Every President's early months in office are shaped by circumstances and policies inherited from his predecessor. But few presidencies have enjoyed opening acts in which the previous administration loomed as large as the Bush record has in the first three months of the Obama era. Every time a media organization promises a summing-up of "Barack Obama's First One Hundred Days," the headline should have an asterisk attached: *Brought To You By George W. Bush.
Neophyte presidents have inherited unfinished wars before: Dwight Eisenhower was elected to end the conflict in Korea; Richard Nixon beat Hubert Humphrey while pledging to extract us from Vietnam; and even Bill Clinton was bequeathed an ongoing military operation in Somalia, which turned sour early in his presidency. They've inherited economic crises: Ronald Reagan took over amid stagflation; FDR was elected at the bottom of the Great Depression. And they've been asked to pass judgment, with a certain amount of finesse, on their predecessors' extra-legal excesses - think of Gerald Ford pardoning Nixon in the wake of Watergate, or Warren Harding undoing Woodrow Wilson's forays into wartime authoritarianism.
But Barack Obama hit the trifecta. He's inherited two ongoing military
conflicts; he's responsible for managing a global financial crisis that
began on his predecessor's watch; and he spent last week trying to pick
his way through the political-legal minefield created by the Bush
Administration's interrogation policies. As a result, across an
eventful three months in office, the events of greatest consequence -
the stimulus bill, the strategizing around Afghanistan and Iraq, and
the ongoing efforts to bail out and prop up America's banking and
automobile industries - have all been continuations, revisions, and
responses to Bush-era policy and Bush-era crises.
These various inheritances may all prove to be tremendous burdens in
the long run, and the Obama White House can be forgiven if they
sometimes look back with envy on Bush's own first hundred days - a
moment of peace and relative economic stability, when the biggest
controversy concerned arsenic levels in the drinking water. But over
the short term, at least, the burdens that Bush left his successor have
proven to be tremendous political assets.
This is true in the banal sense that low expectations are a gift to
incoming office-holders, and succeeding an unpopular President is the
best way to guarantee your (temporary) popularity. Barack Obama didn't
have to turn around the unemployment numbers or get the Dow back to
14,000 (or 12,000, or 10,000 ...) in order to make Americans feel good
about him, and about themselves; all he had to do was not be George W.
Bush.
This is also true in the (much-discussed) sense that great crises
present great opportunities, and a country reeling from a series of a
body blows is more likely to go along with an ambitious new President's
agenda. If you want to re-engineer the country's health care, energy,
and education sectors, taking office at a moment of maximum dislocation
doesn't hurt. (Especially since the one thing Bush didn't leave behind
was a viable opposition party.)
But it's especially true because of the way that the Bush-era burdens
were passed on to Obama. It's here that the new president ought to feel
gratitude, of a sort, to his predecessor. He inherited hard choices,
but his immediate dilemmas could have been a lot harder had things
fallen out differently in the final years of the Bush Presidency.
The stimulus package, for instance, was hardly uncontroversial - but it
was a considerably easier sell than the Troubled Assets Relief Program,
which was shoved, with difficulty, through Congress last autumn, while
Bush was still in office. If Obama's signal recession-fighting
initiative had required spending seven hundred billion on Wall Street,
instead of eight hundred billion dollars on Main Street (or some
version thereof), his poll numbers might look somewhat different today.
Instead, he came into office with the former pool of money already
appropriated, which has given his Treasury Department a (relatively)
free hand when it comes to the unpopular business of bailing out banks,
and enabled the White House to accentuate the more populist aspects of
its program.
Similarly, in foreign policy, the ugly facts on the ground in
Afghanistan required a serious strategic rethink from the new
administration. But the Afghan conflict has always been less
controversial, and the subject of less media scrutiny, than our
occupation of Iraq. And the relative calm in the latter country - and
the status-of-forces agreement that the Bush Administration signed in
late 2008 - allowed Obama to pledge himself to a 2010 withdrawal
without generating undue controversy. Had the state of play had been
reversed - had Afghanistan been relatively stable, and Iraq in its
pre-surge state of chaos - Obama's initial foreign-policy choices would
have been considerably more difficult, and subject to greater criticism
from left and right alike.
Even in the case of interrogation policy, where Obama may pay a small
political price for the decision to release the "torture memos," his
path was smoothed by choices that George W. Bush had already made. The
fact that the Bush Administration had acknowledged the use of
waterboarding and allowed the Red Cross access to high-value detainees
enabled Obama to plausibly claim that he wasn't revealing any
information whose secrecy hadn't been essentially compromised already.
None of these examples are intended minimize the overall success, in
political terms, of Obama's first three months in office, or the
finesse with which he's handled a variety of difficult issues. But his
administration has only just begun to define itself, and things will
almost certainly get harder as the shadow of the Bush Administration
recedes. The policy debates for which this administration will be
remembered are still ahead of it, and the crises and the defining
moments they generate are still to come as well. In a variety of
different ways, George W. Bush helped make Barack Obama's first hundred
days a ringing success. But he won't be there to help forever.







Seriously???? Never has a sitting President been more gracious and accomodating to an incoming President. When will the Bush hating end? Obama seems to be doing a fantastic job of garnering media attention, putting irons in the fire, and surrounding himself with well-seasoned individuals. It's been 100 days - Obama now stands on his own merit.
when will all of you fools realize the entire left-right paradigm is a complete sham? Obama is following the same agenda as the Bush administration, he is just making enough "changes" to keep the public satisfied, while continuing to strip us of our money and rights. Same crap, different pile. Wake up fools!
When will the Bush hating end?
When we stop paying for his catastrophic policies.
What did you think the answer would be?