" - dropping the article - which is how people who work for the agency refer to it. He promised to brief the entire intelligence committee more often, and not just fall back on the statutory requirement of notifying the so-called "Gang of Eight."   He got the tone right: "I think this country is at its weakest when we send mixed messages aboard."  He said he was "disappointed" by former Vice President Dick Cheney's implication that the country is more vulnerable to attack because the President wants to abide by the constitution.

 

Al Qaeda remains the top U.S. counterterrorism priority, he said.

 

His full opening statement is after the jump.

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Feb 5 2009, 3:00PM

The British Government Responds

A British Embassy spokesman e-mails the government's response to allegations that it conspired with the United States to cover up allegations of torture. The bolds are original.

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Feb 5 2009, 2:48PM

Boxer v. Barrasso On Enviro Rules

The environmental lobby has many fires to put out and a few days worth of water left. Sen. John Barrasso (R-WY) opposes the stimulus package, but he wants to try and make it easier for federal agencies to build things more quickly. To do that, he's proposed an amendment to exempt certain stimulus-related projects from the mandatory National Environmetal Protection Act review. Sen. Barbara Boxer's amendment would require every stimulus-related project to complete NEPA review.  Barrasso wants those projects whose reviews are taking longer than 270 days to be considered exempt or cleared; Boxer wants all projects being given stimulus money to get the benefit of a full environmental review.

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Feb 5 2009, 1:35PM

Enviros Begin Ads To Pressure Congress On "Nuke" Money

Environmental advocates are launching a television and web advertising campaign to pressure Congress to remove a $50 billion energy technology plank from the Senate stimulus plan, money they contend willbe used to promote nuclear energy and coal. Friends of the Earth is running this ad in Utah, home to the amendment's author, Sen. Robert Bennet. 

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Feb 5 2009, 1:25PM

The Cut List

TMPDC has obtained the list of nearly $80 billion worth of cuts that Sens. Ben Nelson and Olympia Snowe and colleagues wish to see striken from the stimulus package. Here is a reported prediction: most of these cuts will be, in fact, cut. And the White House knows this. And the White House is privately encouraging this. The big, perhaps ultimate battle will be over education funding for states.

Feb 5 2009, 1:23PM

Did The U.S. Threaten Britain Over Torture?

Judges in the United Kingdom are investigating whether a Brit named Binyam Mohamed was tortured by U.S. interrogators over a period of three years ending in 2005. Sadly, that sentence isn't the remarkable one. What comes next is pretty shocking, if true: British authorities allege that the United States has asked Britain to suppress evidence of the torture and reportedly threatened severe penalties should Britain refuse to comply.  A few points should be brought forth now: one is that Mohamed is on trial for conspiracy to plan terrorist attacks, and there is plenty of evidence that he's a bad guy. Two: the foreign secretary, David Miliband, just off a meeting with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, denies that the U.S. ever made such threats.  The row, as they say overseas, began when a senior conservative MP named David Davis complained about the case to an audience in Parliament. An investigation was immediately launched.

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Feb 5 2009, 1:13PM

Ginsburg Has Pancreatic Cancer

The wires report that Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is having surgery for pancreatic cancer; pancreatic growths are are almost always malignant, and pancreatic cancer has among the lowest survival rates of the many varieties of the disease. Surprisingly, the good news is that surgeons usually tend to operate on the pancreas when the cancer hasn't spread, so Ginsberg may well have a better than average prognosis.

Feb 5 2009, 1:12PM

Reforming The CIA

For some perspective on the confirmation hearings today for CIA director nominee Leon Panetta, I spoke to Ishmael Jones, a long-serving former CIA case officer who served in senior operational roles in a variety of foreign countries. The author of The Human Factor: Inside the CIA's Dysfunctional Intelligence Culture, Jones's past work prevents him from revealing his true identity.

Do you think your colleagues in the clandestine service will support Panetta?  Why is it assumed that they wanted "one of their own" in the job?

The CIA's patriotic and talented rank and file employees are hungry for leadership and are eager to support President Obama's choice of Leon Panetta as CIA director.  The CIA's top bureaucrats, on the other hand, opposed Panetta's appointment because they thought the job should have gone to one of them. We should be skeptical of the notions they've promoted:  that they are popular with employees and that maintaining the status quo is somehow good for morale. The CIA's top bureaucrats are political infighters and press manipulators, not intelligence professionals.

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Feb 5 2009, 11:07AM

Hero Break!

Listen to the cockpit-to-Tracon recordings from U.S. Airways Flight 1549.  Follow along with the transcript here, as the pilot talks to the New York departure controller.

Feb 5 2009, 11:00AM

HHS Secretary: Who's In, Out

In: Sen. Tom Harkin (D-IA), Gov. John Kitzhaber (D-OR), Gov. Phil Bredesen (D-TN), Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (D-KS).  Out: John Podesta, Mitt Romney.  Bredesen, I am told by a good source, is a serious prospect; not sure about Harkin or Kitzhaber.  A key Democrat who works with the White House on health care is worried about Bredesen, e-mailing me last night that he "does not share the President's principles" on health care.  Here's some background on that.

Feb 5 2009, 9:53AM

Solis Won't Recuse Herself From Card Check

As a Senate committee plans an initial vote on Rep. Hilda Solis's confirmation as Labor Secretary today, Solis is promising to recuse herself from dealing with matters related to American Rights At Work, a labor pressure group on whose board she sat.  ARW supports the Employee Free Choice Act, or "card check."  But a White House official says that "[t]he Employee Free Choice Act is not a particular matter involving specific parties" -- that is, ARW is not a direct party to the legislation -- and so Solis won't recuse herself from EFCA-related duties. 


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Feb 5 2009, 9:28AM

Michigan's Clout

Next week, Rep. John Dingell (D-MI) will become the longest-serving House member in history, but that doesn't mean his home state won't continue to lose power in Congress.
Dingell and Rep. John Conyers (D-MI) are the two longest-serving House members in the chamber today but their powers as committee chairmen aren't likely to last for more than a few terms with each man in his eighties. In addition, Michigan is poised to lose a House seat after the 2010 census. This coming triple whammy for the Wolverine State in the House will greatly diminish its power.

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Feb 5 2009, 7:49AM

Austerity begins at home

It does seem to me that if Congress is worried about executives spending outrageous sums of taxpayer cash on luxury jaunts . . . they might stop spending outrageous sums of taxpayer cash on luxury jaunts:

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Feb 4 2009, 8:09PM

Housekeeping!

48 hours and traffic is growing. A belated personal welcome to the new site. Thanks for your comments and keep e-mailing me with your suggestions.  Over the next few weeks, I hope to incorporate as many of them as possible.    Some of you have asked for an easy way to keep track of my posts, something, believe it or not, I had not considered before the new site went live.  We're in the process of figuring out how to do that without changing want we want to do. When I say we, I mean the whole team here -- editorial director Bob Cohn, digital production manager Ben Bradley, digital production analyst Clarissa-Rappoport Hankins and I.  As you might not have noticed, COMMENTS ARE ENABLED. There's a simple, non-intrusive registration process to weed out the orneries.  Please comment! I'll read them and post the best ones.  The Zeitgeist feature on the right-hand side of the page is meant to serve as a dynamic snapshot of the Obama Administration. We're updating the statistics and metrics daily, and we're going to add and subtract them as warranted.  I'm also looking for contributors. If you have a good idea, have some writing experience, and think you share my sensibility, please e-mail me

Feb 4 2009, 6:32PM

"Buy American" Update

The Senate will vote on this surprisingly contentious issue tonight, after a day of vocal lobbying from corporations and other countries. Sens. Byron Dorgan and Max Baucus have an amendment to make the "Buy American" provisions consistent with international trade obligations.  That's in line with what the White House has requested.  It's not clear what the language will require; either companies would be required to use American-made steel, iron and other commodities in projects, or they won't.

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Feb 4 2009, 4:12PM

Re-Re-Recount

Every morning for the last week and half,  Norm Coleman has strode into the Minnesota Supreme Court chambers just before 9 A.M. and taken a seat at the table shared by his three, and sometimes more, lawyers, attempting to regain his excruciatingly narrow Election Night victory over Al Franken. It had dissolved quickly: by the end of December, following an expensive and careful recount of 2.9 million ballots (which Coleman had fully expected would cement his narrow victory), he was down by a soon-to-be-certified 225.  Continue reading a dispatch from Adam Minter on the latest twist in this knotted electoral saga.

Feb 4 2009, 3:45PM

Romney Raising Money

Ok, so former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has no chance of becoming health care czar. His political future is still with the Republican Party. Romney is holding a major fundraiser in Washington, D.C. for his political action committee, the Free and Strong America PAC, on 2/17, according to an invitation sent out to donors.

 

 

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Feb 4 2009, 2:52PM

State By State Stimulus Goodies

The White House is dispatching top policy advisers to brief regional reporters on the effects of the stimulus package. Larry Summers chats with reporters from Northeastern states today; tomorrow, Melody Barnes, the domestic policy director, will talk to reporters from Southeastern states.  And here's a White House fact sheet listing what each state will get if the stimulus is passed. For example, Alaska is promised 8,700 new jobs and 28 school modernizations. 

Feb 4 2009, 2:17PM

How's It Playing?

A look at how well the stimulus package and the Daschle withdrawal are playing the (new) purple states.

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Feb 4 2009, 12:49PM

Organizing For America Organizing For Obama

Organizing for America convened a major membership conference call last night to tout the President's economic recovery plan.  David Plouffe played host, urging people to get involved.  The message at least one person participating took away and e-mailed to his own list: "The voices of the people WILL be heard on this issue.  Doing nothing is not an option despite what you hear from the far right.  To do nothing is simply to root for failure.  If you know of anyone who has lost their job or home, do it for them.   Do it for yourself.   Get involved!  Together, we CAN make this Country work again."   

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Feb 4 2009, 12:41PM

The Future Of The Stimulus

Just 15 years ago, President Clinton's $16.3 billion economic stimulus package was backlogged in the Senate because moderate Republicans and Democrats refused to go along with roughly $12 billion in new spending. Like Obama, President Clinton sold the plan as something different than the conventional prescription for growing the economy: he called it a "down payment" on longer-term investment. Then, as now, critics regarded the spending as a "sop" -- the words are from Democrat Bob Kerrey -- to special interest groups. (In their effort to court Kerrey, who famously ruminated over the decision at Washington's Union Station movie theatre, press secretary Dee Dee Myers joked that the White House briefing room had become the "Bob Kerrey Briefing Room.")  Clinton tried a different tack; the plan was necessary -- critical even, to forestall an economy that was sputtering.  Critics wondered what about the funding for a performing arts center was so crucial. 

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Feb 4 2009, 11:55AM

Liberals, Lieberman and 2012

We're going to look way into the future here, when Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) is up for re-election.

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Feb 4 2009, 11:00AM

Solis Lingers; Acting Secretary Appointed

Amid threats of a Republican hold on Labor Secretary nominee Hilda Solis, President Obama has asked a top department official to serve as Acting Labor Secretary until she's confirmed. Edward Hugler, currently the deputy assistant secretary for administration, has spent more than 30 years in a variety of functions in the department.

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Feb 4 2009, 9:52AM

Get Health(y) Quick!

Priority one for the White House: find a new health care czar very quickly.  The institution set up to pass health care reform, consisting of an office in the White House and a cabinet department, will probably be dismantled. The Department of Health and Human Services will probably be headed by someone different. For White House health czar, Daschle's deputy and co-author, Jeanne Lambrew, is the leading candidate



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Feb 4 2009, 8:20AM

Bye Bye "Buy American"? Not So Fast.

A lot of sudden friction among allies of Barack Obama last night when the president told ABC's Charlie Gibson that the so-called Buy American provisions ought to be cut out of the stimulus bill.  Democratic and labor sources say that the White House will clarify Obama's remarks today.

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Feb 4 2009, 6:42AM

New Limits On Exec Compensation

Companies taking TARP funds can't pay their executives more than $500,000 per year going forward. The White House is coupling this restriction with tough new transparency rules.

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Feb 3 2009, 9:28PM

Yepsen Leaves The Register

Every presidential year since 1975, one political reporter -- just one --  catapults himself to the top of the profession. David Yepsen, 58, spent twenty years as the chief political reporter for the Des Moines Register, 33 years as the host of Iowa's top television chat show, and the past six years as its chief political columnist. For a period of three months -- November, December and January -- Yepsen was the first reporter called by presidential candidates; his interviews were granted immediately; his pronouncements were read as if he were an oracle capable of shapring the future. The era ends. Yepsen is leaving the Register to become the director of the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University.

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Feb 3 2009, 6:07PM

Obama Wants "Buy American" Out Of Stimulus Bill

That's what I'm reading in the transcript of the President's interview with ABC News' Charles Gibson tonight.  Obama also concedes that the appearance of a double standard for his nominees is a valid complaint, and he says he takes full responsibility for it.

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Feb 3 2009, 5:41PM

Your Intelligence Community On Your Intelligence Community

The office of the Director of National Intelligence sends Congress a 29-page summary of the intelligence community, its agencies and functions. An interesting read, if only as a way of looking at how the IC defines its duties and tasks.

Feb 3 2009, 4:45PM

Czar Mitt

President Obama could do worse. Romney has a bad reputation among Congressional Democrats, so I can't imagine they'd cotton to this. In fact, it's highly unlikely. But what Romney, in a bipartisan fashion, was able to do in Massachusetts -- even with caveats -- is pretty much the same as what Obama wants to do on a national level. Karen Tumulty notes that Romney is the only American who can claim the provision of universal health care as a resume line. Didn't help him in the GOP too much, but that's another discussion. If Obama wanted to bring Romney into the cabinet, he'd have to balance him by appointing a pro-choicer to a top HHS post because there are so many controversial, sexuality-related programs in that department that apportion money.  The thinking here is that Romney would be the White House health care czar and that a Democrat -- Gov. Kitzhaber of Oregon, maybe -- would move over to Health and Human Services.

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Feb 3 2009, 3:35PM

The Right's Spokesman

Not to second-guess the Republican strategy, but is Sen. John McCain really the best spokesman for the No On Stimulus campaign? Didn't the America people deliver him a whopping precisely because of all issues, they didn't trust his instincts on the economy?

Feb 3 2009, 1:40PM

Why Daschle May Have Jumped Too Soon

Former Sen. Tom Daschle might have survived the maelstrom and survived to take a job at the White House and the Department of Health and Human Services, but history might reflect that the choice, ultimately, was his own.

 

Aside from running for president, Daschle's decision today was undoubtedly the most important of his life.  And while we can speculate about White House pressure, about the themes of transparency and double standards, about purity and hypocrisy, what may have trumped the chance that he could win was this: for two weeks, Daschle has spent most of his time in Boston, Massachusetts, and not preparing for the confirmation hearing; he has spent it with one of his four brothers who is desperately ill. Daschle is all South Dakota reserve, even in private. He is very sensitive to public opinion, and his public image has taken a major beating. He was portrayed as a tax delinquent, a guy who lived by a different set of standards. Before he decided to drop out, aides said that Daschle had not erected a steel barrier around him; he was sensitive to the public condemnation, and he was hurt by it. He probably concluded that he would not have been able to be as effective as he needed to be. Whether that judgment is true -- well, we can leave it to the counterfactualists.


The fact remains that until late last night, not a single senator, Republican or Democrat, came out against Daschle's confirmation. This morning, there was only one -- Sen. Jim DeMint. Rumors abound that some Democrats, like Iowa's Tom Harkin, were preparing to announce their opposition, but those rumors seem to be unfounded; Harkin (according to Fox News) was weeping when he learned Daschle had withdrawn his name. Last night, two senior administration officials told me that Daschle's nomination was on track; one told me that VP Joe Biden wasn't so sure, and so he was making calls to his colleagues, just in case. Perhaps Daschle's nomination was in trouble, and because of a disjuncture in the White House, the depth of the situation was not realized.


Daschle was also boxed in by the timing.  If Daschle had remembered to check on the car situation earlier, or if he had disclosed the matter publicly before he paid the taxes, he might not have faced the maelstrom that greeted the disclosure. In December, the Republican National Committee and Congressional Republicans would have been incapable of exploiting Daschle's tax delinquency. Daschle disclosed the car-and-driver tax payments to the finance committee and the White House on January 4.  Perhaps the White House, being aware of Treasury Sec. Tim Geithner's tax problems, decided that they could only fight one battle at a time.

Feb 3 2009, 1:28PM

Toss The Tax Code

Reader Paul Hogan:

I'd just like someone to recognize how Obama's administration is becoming an organizational embodiment of how absurd our tax code is. One after another of his nominees is backing out due to tax problems. Simplifying the tax code is generally a Republican rallying call, but Obama might be smart to co-opt their fire; the process is clearly absurd.  Toss the 60,000 pages and let's craft something that makes sense.

Feb 3 2009, 12:49PM

Daschle Withdraws

President Obama, in a statement: "Tom made a mistake, which he has openly acknowledged. He has not excused it, nor do I."  Daschle told NBC News's Andrea Mitchell that the New York Times editorial this morning made him realize that passing health care reform would be made all the more difficult if he were a distraction. 

Feb 3 2009, 12:10PM

Tax Dominos Begin To Topple

Barack Obama's nominee to be chief performance officer owed less than $1000 on a DC tax lien, which she paid.  Even though Tom Daschle's tax problems are much  more elephantine, the political universe can only contain so much pressure, apparently, before it bursts. So, say goodbye to Nancy Killefer's service to the country. In a letter to President Obama, she stepped away from the job as national chief performance officer because "in the current environment," her "personal tax issue...could be used to create exactly the kind of distraction and delay those duties must avoid." Really? In fact, doesn't her withdrawal blur the line between doozies-of-a-mistake like Daschle, and dribbles, like Killefer's $936 tax lien? Doesn't her withdrawal detract attention from the real ethical principle being debated?

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Feb 3 2009, 11:53AM

Newman!

A source close to NH Gov. John Lynch says that he plans to appoint J. Bonnie Newman, a Republican, to fill Sen. Judd Gregg's soon-to-be vacated Senate seat.  Newman is a former aide to Gregg, a Reagan administration official, and a self-described moderate Republican. It is expected that she won't run for re-election, which would open the seat up. Today, Rep. Paul Hodes (D) is expected to announce a 2010 Senate bid.

Feb 3 2009, 11:22AM

Daschle Once Boasted Of Being Cheap

Check out an old campaign ad where Tom Daschle brags about his trusty old Pontiac, "among Washington's BMWs and limos"  which he drove to work for 15 years.  "Isn't it too bad the rest of Washington doesn't know that 'a penny saved is a penny earned.'"  Where is that Pontiac now, you ask? It's currently in a museum in South Dakota.

Feb 3 2009, 10:03AM

Is The White House Losing The Stim Spin Wars?

Republicans may not be winning the stimulus spin wars -- something's going to get passed eventually -- but they're changing the way the White House will fight future battles.  The White House was looking forward to today's new Gallup poll, hoping that Gallup would focus on the more than 70% of the country in favor of passing a stimulus package.  But Gallup broke that category down: 38% want the bill as conceived of by Obama and the Democrats, and just as many want the bill passed with "major changes." 

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Feb 3 2009, 10:00AM

Welcome to the Atlantic Politics Channel

More than just another politics blog, Atlantic Politics features content from Atlantic contributors along with reader comments, best-of-the-web picks, a fresh design, photography, a daily barometer measuring the nation's top political and financial indicators, and more. Curated by Marc Ambinder, the Atlantic's award-winning political reporter, the Politics Channel aims to deliver both original reporting and "breaking analysis" to put the political news of the day in context.

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Feb 3 2009, 8:39AM

The Senate's stimulus and the CBO

The Senate's version of the stimulus bill is out and posted here. The finance committee's summary is here. And the CBO's scoring of the bill, via their director's blog, is here.

And here's a mystery about the bill: There has been some controversy in the past couple of weeks over how quickly the money in the stimulus bill will actually hit the economy. The administration has said it wants to ensure that 75 percent of the final bill's spending and tax-cut provisions are paid out in the rest of fiscal year 2009 and in fiscal year 2010. But the CBO's scoring of the House version found that it would only pay out 65 percent during that time period.

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Feb 3 2009, 6:58AM

Gregg Walks Over

President Obama this morning will name New Hampshire's Judd Gregg to be his Secretary of Commerce after a whirlwind courtship and promises that Gregg's ascension will not cost the Republican Party its ability to filibuster Democratic legislation.

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Feb 2 2009, 6:25PM

Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse on Justice For The Bush Administration And The Economy

Budget, Intelligence and Judiciary -- that's where most of the committee action is these days. And Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) sits on all three. I spoke with him on Friday about the stimulus package and about his call for a look back at the Bush Administration's intelligence and judicial policies even as the country and President Obama look forward.

 

Republicans are beginning to get very antsy about the stimulus package. What can be done to bring more Republicans on board?

 

It's hard to know. The House [Republicans] obviously set a very bad example by voting in lockstep as a party against it, notwithstanding the President's, I thought, pleadingly courteous effort to talk to them, show them deference and include them in the process. Notwithstanding the essentially unanimous verdict of all responsible economists that this is a really vital thing for us to get done. So That kind of cast a bad political pall on all of this, and that may have influenced some of our Republican Senate colleagues to be more partisan and less practical.

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Feb 2 2009, 4:57PM

Democratic Groups Targeting A Third Of GOP Senators

As Republicans in the Senate manifest a propensity towards independence on their chamber's version of the stimulus package, the liberal Campaign for Jobs and Economic Recovery is expanding its national pressure ad buy.   


Starting tomorrow, they're putting up two new TV spots targeting Sen. Richard Lugar (IN) and Sen. Kit Bond (MO), along with three new Rush Limbaugh themed radio spots targeting Sen.Jim  Bunning (KY), Sen. Richard Burr (NC) and Sen. Mel Martinez (FL).  That means that 13 of the 41 senators in the caucus are in the crosshairs. The ads are paid for by Americans United for Change, MoveOn.org Political Action, AFSCME and SEIU.  If they are to have any impact, how much will be from media coverage, and how much can be attributed to the ads themselves?  An official with one of the groups behind the ads said that a total of $600,000 had beed spent so far on less than a full week's worth of ads. 

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Feb 2 2009, 3:58PM

Marking It Up

Here's all 736 pages of the latest legislative text of the Senate's American Recovery and Reinvestment Act

Find anything unusual?

Let us know...

Feb 2 2009, 2:30PM

Lynch Will Appoint Republican If Obama Nominates Gregg

Gov. John Lynch (D-NH) indicated today he'll appoint a Republican to replace Sen. Judd Gregg if Obama nominates the New Hampshire senator to be Secretary of Commerce. In a statement, Lynch said that Gregg made it clear that he would not resign the seat if it would tip the balance in the Senate, and that Lynch believes that the president ought to have the advisers he wants.

"I have had conversations with Senator Gregg, the White House and U.S. Senate leadership. Senator Gregg has said he would not resign his seat in the U.S. Senate if it changed the balance in the Senate. Based on my discussions, it is clear the White House and Senate leadership understand this as well," Lynch said.

"If President Obama does nominate Senator Gregg to serve as Commerce Secretary, I will name a replacement who will put the people of New Hampshire first and represent New Hampshire effectively in the U.S. Senate," he said. Full statement after the jump

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Feb 2 2009, 2:14PM

Obama To Roundrobin With Networks Tomorrow

The President's about to enlist the public in the fight to pass the stimulus package.

He's giving interviews tomorrow to network anchors.

 

Feb 2 2009, 1:13PM

Daschle And The Car: Who Knew What And Why It Matters

Based on interviews with aides and public documents provided to reporters by the finance committee, here's what is known about former Sen. Tom Daschle, his tax liaibilities, and his disclosures to the friendly White House and to the friendly-but-constitutionally neutral Senate Finance Committee.

 

What did Daschle know in June of 2008?

 

There have public reports in June that he knew he had a tax liability; the Daschle team strenuously denies it. In their chronology, June of 2008 was when Daschle first become aware of the potential that he might have had to declare the Hindery driver and car as income. The self-awareness, it seems, came from a conversation about drivers and perks that Daschle participated in during a social event.  After this realization, Daschle notified his personal accountant and asked him to look into the matter.

 

When did Daschle learn that he'd have to adjust his taxes? 

 

Unrelated to the car, and during the first phase of the vetting, in late November, Daschle was informed that he improperly deducted certain charitable contributions; in one case, he named an individual, rather than the charitable entity to which the individual belonged, as the recipient of the money; he did not have receipts for other gifts.   On December 2,  Hindery's company, Intermedia, told Daschle that it had neglected to report $83,000 in income Daschle earned to the IRS, so Daschle would have to pay back taxes - although the company took responsibility for the mess-up.

 

When did Daschle learn that he had to pay taxes on the car?  

 

In mid-December; after he had been nominated (December 11); Daschle asked his accountant to report back to him on that car thing he had first mentioned in June. Daschle's accountant asked him for information on the duration of his use of the car and said he would calculate the retroactive tax burden for Daschle. 

 

Was the vetting team aware of the charitable contribution fix and the Intermedia income fix in December? 

 

Yes.

 

Was the vetting team - herein a catch-all phrase for the Obama transition team / White House team - aware of the car and driver issue in December? 

 

No.

 

Why?

This is a little fuzzy. It's probably because Daschle did not know how much taxes he would have to repay, what the procedure would be, and wanted to essentially tie up the box before he presented it to the relevant Congressional committee;

 

Shouldn't Daschle have told the Obama inner circle that there was something more amiss than just the Intermedia payment and the charitable contribution fixes?

This is a question for Daschle and for the White House.  Because Daschle would have paid the taxes anyway, he clearly intended to disclose the car issue to his team at some point.  The explanation from Daschle's world is that he wanted to fix the problem, to figure out exactly how much taxes he owed, so that when he turned over his tax documents to the committee, there'd be a complete story to tell with no loose ends.

 

When did Daschle pay his taxes? 

 

On Jan. 2.

 

When did Daschle inform the White House that he had to amend his tax returns to include the use of Hindery's car and driver?

 

 Jan 4.

 

Who brought the issue to the attention of the Finance Committee? 

 

According to the committee and to Daschle aides, it was Daschle and the Obama vetting team who disclosed the information.

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Feb 2 2009, 11:42AM

"Like Porcupines Making Love," An Enthused GOP Ponders Steele, Taking On Obama

"We're going to push the Republican Party from vanilla to butterscotch," predicted Holland Redfield, a gregarious Republic National Committee member from the U.S. Virgin Islands. Strolling across the ballroom of the Capital Hilton between the fourth and fifth ballots of Friday's RNC Chairman's election, Redfield insisted that history was in the making: "You're going to see an African-American as the chairman of this party." 

 

Two rounds of voting later, he was proven correct. Former Maryland lieutenant-governor Michael Steele's defeat of South Carolina Republican chairman Katon Dawson on the sixth ballot was not only a symbolic first in the history of the GOP, but also an indication of the hunger for change felt by many of its downtrodden supporters.  After an election cycle in which Republicans lost virtually every demographic bloc except for white southerners, Steele's election seemed to raise the possibility of building a more moderate, inclusive GOP.

But Friday's proceedings also revealed the intraparty divisions that may stifle his efforts to revitalize the party's political operations over the next two years.  Steele's past involvement with the Republican Leadership Council, a socially moderate political action committee, seemed to be very much on the minds of the social conservatives in attendance, who had mostly rallied around the candidacies of Dawson and incumbent chairman Mike Duncan. 

 

There's "not a problem with [Steele's] own stances [on social issues] so much as the groups he was affiliated with," said Steve Scheffler, a national committeeman from Iowa who was supporting Dawson. Scheffler was disturbed by the RLC's association with "far left of center organizations" in Iowa, including one that supports gay marriage. "I believe in inclusion", he insisted, but was adamant that the RNC's next chairman be sensitive to the fact that the party's "base of activists tends to be conservatives." 

 

As party officials and volunteers devoured trays of cookies between the third and fourth rounds of voting, I spoke with a committeewoman from a southern state who echoed these concerns.  On condition of anonymity, she admitted she still had strong reservations about Steele's conservative credentials and was pledging her support to Dawson.  She was incredulous when asked if the GOP needed to recalibrate its message after its recent electoral setbacks, citing Republican victories in the Georgia Senate runoff and Louisiana's congressional elections. The party's present difficulties stemmed more from George W. Bush's "top-down approach" than from an absence of support among independents and Reagan Democrats, she said. "We've got to get back to being a bottom-up organization."

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Feb 2 2009, 11:38AM

What If Pepsi Wasn't Subtle About Its Obamaesque Design?

(This is not a real commercial.)

Feb 2 2009, 11:37AM

Scamman To Replace Gregg?

Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH) has emerged as the leading candidate to be nominated for Secretary of Commerce, but the panic level among Republicans (59 - 1 = dGov + 1 = 60) is lower than it was on Friday.  Chatter among New Hampshire Republicans suggests that Gov. John Lynch (D) is considering appointing Doug Scamman, the former GOP Speaker of the House, well respected by both sides, semi-retired, pushing 70, as a caretaker.  Another possible replacement: J. Bonnie Newman,a former chief of staff to Gregg and Reagan administration official. 

Feb 2 2009, 11:36AM

Tom Daschle's Letter Of Contrition

White House anger erupted briefly this weekend when senior administration officials told reporters that HHS nominee Tom Daschle had not disclosed to them that he had to pay back taxes on the car and driver Leo Hindery's concern provided him with. Daschle clarifies that timeline below, but his clarification raises additional questions. Daschle says that, in the course of the betting, improper deductions for charitable contributions were discovered by the vetting team. At the same time, on a separate frequency, Daschle's accountant suggested that it might well be time to consider paying taxes on the car and driver. Daschle didn't bring this latter issue to the fore until his accountant rendered an opinion, on December 10. Why he didn't alert the transition vetting team to this potential error earlier is still unclear. (Why someone with that knowledge decided to leak it this weekend, thereby jeopardizing Daschle's chances even further, is also a mystery, perhaps more of one.)

Dear Chairman Baucus and Senator Grassley:

Thank you for the work you and the Committee are doing to move forward on my nomination by President Obama to be Secretary of Health and Human Services. I know that despite the heavy workload from both the Economic Recovery Act and SCHIP, as well as all the nominees the Committee is handling, your staff has worked diligently on my nomination. I also appreciate the strong commitment to fairness you both have expressed.

As you can well imagine, I am deeply embarrassed and disappointed by the errors that required me to amend my tax returns. I apologize for the errors and profoundly regret that you have had to devote time to them. I will be happy to answer any Committee members' questions about these issues. In the meantime, as a follow-up to our conversations, I would like to briefly review three issues discussed at my meeting with your staff and mentioned in our meeting on Thursday.

Last fall, when I was being considered for this position, the Presidential Transition Team's vetters reviewed my records. During the course of those reviews, the vetting team flagged charitable contributions they felt were deducted in error. When my accountant realized I would need to file amended returns, he suggested addressing another matter I had raised with him earlier in the year: whether the use of a car service offered to me by a close friend might be a tax issue.

In December, my accountant advised me that it should be reported as imputed income in the amended returns. At about the same time, the friend's company, a consulting client, informed my accountant of a clerical error it had made on the Form 1099 it provided to me and reported to the IRS for 2007. In an effort to ensure full compliance and the most complete disclosure possible of my personal finances, we remedied these issues by filing amended tax returns with full payments, including interest.

We provided all this information to the Committee in addition to the completed Committee questionnaire and my responses to your staff's questions. I disclosed this information to the Committee voluntarily, and paid the taxes and any interest owed promptly.

My mistakes were unintentional. I am available to answer any further questions you might have and look forward to coming before the Committee in the very near future to discuss the critical health and human services issues facing our country. Should I be approved by your Committee and confirmed by the Senate, I look forward to working in partnership with you both to pass meaningful legislation that will help Americans get the health reform they need and deserve and to ensure that all HHS programs and activities reflect a commitment to responding to the needs of our citizens in a manner that is compassionate, cost-effective, and transparent.

Feb 2 2009, 11:05AM

Obama Sends E-Mail To DNC/OFA List

It probably didn't come from his super-secure Blackberry, but President Barack Obama has e-mailed his 13-million-person campaign list with a direct request: participate in "Economic Recovery House Parties" that Obama's campaign organizers have put together for the weekend. Since Organizing for America is now a department of the Democratic National Committee, the DNC paid for the cost of sending the e-mail. Pressuring Congress to pass the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act is the president's top priority, and one presumes that the action plan presented at this weekend's house meetings will include the mobilization of the masses in some way or another.

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