July 2009 Archives
Jul 31 2009, 5:14PM
Obama Citizenship Poll: Things Get Weird In The GOP Base
After initial questions of whether this can be, it's clear that the polling methodology looks pretty good: Research 2000 polled a decent sample of 2,400 adults nationwide, and the regions are split evenly.
Jul 31 2009, 3:17PM
Polling And Democracy, Cont'd
1. Let me make one big concession at the start. I wouldn't vote for a law than banned polls, and were I dictator of the universe I wouldn't want to outlaw them. (I'm a fan of free speech; I'd get that first amendment tattoo in a heartbeat; etc.) The position that I would feel more comfortable defending is something like "polls are on balance a bad thing." Or, even more milquetoasty: "polls are not the best use of newspaper resources."
Jul 31 2009, 2:30PM
Why The Latest Nigerian Unrest Should Matter More
The New York Times reported Nigerian security forces on Thursday confirmed the death of the leader of a fundamentalist Islamic sect in the city of Maiduguri, apparently ending a fierce five-day campaign against the group that may have left hundreds dead across northern Nigeria.
The militant group led by Mohammed Yusuf, known as Boko Haram or Taliban, wants to overthrow the Nigerian government and impose a strict version of Islamic law. It has been blamed for days of violent unrest in which hundreds of people died in clashes between his followers and security forces.
Jul 31 2009, 2:04PM
Seniors Sour on Health Care Reform, Just Like Social Security Changes
A Gallup poll released Friday shows adults age 65 and older are the least likely of any age group to think health care reform will benefit them personally -- by a three-to-one margin. As many think reform will reduce their access to health care as do think it wouldn't change their access. Almost 40 percent said reform would worsen their own medical care.
Jul 31 2009, 12:10PM
Dems Wage Health Care Offensive On House Republicans
Jul 31 2009, 11:45AM
-1 Is The Loneliest Number....
Jul 31 2009, 10:36AM
No Apologies, But Constructive Words
Their tone was conciliatory: Gates posted an op-ed at The Root expressing "hope that many people have emerged with greater sympathy for the daily perils of policing, on the one hand, and for the genuine fears about racial profiling, on the other hand," and asserting that he and Crowley, "through an accident of time and place, have been cast together, inextricably, as characters--as metaphors, really--in a thousand narratives about race over which he and I have absolutely no control."
Jul 31 2009, 6:30AM
Obama's Poll Slide: Cause For Concern?
Jul 30 2009, 7:30PM
The Day In Politics, 7/30
We also mulled Obama's return to earth; whether government policy can help obesity; children as an imperative for doing so; whether Obama is miffed at insinuations that he's anti-business; whether liberals will cave on health care; and some alternative theories for Obama's poll slippage.
Jul 30 2009, 6:30PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/30
Newt Gingrich talked about health care at Gundersen Lutheran Medical Center in La Crosse, Wisconsin; Haley Barbour did the same at the Neshoba County Fair; Tim Pawlenty will address members of the Republican National Committee in San Diego today; U.S. News & World Report's Dan Gilgoff wondered if Pawlenty can win with both Evangelicals and moderates; and Sarah Palin will make her first appearance since stepping down as governor Sunday, August 8 at a gala for a Republican women's group at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in California (the event will be closed to media.
Jul 30 2009, 4:59PM
Alternative Theories on Obama's Poll Decline
Jul 30 2009, 4:54PM
The Politics Of Thinking Thin: It's About The Kids
Jul 30 2009, 4:51PM
Lawmakers Will Face Tea Parties, And More, In August
It will be a semi-organized affair, with a handful of unaffiliated or loosely affiliated conservative groups urging their members to show up at Democrats' town-hall meetings, attend tea parties, call and visit the offices of senators and congressmen. There will also be a bus tour.
Conservative activists are less unified than their liberal counterparts. Organizing for America (OFA) and the progressive conglomeration Health Care for America Now! (HCAN) run point on grassroots activism for the left; they will head up efforts to support Obama's reforms in August with rallies and door-to-door canvasses. OFA has 13 million members (Obama's campaign list), and HCAN's member groups--including major unions, MoveOn.org, Planned Parenthood, ACORN, and a myriad of national and state-level groups--total 30 million members, not counting overlaps.
Jul 30 2009, 3:38PM
Will The Liberals Cave On Health Care?
Jul 30 2009, 2:46PM
Obama to Business: Be Grateful I Saved This Economy
Jul 30 2009, 1:24PM
Mohammed Jawad And Executive Power
Jul 30 2009, 1:09PM
Driving While Black
Here's Warren on the results:
When the President, the Professor and the Cop sit down to have a beer at the White House tonight, here's an idea for drink coasters: copies of the 2008 Annual Report of Illinois Traffic Stops. It may not be the most riveting reading, but it demonstrates just how murky and open to interpretation matters of race and law enforcement can be, even when systematically analyzed by academics seeking to clear things up.Read the full story here.
When he waded into the confrontation between Harvard Professor Henry Louis Gates and Cambridge Police Sergeant James Crowley, President Obama cited his work on racial profiling as an Illinois state senator. But lost in the cable-fueled frenzy of subsequent debate has been any concrete discussion of the actual outcome of Obama's efforts--a 2003 law mandating that the state Department of Transportation catalogue all traffic stops in an attempt to identify and assess racial bias. He was the bill's chief sponsor, and did impressive work crafting consensus among civil libertarians, police, and groups across the political spectrum.
After five years of data collection--initially overseen by Northwestern University and now by the University of Illinois at Chicago's Center for Research in Law and Justice - there are plenty of statistics for study. But how to interpret those statistics is less than clear. It's sort of like trying to discern what exactly happened at the Gates home in Cambridge...
Jul 30 2009, 11:58AM
Panicking About Obesity Panic: A Response to Megan McArdle
The other major reason that I am against national health care is the increasing license it gives elites to wrap their claws around every aspect of everyone's life. Look at the uptick in stories on obesity in the context of health care reform. Fat people are a problem! They're killing themselves, and our budget! We must stop them! And what if people won't do it voluntarily? Because let's face it, so far, they won't. Making information, or fresh vegetables, available, hasn't worked--every intervention you can imagine on the voluntary front, and several involuntary ones, has already been tried either in supermarkets or public schools. Americans are getting fat because they're eating fattening foods, and not exercising. How far are we willing to go beyond calorie labelling on menus to get people to slim down?
Jul 30 2009, 11:49AM
The Politics Of Beer
Jul 30 2009, 9:28AM
August, 2009 And The Wily, Humbled Barack Obama
Jul 30 2009, 6:30AM
Question Of The Day: Better Host--Palin, Limbaugh or Huckabee?
Jul 29 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/29
We also wondered if Washington has the political will to reform health care; the fading of Iraq from political discussion; what a deal with four Blue Dogs means for health care; and what to watch in the health care debate.
Jul 29 2009, 5:50PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/29
Sarah Palin might take to radio; The Daily Show debuted a new segment--"GOP 2012: What Are You Doing To Help Mitt Romney?"; Tim Pawlenty waded into health care and took a shot at Mitt Romney's reforms in Massachusetts; and a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll showed Palin, Romney, and Mike Huckabee as the GOP's 2012 frontrunners, with Romney in the lead.
Jul 29 2009, 5:05PM
Food Safety Fail
The website Gastronomalies notes that the penalties for violations of existing food safety laws would have been upped considerably under the bill. The downside of the measure was that it did nothing to regulate some of the more gruesome practices of factory farms--stun baths, chickens so fattened and immobilized they have heart attacks, cows in their own feces, and all the other horror messes documented in the film Food Inc and books like Fast Food Nation.
Jul 29 2009, 4:35PM
Baucus Optimistic
Jul 29 2009, 2:45PM
What to Watch in the Health Care Debate
Jul 29 2009, 2:23PM
Energy And Commerce Deal: What It Means For Health Care
The committee has made no formal announcement of the deal yet; it has announced, however, that it will meet at 4 p.m. today to resume consideration of the bill.
So what does this mean for the chances of health care reform? It's progress, and it breathes some life into the reform initiative that has, at times, appeared doomed--progress with the fiscally conservative Democrats who, at this point, represent the prime obstacle. The stalled committee negotiations are stalled no longer; reformers can rejoice.
Jul 29 2009, 11:52AM
The Irrelevance of Iraq
Jul 29 2009, 11:15AM
People Think Health Care Reform Will Hurt Them
Jul 29 2009, 10:29AM
Palin To Hit The Airwaves?
The article notes that it will be "an ironic twist" if Palin takes to the mic because of her negative opinion of media. But this "irony" is typical Palin operation. Indeed, the same woman who fought a public battle with Letterman and told the media to "quit makin' things up" in her farewell speech once said in a 2008 interview that Hillary Clinton should avoid anything that could be a "perceived whine" when discussing her media coverage.
Jul 29 2009, 10:15AM
The Will To Get Health Care Done
The reason a real health-care bill is not going to get passed is simple: because nobody in Washington really wants it. There is insufficient political will to get it done. It doesn't matter that it's an urgent national calamity, that it is plainly obvious to anyone with an IQ over 8 that our system could not possibly be worse and needs to be fixed very soon, and that, moreover, the only people opposing a real reform bill are a pitifully small number of executives in the insurance industry who stand to lose the chance for a fifth summer house if this thing passes.We should note that it's not just a small number of industry execs opposing this bill: America's Health Insurance Plans has backed the overall reform project and is now running ads calling for a "bipartisan" plan...which Democrats may need anyway to get the moderate votes from their own party members in the Senate. Industry players are by and large on board with reform; they'll flip and go all-out against it if Congress comes up with a plan that's truly distasteful to them, beyond expectations...but that hasn't happened yet.
Jul 29 2009, 6:30AM
Question Of The Day: Is Taxing Insurers The Answer?
Jul 28 2009, 3:53PM
Does Obama Have An Israel Problem?
Jul 28 2009, 3:32PM
2012 Iowa Caucuses On Saturday? Maybe....
Jul 28 2009, 1:30PM
An End To The Birther Establishment? Republicans Vote "Yes" On Obama's Hawaiian Heritage
Should the GOP take the birthers seriously? Do they already? It's the source from which the birther movement draws its import.
Well, last night most House Republicans voted "yea" to a resolution honoring the 50th anniversary of Hawaiian statehood, which included language recognizing Hawaii as Obama's place of birth.
Jul 28 2009, 9:33AM
Health Care Reform And Obesity Prevention
Jul 27 2009, 4:20PM
The Health Care Push: Grassroots Gear Up For Recess
For months, President Obama and his Democratic supporters have lobbied for an overhaul; in August, Obama will continue his push, but he will be joined by liberal activists who are planning rallies, door-to-door canvasses, and events aimed at swing senators, all taking place out in the states and organized to apply pressure to senators as they connoiter with constituents and seek feedback on a range of issues.
August will usher in a barrage of organized grassroots (or Astroturfed--whatever you want to call it) activity both for and against Obama's reform push. The conservative group FreedomWorks, for instance--which had a hand in facilitating the April 15 tea parties--will encourage its members to visit Senate offices and show up at town-hall meetings held by Democratic lawmakers, armed with critical questions about Obama's health reform push.
Jul 27 2009, 2:38PM
The (Sort Of) Good News About Obesity
Jul 27 2009, 2:15PM
Tweet Your Senator, With The Democratic Party's Help
For instance: "To @SenatorCollins: Please pass health insurance reform this year http://bit.ly/3133JC #hc09 #ME #04101"
Since such tweets are visible when users search for a senator's Twitter account, it's more traceable and public than calls to a member's office. Formally, it's like clicking to send a pre-written op-ed to a local paper. Senators not on Twitter are immune.
Jul 27 2009, 12:33PM
The Obama Administration And A Soda Tax
Jul 27 2009, 12:01PM
Obama On China, Human Rights
It's widely believed that the nation of 1.3 billion is a human rights abuser, in Tibet and elsewhere (see the Washington Post's coverage of jailed/disappeared protestors leading up to and during the 2008 Olympics in Beijing), but Washington has been tentative to broach the subject, for obvious strategic reasons.
President Obama seemed more willing to talk about it today as he opened the U.S./China Strategic and Economic Dialogue in Washington, attended by Clinton, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan, and Chinese State Councilor Dai Bingguo. Here's how Obama raised the human rights issue in his remarks:
Jul 27 2009, 11:07AM
The New Obesity Scare Statistics
Jul 27 2009, 10:42AM
Bill Clinton Chides Reliance On CBO Scoring
Jul 27 2009, 10:32AM
When The Birthers Take Over
The respectable, responsible wing of the Republican Party, the wing that for decades thought it could use its crazies but still control them, has been unhorsed. The crazies are in the saddle...
Jul 27 2009, 7:48AM
Obesity Politics And The Weight Of The Nation
I was thinking about Kessler's book, which is currently the talk of the weight-loss crowd, on the morning that Centers for Disease Control hosts its first ever Weight of the Nation Conference on obesity. I'll be blogging from that conference over of the next few days as I gather final string for a magazine article about the politics of weight and obesity.
Jul 27 2009, 6:20AM
The Most Trusted Brand In Government
Jul 26 2009, 11:46AM
The Sunday Shows In Five Bullet Points
1. On Meet the Press, Sec. State Hillary Clinton went out of her way to praise China's efforts to contain the DPRK's threat. Clinton said the US wants DPRK to "come back to the table" but won't "reward them for .. half measures."
2. On Face the Nation, Rep. Jim Cooper (D-TN) all but begged the White House to get more involved in the health care negotiations on Capitol Hill. He said he would vote against the House bill as currently constituted. He said that a surtax on so-called "Cadillac" insurance plans might be something that his Blue Dog pound might be able to support. He also praise-checked the Wyden/Bennett health care bill. Quote:
3. On This Week, Sen. Kent Conrad said that the Senate did not have 60 votes to pass a health care bill. On Face, White House senior adviser David Axelrod said that artificially imposed deadlines (like, um, the president's) no longer mattered, and that he remained confident that Obama would sign into a law a reform package worthy of the name by the end of the year. He used the quintessential Axelrodian phrase "intriguing" to describe an excise tax on expensive health insurance plans. (The White House floated the idea that Ax would say this; one hand washed the other.) Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that she had enough votes, right now, to get an aye vote on health reform. On Fox News Sunday, WH spoksman Robert Gibbs said that Democrats are "80%" there on the way to an agreement."The White House needs to assert more authority," ... "I'll be relieved when they take over the marketing of this, because Congress has done a terrible job"
4. No one seemed to care about Sarah Palin.
5. Clinton, on Russia and VP Biden's comment that Russia is inherently weak and will yield to US prerogatives: "We want a strong, peaceful and prosperous Russia" and that the relationship had begun to be reset. Clinton said she was Obama's chief adviser on foreign policy, and that it was her idea to ask special envoys to serve as principal negotiators in certain regions. (She namechecked William Seward, y'all!)
Jul 24 2009, 6:02PM
Is The White House Better Off Without A Plan On Health Care?
As bipartisan negotiations in the Senate Finance Committee--which has now become the center of the reform process--have failed to produce a bill, there has been much consternation. Heading toward recess, Obama is without a detailed, solidified plan.
But this might actually be a good thing for the president.
Jul 24 2009, 5:46PM
Master Of The Senate Mastered The Art Of The Kill, Too
A delay in the House is tough, given the energy previous exhibited by that body this year. Think a bit about the Senate, Lyndon B. Johnson famously twisted the arms of his Senate colleagues to pass legislation. That's the CW takeway from his term as majority leader. But if you've taken the time to read your Robert Caro, you'll know that the corollary to the progressive arm-twisting was Johnson's mastery of the Senate rules to block legislation he didn't want. What was his favorite tactic? Delay. Delay in the Senate kills. The saucer goes cold. Committees, hearings, negotiations, reports, those were his methods of slowly bleeding to death bills instead of outright blocking them. One you've slowed things down, it's hard to speed them back up. That ought to be a cause for anxiety for those who want health care reform passed.
Jul 24 2009, 3:22PM
The President's Regret
If the election of President Obama momentarily defused ideological tensions in America, after six months of governing, they've resurfaced. Like the left and President Bush, the right in American has depersonalized Obama to the point where everything he does is wrong; that the only way to demonstrate this is to position yourself in complete opposition to wherever he is. This frustrating yin-yang politics is one reason for the lack of faith in our political institutions. Perhaps it was naive for Obama to expect that it would be otherwise.
This morning, White House press secretary Robert Gibbs laughed at the notion that the president had any intention of apologizing to Sgt. Crowley or further commenting on the situation in Cambridge. One would assume that Mr. Gibbs's confidence came from a chat with the President himself. It has been easy to deflect responsibility onto the press. On Tuesday, Obama responded to a question from the Chicago Sun-Times' Lynn Sweet as if Sweet was still chasing Obama around Springfield. He responded as a friend of Gates's; he responded in the context of a media environment that accepted Gates's narrative. This was catnip to Republican ideologues, who astutely turned up the volume, -- hey, he hates cops! and to the media, who instantly created sides -- kind of like turning a circle into a square.
The last thing the President wanted was to provoke a debate about race that enhances the polarization. He was careful to say that he did not know whether race had played a role, but you'd be forgiven if you kinda thought that he did kinda think the answer the was that it. His original statement was prodding: come on, guys. We still DO this sort of thing in America? A Harvard professor gets arrested for being mouthy at a cop inside his own house?
Yesterday, Obama's back was still up. He wasn't going to apologize. The media and the right was making this story into something that it clearly wasn't -- Obama versus the cops -- and he had no intention of further feeding the frenzy.
There was a practical reason and a personal reason for backing down and delivering what amounts to a personal apology to a citizen -- a presidential bill of attainder -- a lose-face-to-save-faith gesture that is quite uncommon for politicians or people in public life. Practically, it did distract the press corps; the president's bully pulpit power relies on the media at least being attentive to presidential messaging.
Personally, I think that once Obama saw how quickly the narrative of this complex story hardened into an intractable "racist/abuse of power cop" v "critics hate law and order" tale, his inner drive for reconciliation and consensus -- a drive that may be getting him into trouble on health care -- kicked in. I do know what some White House officials were worried that the public debate had taken on some dangerous overtones and were quietly arguing internally for a presidential clamp-down.
Obama may well have changed his mind: perhaps Gates misunderstood the cop as much as the cop seemed to misunderstand Gates. Or -- and here is what I think Obama is getting at -- perhaps the events themselves ought to be left alone. Endless debates about race and power with reference to that one situation are going to be, well, endless. Crowley and Gates are reasonable, accomplished citizens who were reacting to a stressful situation full of unknowns. Let that be -- and find a "teachable moment."
Interestingly, these types of Obama moments are exactly why the hard left tends to be suspicious of Obama's inner motives -- why would the President NOT use this teachable moment to excoriate the cops for racial profiling or excessive power, they ask -- and why the hard right has come to completely dislike the president -- and why the center -- the broad left, right and center-center -- is still entranced by the guy, even if they do have some questions about his policies.
Jul 24 2009, 3:09PM
A Presidential Mea Culpa To Sgt. Crowley
THE PRESIDENT: Hey, it's a cameo appearance. Sit down, sit down. I need to help Gibbs out a little bit here.
I wanted to address you guys directly because over the last day and a half obviously there's been all sorts of controversy around the incident that happened in Cambridge with Professor Gates and the police department there.
I actually just had a conversation with Sergeant Jim Crowley, the officer involved. And I have to tell you that as I said yesterday, my impression of him was that he was a outstanding police officer and a good man, and that was confirmed in the phone conversation -- and I told him that.
And because this has been ratcheting up -- and I obviously helped to contribute ratcheting it up -- I want to make clear that in my choice of words I think I unfortunately gave an impression that I was maligning the Cambridge Police Department or Sergeant Crowley specifically -- and I could have calibrated those words differently. And I told this to Sergeant Crowley.
Jul 24 2009, 2:51PM
The Mormons: The Most Conservative Religious Group In America
More Mormons (60 percent) identify themselves as conservatives than any other religious group; they also lead every other group in GOP party identification (at 65 percent)--much higher than the general population in both categories. Here are a few of Pew's charts to break it down:

Jul 24 2009, 12:17PM
Conservatives Pressure Grassley On Health Care
The organization, an Iowa-based conservative/free-market advocacy group, is pressuring Grassley to oppose Democrat-led health reform efforts as Congress's August recess nears, asking its supporters to call or e-mail Grassley's office.
Jul 24 2009, 10:56AM
Emanuel Doesn't Mind GOP's Politics On Health Care
That narrative aside, White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel doesn't mind the comments of DeMint and Inhofe--so he told NPR this morning.
Jul 24 2009, 10:09AM
A $3 Million Obama Fundraiser: Menu And Activities
...Well, at the North Side home of Penny Pritzker, a close Obama chum and super fundraiser, there was a large, if culinarily unimaginative, early-evening buffet dinner, according to resourceful Mike Flannery, a reporter for Chicago's WBBM-TV and the best political journalist in town.
A highly-placed kitchen source told Mike that the buffet for the 100 attendees included rack of lamb, beef tenderloin; Ahi tuna; crab cakes; mushroom tart; lobster and shrimp jambalaya; flat breads with chutney and goat cheese; and rice crackers and seaweed salad.
Jul 24 2009, 6:41AM
Question Of The Day: Obama, Gates, And Race
Jul 23 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/23
We also considered whether the Gates saga would dominate the news cycle; the juicy bits of a Valerie Jarrett profile; a Jennifer Aniston theory of Obamaism; how Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will spend his recess; agnosticism on the Gates story; some personal experiences with the Cambridge Cops; and two health care predictions.
Jul 23 2009, 5:18PM
The Invisible Primary 7/23
Sarah Palin said a report that her legal defense fund may have violated ethics laws was "misguided" and "factually in error"; Tim Pawlenty and Rick Perry visited troops in both Iraq and Afghanistan this week with a delegation of governors; and Mike Huckabee's HuckPAC is "restructuring."
Jul 23 2009, 4:33PM
Two Brief Predictions About Health Care
Jul 23 2009, 4:03PM
The Cambridge Cops, Police Power, And Me
Jul 23 2009, 4:02PM
Could Obama Become The Lindsay Lohan Of Presidents?
And for a nation with a 140-character attention span, this might be a bad thing. Though Obama's accessibility in our instant-news, social media age is perhaps a necessity, it comes with a price: potential for Obama-fatigue.
Jul 23 2009, 3:53PM
No Political Contribution Necessary
Jul 23 2009, 3:27PM
Gates Arrest: Of What Can We Be Certain?
You have a constitutional right to talk back to a police officer; and whether Skip Gate's account of his arrest or the police version is closer to the truth, it seems clear that Gate's speech rights were violated and his arrest was illegal. Less clear are the officer's motivations for the arrest. Naturally, the prevailing assumption and apparent, primary source of Gates' outrage is the belief that the officer, James M. Crowley, is a racist; but that ignores the equally plausible possibility that he's simply a bad cop, (or maybe a not-so-bad cop having a very bad day,) who would also have arrested a late middle-aged white guy whom he deemed insufficiently deferential. (If you find this scenario implausible, you never met my father.)...
Jul 23 2009, 2:26PM
HELP + Finance = Harry Reid's Recess
Jul 23 2009, 2:09PM
Republicans Hit Massachusetts Dems On Obama's Gates/Cops Comment
The Cambridge police "acted stupidly in arresting someone when there was already proof that they were in their own home," Obama said, which became the front page headline on today's Boston Globe. He also joked that he'd "get shot" if he were caught in the same situation at the White House.
Here at the Politics channel, Marc suggested Obama may have to walk back the "stupidly" comment, given that cops might not understand its application to the Cambridge Police Dept. en masse.
Jul 23 2009, 1:27PM
Duncan On Standards, No Child Left Behind, And Scalping Tickets To An Event With Newt Gingrich
In an interview with The Atlantic's Bob Cohn at the Aspen Ideas Festival, Duncan says he will always give the Bush administration credit for "shining a spotlight on the achievement gap" in education with No Child Left Behind. "Those differences used to get swept under the rug. That will never happen again, and they deserve enormous credit for that.
Jul 23 2009, 1:06PM
How Relationships Help Explain Obamanomics
Jul 23 2009, 11:32AM
Obama Close To Naming Cybersecurity Coordinator
One leading candidate was said to be Priscilla Guthrie, currently the chief information officer to the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. But she is not in the running for the post, an administration official said. Another would-be candidate is former Rep. Tom Davis (R-VA), a tech-savvy moderate Republican who knows many of the stakeholders. Davis has told administration officials he does not want the job, although he stopped short of ruling himself out of accepting an offer.
Jul 23 2009, 11:02AM
The (Non-Muslim) World Loves Obama
Some of the changes in opinion are striking. In 21 of the 24 nations surveyed, an average of 71 percent of respondents had at least some confidence in Obama's handling of world affairs--up from 17 percent for President Bush in 2008 in those same countries. Favorability of the U.S. is up at least 10 points in 11 countries.
Jul 23 2009, 9:24AM
The DNI On The Cyber Attack And Relations With Congress
DIRECTOR BLAIR: What I'm finding in my six months in the job is that there are a lot of
legacy issues that we have to work our way through, as we establish a new relationship with the Congress, and this is one of several. But I think what's really important is that we are working with the Congress in a new and I think better way. I find that I've been very clear with the Congress that we will lean on the side of telling them about things. The statute says that we will inform Congress fully and currently of significant intelligence actions, and we take a very broad interpretation of that and tell them about - if there's any doubt in our mind, our default position is, let's tell the Congress about this. They're a partner in this. It's going to be better if we all work together. So what I'm really concentrating on, primarily, is making the new relationship going forward. And we'll sort out these legacy issues, but I think that what most people want and what we're really trying to do is build this new relationship as we go forward, that we can work together as partners so we all make this country safer.
Jul 23 2009, 7:22AM
The Valerie Jarrett Profile: The Juicy Bits
Jul 23 2009, 6:30AM
Question Of The Day: The Cost, And Benefit, Of Health Care
Jul 23 2009, 5:39AM
Will Skip Gates's Saga Dominate News Coverage?
In Boston, obviously. But the president's response to Lyyn Sweet's question about the weekend's arrest of Skip Gates was given celebrity-death-match treatment by the cable news networks (and probably, though not as of this writing) by the network morning new shows. Race. Class. Crime. Harvard. Now Obama -- the story hits all the trigger points. Obama officials last night conceded that the President might have to clarify his remarks about the "stupidity" of the Cantabrigian police corps. Obama is within his rights to critiize the officer in question, but cops who know little about the story will wonder why he decided to label an entire police department.
Jul 22 2009, 8:19PM
Sacrifice And Change Without Sacrifice And Change
.... speaking from a 30,000 foot perspective: wanting Americans to buy into the notion that health care reform is imperative and won't cause much sacrifice for most Americans. If it doesn't happen, your premiums will go up, deficits will rise, quality will decline. He's arguing that even as Americans accept the status quo and don't want government to get involved, Americans ought to be angry at the status quo. He insists that government won't dictate medical choices to people and their doctor. Steve Thomma of Reuters asked the best question: "Will you promise that health reform will leave medical decisions up to patients and doctors?" Obama reframed it. "Can I guarantee that there will be no changes to the health delivery system? The answer is no."
In order for health care reform to be worthy of the name, people and their docs will have to use cheaper drugs and take fewer tests. Depending on what type of insurance they have, the insurance companies will enforce this by fiat, or the government will require this by rule. The persuasive mechanism might be economic.
Obama's argument is that in order for doctors to do better and patients to feel better and to make all of this less expensive, government will have to change the incentive structure. That will allow doctors and patients to make better choices.
.....Lifting up out of the nitty-gritty of congressional negotiations, which are stalled, essentially, on the point of how to pay for about 30% of the cost of reforms -- about $350 billion over ten years. The White House wants Americans to interpret the loud clanging noises coming from Capitol Hill as evidence of progress and momentum; this is the president employing the bandwagon effect. Nothing chills enthusiasm on the Hill like the perception that they've already failed. (The specific point of dispute is how the structure a mechanism to set Medicare reimbursement rates and what power Congress should or shouldn't have to veto an independent agency's recommendations on those rates. ) For those following the debate, the President also suggested that the level that some House Dems want to set as the base for the tax surcharge - 1 million -- is where it will be. And he acknowledged that his August deadline was a pressure mechanism designed to get the legislative machinery moving.
......Trying to maintain a lofty tone -- "I haven't been out there blaming Republicans" -- while attempting to use the Republican GOP stratagem of the week -- kill the bill -- to set himself on the side of reform and Republicans on the side of obstructionism. He name-checks Chuck Grassley as a Republican who has good idea to contribute. He gave credit to Republicans for seeding the idea of an independent commission to set Medicare payments.
.....Putting his name on the bill. The President acknowledged it was his job to get health reform done. He portrayed himself like an editor, waiting for various drafts to come in, and implying that, when (if) the House and Senate go to conference, he will wade in with more specifics.
......Acknowledging that the early drafts of the bills he's seen don't reform the delivery system and don't change incentives for doctors and patients to experience their health care more efficiently. This is a nod to the doctors at the Mayo Clinic, who criticized the House Democratic bill (the tricom bill) for failing to link Medicare payments to the quality of health care, rather than the quantity of health care provided.
.....Using linguistics to make subtle points: Obama in his opening statement referred to "health insurance reform," which polls better, I presume, that "health care reform." And he did not mention a public insurance option until much later on .
.....Ignoring a valid question about transparency; the reporter gave three good examples of the WH's lack thereof -- TARP being the most expensive -- and Obama simply punted. I suspect this means that he thinks such criticism is simply invalid.
Jul 22 2009, 8:01PM
Presidential News Conference: Liveblog
8:04 President says he wants to talk about how health insurance reform fits into broader economic strategy. (Note: a poll earlier this week showed 85 percent of Americans want Obama to address health care as part of his broader economic plans.)
That's how Obama frames his remarks: starts off by talking about an economy that benefits "those folks at the very top" and "simply wasn't ready to compete in the 21st century."
"Health insurance reform is central to that [economic recovery] effort," Obama says.
Jul 22 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/22
We also considered the backlash against and apology by Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY) for using the N-word in recounting another person's use of it; the three things Obama should say about health care; whether health care will be Obama's Waterloo or his Verdun; and the return of Gov. Bobby Jindal (R-LA) to the national stage.
Jul 22 2009, 5:35PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/22
Bobby Jindal penned an op-ed on health care in The Wall Street Journal as part of a media offensive on the issue; a Public Policy Polling automated telephone poll reported that Jindal would carry Louisiana in a race against President Obama; Sarah Palin signed a resolution affirming Alaska's state sovereignty under the 10th Amendment; Newt Gingrich said Republicans should "go for the kill" on health reform; and MinnPost discussed how Tim Pawlenty's environmental record as one of the nation's greener Republicans would play in a national primary.
Jul 22 2009, 4:56PM
Question Of The Day, Answered
From Pineview1997:
Functionally, they are not relevant at all. Regardless of plans they will vote solidly against. I'd be surprised if Obama gets a single Republican vote in either the House or the Senate on any iteration of a health reform plan.
Optically it matters a little bit. Always useful to have a foil. Especially one that is so obviously insipid and unpopular. Honestly, what's easier: explaining and justifying a really complex and expensive program or showing that all the wrong people are against it?
Jul 22 2009, 4:48PM
Would Specter Run To His Right?
Jul 22 2009, 3:11PM
The Return Of Bobby Jindal
Today, Jindal penned an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal, the latest in a string of public appearances and speakings out that have brought him back into the national spotlight this week after a long hiatus, during which some concluded that his star in the GOP had fallen.
It's probably no coincidence that the policy-minded Jindal has returned to the stage for what will likely be the most complicated policy debate of Obama's first term. In several national TV appearances this week, Jindal has used his intrinsic wonkiness to espouse small-government philosophy on health care, citing statistics and venturing into the weeds of policy where, in the realm of health reform especially, others fear to tread.
It seems as good a moment as any for Jindal.
Democrats this week have blasted the GOP for practicing political gamesmanship, making a showcase of DeMint and alleging a partisan defeatism by Republicans that's devoid of any constructivity. It's the "party of no" theme, and Democrats have scored their points.
Jul 22 2009, 2:15PM
A Republican Message On Health Care
Jul 22 2009, 1:40PM
The Three Things Obama Should Say About Health Care
Jul 22 2009, 1:15PM
Waterloo Or Verdun?
Last week Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) said defeating the Democratic health care agenda would be President Obama's "Waterloo," the epic battle that between the British and Germans against the French that ended Napoleon's reign.
But Obama is committed to making this battle his Verdun - a miraculous victory from what looks like certain defeat.
Jul 22 2009, 11:48AM
Rep. Maloney And The N-Word
On her Atlantic Correspondents blog, Wendy Kaminer channels Lenny Bruce and questions both Maloney's apology for repeating the full word and Rev. Al Sharpton's vocal displeasure with her:
Jul 22 2009, 11:12AM
Bringing Frumpy Back
The president then went on a denim defense, admitting that not only does he hate to shop, but "up until a few years ago, I only had four suits.... Those jeans are comfortable. And for those of you who want your president to look great in his tight jeans, I'm sorry. I'm not the guy."
So Scott Schuman won't be promoting the commander-in-chief as a style icon anytime soon--but at least Obama owns up to his fashion short-comings instead of touting himself as a homely soccer dad whilst wearing Armani.
The real issue now: Can you trust a man in mom jeans?
Jul 22 2009, 6:30AM
Question Of The Day: Are Republicans Relevant To Health Care?
Jul 21 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/21
We also debated whether Obama needs to define his health reform plan more clearly; from whence Obama's detention authority comes; the message obesity experts are sending in criticizing Obama's surgeon general nominee; the birthers; the plausibility of Ron Paul as a 2012 presidential candidate; and the ins and outs of health care reform.
Jul 21 2009, 5:23PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/21
Charlie Crist says he can't support Sonia Sotomayor; an AP headline implies an ethical scandal for Sarah Palin, because she designated the Alaska Fund Trust as her "official" legal defense fund; Mike Huckabee plans to broadcase from East Jerusalem; Bobby Jindal warned against Democrats' health reform plans in an interview with Fox News' Sean Hannity; and Tim Pawlenty will address members of the Republican National Committee July 30 in San Diego; and Eric Cantor said Waterloo isn't "a good way to look at" opposing Democrats' health care reforms.
Jul 21 2009, 3:50PM
Should The GOP Take The Birther Threat Seriously? Rush Does....
Jul 21 2009, 3:22PM
Democrats Look To Raise Money For Health Care
Jul 21 2009, 2:30PM
Obesity Experts Send Wrong Messages About Obesity
Jul 21 2009, 2:19PM
What We Don't Know About Detentions
Jul 21 2009, 2:12PM
Does Obama Need To Be Clearer About Health Reform?
Americans seem to agree with him on this, according to a poll released today that indicates 85 percent of Americans want health care reform as part of Obama's overall package of economic fixes. Talking about health care is difficult--it's an extremely complicated arena of policy. But here's Walsh, who suggests Obama should more clearly define the public option he's pushing for:
Jul 21 2009, 12:00PM
Bob Barr's Conversion
Jul 21 2009, 10:36AM
Trust Fall
Jul 21 2009, 9:53AM
Sampling The Sausage: A Health Reform Politics Explainer
Jul 21 2009, 9:31AM
Pollsters, Put Ron Paul In
Jul 21 2009, 6:00AM
Question Of The Day: Health Care And Recess
Jul 20 2009, 9:00PM
Detainee And Interrogation Policy Reviews Delayed
Tab A. - Preliminary Report - Detention Policy Task Force - July 20, 2009.pdf Newsweek's Michael Isikoff reports that members of the detention poliy task force have been unable to agree on key issues, such as whether indefinite detention remains an option for battlefield detainees captured in the future.
Jul 20 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/20
We also considered why Obama is facing Democratic resistance on health care; whether House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's proposal to tax millionaires is realistic; and whether the "new normal" of less personal spending is good or bad for the White House.
Jul 20 2009, 5:23PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/20
Sarah Palin's hairdresser disputed a New York Times story that quoted her as saying Palin's hair had begun to thin (a purported sign of stress factoring in the governor's resignation); the Times stood by the story; Ron Paul called Palin's supporters as a "more establishment, conventional Country-Club type of Republicans"; Bobby Jindal will appear on national cable news shows today and tomorrow, following a hiatus of national public activity in the past few months; and Mitt Romney will speak at the Nebraska GOP's Founders' Day event in October.
Jul 20 2009, 5:09PM
The Insurers' Health Care Ad
But while the group touts its support for reform, there's one problem, from the perspective of President Obama's reform-minded backers: the proposals that would get bipartisan support, at this point, aren't the ones many reformers want.
Jul 20 2009, 4:32PM
That August Deadline
Obama has said, many times, that a bill must get passed by August--the month Congress takes off every year for members to return to their home states and districts. This year, the House is scheduled to leave town August 3; the Senate, August 10. It's widely recognized that passing major health reform before recess would be difficult, if not impossible.
Jul 20 2009, 2:08PM
Why Obama is Facing Friendly Fire on Health Care
Jul 20 2009, 1:48PM
Business Lobby Still Hates The Employee Free Choice Act
Late last week, news hit that Democrats were striking the "card check" provision from the Employee Free Choice Act (EFCA). This is the infamous provision which sought to prevent secret ballot in union voting. You might think that businesses would now be willing to compromise to allow passage of a watered-down version of the EFCA. You'd be wrong.
Another portion of the EFCA would allow either party in a first contract dispute to defer to the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service for mediation after 90 days. That means that the federal government could ultimately decide issues like pay, pensions, health care and working conditions for private sector employees.
Jul 20 2009, 1:15PM
The Politics Of The "New Normal"
The term specifically applies to consumer spending. Americans are spending less and plan to continue spending at those levels in the future, Gallup reported today, as it has reported before. About a third of Americans, 32 percent, say they are spending less now and expect to make their present habits a "new normal" of their future budgetings.
One can't help but wonder if the "new normal" has political ramifications. The economy's relationship with Obama's approval/favorability ratings has loomed as a macro question over his presidency: how long can he stay so popular without a significant recovery? Will it harm his ability to pass health care, energy, and education reform, the three pillars of his domestic platform? It's a question of public expectations, and the "new normal" is, explicitly, a phenomenon of the same category.
Jul 20 2009, 11:02AM
Making Only Millionaires Pay For Health Care
Jul 20 2009, 11:00AM
Rick Perry On Pajamas, From The Middle East
Pajamas is the same conservative online media network that sent Joe the Plumber to Israel as a correspondent.
Jul 17 2009, 8:32PM
Cronkite: And That's The Way It Was
During the darker days at CBS News, I'm told that Cronkite's visits kept up morale, reminding the staff of what the Tiffany network represented in its halcyon days. America trusted Cronkite and trusted him to deliver the news. He brought them through Watergate, the Kennedy assassination, the death of MLK, the moon landings. There is no analog in today's media landscape: LBJ, musing about the horror of Vietnam, once told his advisers that "If I've lost Cronkite, I've lost middle America." Maybe Tim Russert came the closest.
The media today is much more fragmented and the audiences are much more demanding, generally a positive development. I don't know whether Cronkite's "old school" style of broadcasting and newsgathering would be tolerated; Cronkite's politics -- Middle American liberalism -- would probably be more important than his style, grace or skills. Cronkite began his career as a print guy, and he brought print standards (wire service standards!) to broadcast journalism. He was mentored by Edward R. Murrow but no one taught him how to be classy; he was a classy guy. Authentically classy. Authentic, too. He did not fake his gravitas, and he did not -- and I think this is very important -- he did not mask his emotions (man lands on the moon, and he says "Oh Boy!") or his feelings (he was the first modern anchor to tear up on camera, and did so regularly). He knew how to merge voice and words to create a story. He invented modern anchoring.
I'm too young to have direct memories of watching Cronkite on television, although the famous bulletin announcing the death of President Kennedy transcends all age cohorts. I've been fortunate to work with several TV legends who considered Cronkite their mentor and teacher, most notably Rick Kaplan, the current executive producer of CBS Evening News, and Susan Zirinsky, now the executive producer of 48 hours.
Jul 17 2009, 4:43PM
Why Obama Is Obsessed With Health Care Costs
Here's how it would work:
This proposed legislation would require the President to approve or disapprove each set of the IMAC's recommendations as a package. If the President accepts the IMAC's recommendations, Congress would then have 30 days to intervene with a joint resolution before the Secretary of Health and Human Services is authorized to implement them. If either the President disapproves the recommendations of the IMAC or Congress passes such a joint resolution, the recommendations would be null and void, and current law would remain in effect. The review process would permit intervention if the IMAC's reforms are not in keeping with the goals of Congress or the President, while retaining autonomy for implementing annual payment updates and other Medicare reforms for the IMAC.
Sen. Jay Rockefeller has proposed something similar: his committee would be given the authority to set Medicare reimbursement rates and other payment schedules, and Congress would have to intervene, actively, in order to stop the changes from taking effect. Congress, naturally, objects to the power invested in the committee, but it represents a step forward from the perspective of the White House. It's hard to see how the CBO could "score" the iMAC bill, not knowing what the IMAC commissioners would find when they examine competition and pricing.
Earlier this year, the White House decided to base its health care messaging on the concept of cost -- the current system was unsustainable and wasteful. They did not focus their argument on access, which appeals to people without access but doesn't do much for people with insurance, or about quality, which is complex and not intuitively helpful for Democrats. Maybe the price of doing business with the insurance company was to focus on costs. Maybe they overcorrected from the Clinton model in 1994, which focused on "health security."
"We tried access and quality, with a tad of moral imperative, once before and it didn't work out so well. Its difficult no matter how you slice it," a senior Senate aide told me. A White House adviser conceded that "access is killer, no matter how you poll it."
And Obama's current health care advisers, from Orzag to Nancy Ann DeParle to Christina Romer, believe that game-changing tweaks to the health delivery system can control costs and, in the long run, reduce health care's share of aggregate demand.
The basic problem with the cost argument is that it elides over an important point, one that the White House wants to make publicly but cannot: in order to reduce costs in the short term, reform will cost something extra in the near-term. A deeper point they cannot make: it may take MORE money to build a better system. Only when that system produces better outcomes -- this would be years off -- can true cost-savings be realized.
The White House allows for a ten-year window for health care to become deficit neutral. The CBO's fairly static (and bottom-line tough) scoring of health care legislation, a legacy of Orszag's tenure over there, is certainly complicating the argument from cost. But it's the only major argument that plays well with the voters (and members of Congress) the White House believes are crucial to getting something done.
Jul 17 2009, 2:15PM
Auto-Tune The News On C-SPAN
Jul 17 2009, 1:35PM
Reformers: No Marijuana Legalization In California This Year...Ballot Measure In 2010?
"In the long term, yes, but I don't think it's gonna pass this summer," Marijuana Policy Project Communications Director Bruce Mirken said.
The bill has not been slated for legislative action in 2009: if it's taken up, it will be when the legislature convenes in 2010, Drug Policy Alliance Deputy State Director for Southern California Margaret Dooley-Sammuli said.
Jul 17 2009, 12:00PM
Cameras In The Supreme Court...In Britain
Jul 17 2009, 11:05AM
The Most Important Health Care Story Of The Past 24 Hours Is...
(B) The Congressional Budget Office director dares to speak truth to power: none of the major health care bills will reduce costs in the short term and will add to the deficit in the near term.
I was going to pick (B), until I read (C) -- the subhead to a story about how Massachusetts is on the verge of abandoning the fee for service system -- the blood vessels, if you will, of modern American health care.
Jul 17 2009, 10:48AM
"Card Check" Is As Good As Dead; Binding Arbitration Lives
Jul 17 2009, 10:42AM
When White Males Have "Empathy"
Long before the Belizean Grove found its groove, Sessions was on the stand himself, defending his nomination against claims that he practiced a form of "selective empathy" as old as the United States itself: the kind where white men can only find compassion for other white men. Accusations of racial insensitivity and prejudice dominated the 1986 hearings.
Jul 17 2009, 10:08AM
Question Of The Day: Pelosi Vindicated?
Jul 16 2009, 5:48PM
Secretary Of State, Not Superwoman
Landler calls her speech "an effort to recapture the limelight after a period in which Mrs. Clinton has nursed both a broken elbow and the perception that the State Department has lost influence to an assertive White House." He also situates her speech against the backdrop of the antecedent rivalry between Clinton and Obama from their bruising presidential primary campaigns last year.
Jul 16 2009, 4:34PM
Politics, Explained In A Sentence
Jul 16 2009, 4:20PM
Put This House On The D.C. Tour Map!
Jul 16 2009, 4:00PM
Bork on Sotomayor and Himself
I have a few thoughts about Bork, some sympathetic and some not so much. First, I think the now generation-long conservative gripe about his not getting on the Supreme Court has a lot of merit. The Ted Kennedy attack on Bork was pretty outrageous, arguing that the Justice wanted a return to segregated lunch counters among other past evils. Bork was and is a critic of the Warren Court in the mold of Antonin Scalia--although he was to the right of Scalia on issues like flag burning. But his views were utterly lampooned by the Democrats. When his nomination went down, Republicans were outraged. His would-be successor, Douglas Ginsburg, had to withdraw his nomination after his marijuana use came to light. He's still on the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals. After that fiasco, an exhausted Senate confirmed Anthony Kennedy 97-0.
So Bork has some reason to be bitter but he's been milking it for years now. For someone who says he doesn't want judges to litigate and wants politics left to the politicians, he's still shocked that politics somehow tainted his nomination. But the Senate is a political body and just as it struck down two of President Nixon's Supreme Court nominees it knocked down Bork. In the Borkian view, which he repeats on the video, the Supreme Court was once a serent place but because the Warren Court was so whacked out. (Miranda rights! Brown v. Board!) it injected itself into the political sphere and thus its fights got more extreme. There's something to that. Even pro-choice liberals like Ruth Bader Ginsburg have questioned the court's decision in Roe.
But the fact is that presidential court nominees have gotten pretty respectful hearings. Certainly John Roberts and Sam Alito did.
Jul 16 2009, 3:37PM
Sessions: We're Gonna Do This Crack Cocaine Thing
Sessions (R-AL), the former U.S. attorney for southern Alabama and state attorney general, was referring to reduced sentences for crack cocaine related offenses, which are generally harsher than sentences for powder cocaine convictions--a fact that, activists point out, disparately affects poor, and often minority, offenders. But Sessions's particular wording caused a stir at the otherwise dry fourth day of hearings for Sonia Sotomayor.
Jul 16 2009, 3:17PM
Ricci Takes The Stand
Frank Ricci, a witness for the GOP side of the committee, addressed the hearing today. The firefighters are expected to score some points against Sotomayor for her opposition, but Ricci didn't take direct aim at the nominee--rather the process he went through and the decisions against him along the way.
Jul 16 2009, 1:39PM
Sotomayor Delay?
Jul 16 2009, 12:58PM
The GOP Field
That makes it a three-way dead heat, when you factor in the previous two rounds of polling--released by Pew June 24 and Public Policy Polling June 18--between Sarah Palin, Romney, and Mike Huckabee.
Here's how each poll breaks down.
Jul 16 2009, 11:03AM
Is The Holder-White House Fight For Real?
Jul 16 2009, 11:01AM
Graham: "Good Luck"
Jul 16 2009, 6:00AM
Question Of The Day: Are We Ready For A Health Care Tax?
Jul 15 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/15
Jul 15 2009, 5:33PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/15
An Associated Press writer says Mike Huckabee is turning into a GOP frontrunner for 2012; Huckabee advised Gov. Sarah Palin to remain in the GOP; he'll also travel to Kansas next week to raise monty for a GOP congressional candidate; Chris Cillizza says South Carolina is now up for grabs in the 2012 GOP primary; and Newt Gingrich will visit Gundersen Lutheran Health System in La Crosse, Wisconsin (about which he's written in The Washington Post) later this month to talk about health care.
Jul 15 2009, 4:34PM
Foreign Policy: A Unified Imprint
Hillary Clinton hasn't been all that visible since the start of the new administration. As the White House has rolled out its foreign policy in the early stages--a foreign policy that, during the campaign, took on President Obama's distinct personal stamp--it's been Obama who has publicly taken the lead.
Jul 15 2009, 3:22PM
The Most Important Number In Politics
Jul 15 2009, 2:44PM
Scalia, Sotmayor And The Protestant Rebellion That Wasn't
Jul 15 2009, 2:24PM
CIA Report On Interrogations Will be Released In August
Jul 15 2009, 2:17PM
How to Defeat and Defend the Surtax
Politically, this means Democrats are proving the stereotype true as the tax-raising party, and it will give the GOP a chance to strike and Democrats the need to fight back. At risk is landmark health care reform and part of the voter coalition President Obama rode into office.
Republicans may argue against the bill on the basis that it simply raises taxes on individuals that gross more than $280,000 or households that gross $350,000. That's a necessary but insufficient argument against the tax because Democrats are arguing this isn't just a tax, but a fee to be paid in return for a service: health care.
Jul 15 2009, 1:40PM
Cornyn On Sotomayor Hearings & Hispanic Votes: I'm Just Doing My Job
He hasn't been as tough on Sotomayor as some of his Republican colleagues. Unlike Lindsey Graham (R-SC) yesterday, who repeatedly cut Sotomayor off and made insinuations about her judicial philosophy, Cornyn actually apologized for beginning to interrupt her today. He restricted his questions to "do you stand by your words?" and "can you explain what you meant?"--even if his questions covered the same material as his fellow partisans: the "wise Latina" quote, the New Haven firefighters case, whether judges change the law, abortion, etc.
Jul 15 2009, 1:17PM
Human Rights Watch Watch
Jul 15 2009, 12:42PM
O'Connor on the Court
Jul 15 2009, 11:51AM
The Langley Wars: A Primer
** There are five digits that a generation of
CIA case officers must commit to heart: 12333, as in executive order 12333,
which was issued by Ronald Reagan in 1981 and which banned political
assassinations, albeit vaguely" "No person employed by or acting
on behalf of the United States Government shall engage in, or conspire to
engage in, assassination." At the same time, 12333 states that "[n]o
agency except the CIA (or the Armed Forces of the United States in time of war
declared by Congress or during any period covered by a report from the
President to the Congress under the War Powers Resolution (87 Stat. 855)1) may
conduct any special activity unless the President determines that another
agency is more likely to achieve a particular objective." The clause
allows the CIA to help the DoD target the leaders of nations or entities (like
a terrorist group) with whom we are at war. In theory, those operations are
confined to a country where Congress has authorized the President to use force.
Jul 15 2009, 10:38AM
Committee For Justice: Sotomayor, Like Ayers, Supported Terrorists
The ad begins with a comparison to former Weather Underground member William Ayers. The group says it plans to air the ad on TV.
Though it's not explained further in the ad, the group's claim centers on a comment by an official with the Puerto Rican Legal Defense and Education Fund (PRLDEF), with which Sotomayor worked in 1990 when New York Mayor David Dinkins referred to the Puerto Rican nationalists who attacked the U.S. Congress in 1954 as "terrorists." The PRLDEF official said those remarks were insensitive.
Jul 15 2009, 6:38AM
The Health-Care Surtax And Its Discontents
Jul 15 2009, 6:37AM
Hillary Clinton's "Smart Power" Breaks Through
Jul 15 2009, 6:15AM
Question Of The Day: Health Care--After Recess
Jul 14 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/14
Jul 14 2009, 6:10PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/14
Sarah Palin placed an op-ed on cap-and-trade in The Washington Post, and got blasted by liberal bloggers; Congressional Quarterly reported on mounting speculation that Reps. Eric Cantor and Mike Pence will run in 2012; and Sen. John Ensign, formerly speculated as a 2012 presidential hopeful, says he'll run for reelection to the Senate in that year.
Jul 14 2009, 5:29PM
Justice Breyer and the "Stress" of Confirmation
Jul 14 2009, 4:50PM
Graham: "Okay, Say It To Me"
As he got ready to question her on the quote, as the committee's other senators had done, in turn, since 9:30 a.m., he shuffled his papers and, looking up at her and smiling, said he couldn't find it.
Jul 14 2009, 3:38PM
Jay-Z, The Game, Global Hegemony, And Obama
Jul 14 2009, 3:05PM
SCOTUS Hearings Are All The Same
Well, it's important to remember that, as a judge, I don't make law. And so the task for me as a judge is not to accept or not accept new theories; it's to decide whether the law, as it exists, has principles that apply to new situations.
With respect to Judge Sotomayor and her defenders, explain how this paragraph, taken from this morning's proceedings, is not tautological and circular. Of course judges accept new theories. All of them do. Pretending they don't is a feature of American life limited to the twenty hours a year the Senate Judiciary Committee investigates the legal mind of the next Supreme Court justices. (Thanks to Justice R.B. Ginsburg for originating this type of performance.) The advise and consent function of the Senate has turned into a "provide comfort" function that sets up political precedents ("Well, when Obama nominated Judge Sotomayor, she promised she wouldn't make new law, and look what happened!"). Of course there are differences between justices; take Sandra Day O'Connor's minimalism and John Paul Stevens' activism. In theory, these hearings are supposed to help us figure these out. Instead, they're designed to squish everyone into some supposed middle ground where judicial theories and environmental predispositions never matter (except when they do.) That leads to absurdity all around: Senator John Kyl being unaware that white guys bring their perspective to situations, or Patrick Leahy patiently coaching Sotomayor through her days a facts only, mam, prosecutor. Sotomayor won't tell anyone what she thinks about executive power, or anti-trust law, or late-term abortions. Instead, we're supposed to judge her temperament and mien, as if that's the only reason why she was chosen -- as if that's the only predictive information available to those who want to figure out what kind of justice she will be.
Jul 14 2009, 1:23PM
Code Conflict: Our Boss Joins Terrorism Alert Review Panel
Jul 14 2009, 1:17PM
Torture Prosecutions From The CIA's Perspective -- And Obama's.
Jul 14 2009, 12:12PM
Obama The Lefty To Throw Out First Pitch
That's because the president will throw the ceremonial first pitch for the Major League Baseball All-Star Game in St. Louis. Obama is left-handed, like most recent presidents, but unlike most successful pitchers.
Nothing less than Obama's pride and manhood are at stake for the millions of mostly male baseball fans who will watch him try to throw a strike. (I exaggerate, but only slightly).
Jul 14 2009, 11:17AM
Sotomayor Wouldn't Mind Cameras in Supreme Court?
Jul 14 2009, 10:23AM
Sotomayor: I've Been Misunderstood
In addressing the "wise Latina" quote, Sotomayor said she made it in the spirit of the equal capacity of men and women to wisely decide cases.
"You've been referred to as being a bigot, and to the credit of Republican senators and the Democratic senators, they have not repeated those charges, but you have not been able to respond to any of those things," said committee Chairman Patrick Leahy (D-VT), the first senator to question Sotomayor and a staunch backer of her nomination.
"So tell us, you've heard all these charges and counter charges, the 'wise Latina,'" Leahy said. "Here's your chance. Tell us what's going on here, judge.
Jul 14 2009, 5:53AM
Exit Steve Rattner
Like a lot of people, I was surprised to hear yesterday that Rattner was giving up his role as Obama's chief auto adviser so quickly after the General Motors restructuring. The New York Times has an account. Mickey Kaus offers a number of theories over here at Slate.
One issue seems to be an investigation by New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo into the practices of investment firms, like Quadrangle, seeking new business especially managing pension funds. Some other investment firms like the private-equity giant, the Carlyle Group, have paid fines. The Times also quotes an adminstration official noting that Rattner's work was largely over.
I guess for me there are two interesting aspects of the story. The first is how thorny it's been for Treasury to bring in people to help fix the financial mess. They've had to grant waivers over various lobbying restrictions, and they've been at pains to find people with the expertise to fix the mess that we're in but who were not themselves part of the mess. That's a small applicant pool. Leaving aside the merits of the Cuomo investigation, it's likely to make that pool even smaller.
Jul 14 2009, 5:30AM
Question Of The Day: Sotomayor's Hearings--Waste Of Time?
Jul 13 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/13
We also asked whether the secret CIA program ended by Leon Panetta was, in fact, targeted assassinations; we considered Graham's performance at the hearing; and we credited Karl Rove with the judicial/political trope of "balls and strikes"--one we heard often today.
Jul 13 2009, 6:15PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/13
Sarah Palin's PAC, SarahPAC, raised $733,000 in the first six months of 2009; Newt Gingrich suggested that the U.S. should ask illegal immigrants to go back to their countries of origin temporarily in exchange for guest-worker permits; and Mike Huckabee appeared in Oklahoma on Sunday; he said he was "very surprised" at her decision to resign but that she remains a strong presidential candidate for 2012.
Jul 13 2009, 5:24PM
Chief Umpire Rove
There was a time before the GOP collapsed, when people automatically assumed Rove was behind everything. Today, he can't get credit for anything. So in the spirit of calling 'em like I see 'em, let's pause to acknowledge Rove's achievement. It's so great that the Democrats have stolen it!
Jul 13 2009, 5:20PM
Sotomayor's First Hearing: Wrap
Nothing happened that was particularly unexpected: GOP senators raised questions about impartiality, judicial activism, Sotomayor's rulings and the "wise Latina" quote; Democrats praised her personal background and the historic quality of her nomination as the first Hispanic and third woman to come before the committee seeking a Supreme Court appointment. The hearing was thrice interrupted by shouting members of the audience.
Jul 13 2009, 4:06PM
Obama Meets With Labor
The labor movement has been divided since 2005, when labor coalition Change to Win split from the AFL-CIO, though it's been speculated that the new group, chaired by former Rep. David Bonior, would help facilitate a reunification.
Jul 13 2009, 3:26PM
Introducing Al Franken
As the most junior senator in the room, he spoke last among the committee's 18 members, taking his turn at the back of the line as senators offered their opening remarks.
As many expected, Franken acknowledged his newness to the Senate, almost prostrating himself before the committee's veteran members, saying he has much to learn, and paying tribute to Sen. Ted Kennedy.
Jul 13 2009, 1:45PM
Lindsey Graham's Swing Shtick
Jul 13 2009, 1:41PM
How Key Republicans Have Performed At Sotomayor's Hearing
With conservative groups blasting Sotomayor, there's some pressure on GOP senators to do the same; with the party looking to compete for the Hispanic vote, there's pressure to treat the first Hispanic Supreme Court nominee amicably.
So, with that in mind, here's a rundown of how GOP senators performed at today's hearing.
Jul 13 2009, 12:32PM
Graham's Performance
Jul 13 2009, 9:51AM
Sotomayor's Confirmation Hearing
Watch the hearing live on C-SPAN.
Things to watch for: with the hearing attracting so much media attention, which senators will grandstand most extravagantly for or against Sotomayor? Likely candidates on the Republican side are the committee's more conservative members--Sens. John Cornyn,
And: Frank Ricci, the lead plaintiff in Sotomayor's controversial firefighters/affirmative action ruling will be a witness for Republicans; New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg will appear, called by the committee's Democrats.
Jul 13 2009, 7:46AM
What Was That Secret CIA Operation? Targeted Assassinations?
It's a curious story. So Congress knew about the finding (which has been previously reported -- first by Bob Wooward in Bush at War, then elaborated on by Ron Suskind and others) and the revelation is that the CIA had a cell that was still proposing ways to carry out the finding? That doesn't seem objectionable... especially if the finding had been fully briefed to Congress and the CIA hadn't authorized any action operations.
What's ticklish is that the Joint Special Operations Command, operating under the 2002 Authorization for the Use of Military Force (against Al Qaeda) and the Bush/Cheney Article II inherent authority rubric, fairly routinely captured/killed Al Qaeda leaders in places like Yemen and Somalia... without the permission of the country involved. (The CIA often provided intelligence to help these efforts.) The CIA needs a presidential finding to begin a covert op; for a clandestine op (an operation that results in something public but whose originator is hidden), the disclosure requirements are different. And the Bush administration claimed the inherent authority to capture or kill Al Qaeda leaders anywhere under its interpretation of terrorism as a military matter.
Jul 11 2009, 4:41PM
Holder Considers A Torture Prosecutor
The Newsweek article flatteringly portrays Holder as a "renegade" whose decision-making process is influenced by his pursuit of justice, Obama's agenda be damned. It reveals some tension between the Justice Department and the White House, although my sense is that the tension is less acute than the article portrays and more institutional than personal (One sore point: the White House counsel's office was notified about the Obama administration's first assertion of the state secrets privilege, but somebody forgot to inform the president. Such confusion in the first few weeks of an administration would be news if evidence for it were absent.)
Perhaps the article will ratchet up the tensions, since it creates a Holder v. Obama dynamic that White House press secretary Robert Gibbs will be forced to respond to on Monday, probably with a folksy quip. The White House doesn't like process stories like this one, although, on one level, the portrayal of a Justice Department independent from White House political considerations is, on balance, positive for Obama's conception of the rule of law.
Appointing a special prosecutor to investigate Bush-era policies of any sort is fraught with risk, even exempting the public and political ramifications. Investigations like these have a way of snowballing. The intelligence community will strenuously reject and resist; there are very legitimate concerns about the integrity of classified information.
If Holder decides to go ahead, he may not entirely satisfy critics of the Bush-era policies; a special prosecutor might not be given a mandate to investigate more than a handful of compartmented programs.
On the one hand, it is tough to see a prosecutor being given a mandate to determine whether former Vice President Dick Cheney ordered CIA officials to not brief Congress on a highly sensitive, classified intelligence collection program given the very real chance that the national security damage resulting from the disclosure of information about the program might be significant.
Nonetheless, it's doubtful that Holder would lean into a decision in such a public way unless he was ready to consider an option that may well have significant ramifications for the country and lay a strong precedent for future administrations.
Since the beginning of his presidential transition, Obama has been counseled by his attorneys that any such investigation is likely to be incomplete, resulting in people being charged with sins they participated it but did not originate. Even senior Justice Department officials admit that the possibility of an elected White House decision-maker like the Vice President being charged with a crime is remote. Obama would rather not see middle managers prosecuted for decisions, or crimes, of elected officials or senior political appointees. And he is very concerned with precedent. But this will not be his decision to make.
Aside from this momentous decision Holder will soon reveal, and be forced to defend, the administration's position on the state secrets privilege. Additionally, the Justice Department will release a long-awaited report on Bush administration legal policy.
Jul 11 2009, 3:20PM
The Obama Speech Newt and Rove (And America) Could Love
Jul 11 2009, 10:06AM
Prop. 8 Challenged In Court...And At The Voting Booth?
With a federal court case already gaining momentum, and with field efforts already underway for a ballot initiative, it looks like we'll see both.
A federal lawsuit is now being argued, on behalf of the American Foundation for Equal Rights by the attorneys for George W. Bush and Al Gore in the 2000 election lawsuit, Ted Olson and David Boies, who signed on the day after California's Supreme Court ruled to uphold Prop. 8.
This week, the ACLU, the National Center for Lesbian Rights, and Lambda Legal, a prominent LGBT legal group, are trying to join on.
Before this latest development, gay rights groups seemed to think a court case wasn't such a good idea, and that a ballot initiative to legalize gay marriage in 2010 or 2012 would be preferable. Now that these groups are looking to join the court fight, that's no longer the consensus.
Jul 10 2009, 4:30PM
The Jockeying For Obama's Old Senate Seat
Jul 10 2009, 2:34PM
Goodies In The New Report On NSA Surveillance
Jul 10 2009, 2:15PM
Should Medicare Pay Kidney Donors?
One of those solutions, donor chains, has already arisen with the National Kidney Registry, a small nonprofit that matches willing donors with recipients in need. When someone needs a kidney and his/her friends and relatives don't match (a common occurrance due to blood types and the development of antibodies in "sensitized" recipients), strangers with willing donors can get matched. The registry creates a matrix of people to achieve just that.
But another, more controversial suggestion, is offering financial incentives--paying people to donate kidneys. If Medicare paid for it, Postrel suggests, it could save taxpayers billions.
Jul 10 2009, 12:02PM
Winning the Sotomayor Witness Game
Jul 10 2009, 11:17AM
Interpreting The Beltway: What It Means To Say Health Care Is "Stalled"
Jul 10 2009, 10:30AM
"Pals Around With Terrorists": Palin Wasn't That Rogue, After All
Jul 10 2009, 10:09AM
Sotomayor Supported; Public Split On Whether Issues Should Dominate
But, other than Harriet Miers, previous nominees were held higher in the public's esteem. Yes/no splits on the same question were 60/26 for John Roberts, 54/30 for Samuel Alito, 53/14 for Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 52/17 for Clarence Thomas, according to previous numbers included in the CNN poll.
Buried in the findings, however, is an interesting nugget on how Americans think senators should base their votes--namely, the public is split on whether issues like abortion or gun control should determine how senators vote.
Jul 10 2009, 7:18AM
Health Care Reform Isn't Dead
Those commentators who believe that Sen. Harry Reid's leaked (therefore public) reproach to Finance Committee chairman Max Baucus was a major milestone are correct, although perhaps not for the reasons that they assume.
In a meeting of Democratic Senators, about a third of those present made it clear that they were unhappy with the direction Baucus was taking. It wasn't so much that they objected to the specific proposal he's floated to end the exclusion on taxing health care benefits, it was that Baucus's approach to crafting the finance particulars of the bill was inherently flawed and stalling the process.
Jul 10 2009, 6:30AM
Question Of The Day: A Climate Game-Changer?
Jul 9 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/9
We also ruminated on how an economic rebound in 2010 could benefit Democrats; and how Sen. Al Franken's presence in the Senate doesn't mean a sure victory for labor's top priority, the Employee Free Choice Act.
Jul 9 2009, 5:49PM
What Did The CIA Hide From Congress?
In some ways, this last route is a reasonable accommodation of competing interests. If Congress believes the CIA's program is or was illegal and unethical, the single way to ensure that the program -- or the values that informed the program -- never surfaces again is to utilize public pressure, or the threat of public pressure. Transparency often conflicts with efficiency.
It's inevitable, now, that we'll soon be provided with a fairly full accounting of the covert program that director Leon Panetta discovered, stopped, and brought to Congress's attention. All the major intellireporters are on the trail. There are plenty of former IC folks who are willing to hint about the details, provided they're asked the right questions.
I don't know what the program is. No one I asked would shed any light on it. From the reports of others, though, and from guesswork derived from a knowledge of what the CIA is chartered to do (provide exclusive political intelligence (that can only be clandestinely obtained) to our political leaders about major developments), I can come up with a few possibilities.
1. We know the program had nothing to do with the terrorist interrogation program or with extraordinary rendition. We know that it was primarily a CIA program, which means that it probably did not have anything to do with Sy Hersh's "executive assassination" ring disclosures, which relate to special access programs of the Department of Defense's Joint Special Operations Command. (Basically, if the CIA wants to kill someone, it requires a finding of Congress. The Bush administration believed that the DoD could kidnap or kill suspected terrorists under the president's inherent authority.)
2. The program was not primarily a technical collection program, but it may have involved the use of technology to collect information from human sources.
3. Newsweek's sources seem to suggest that the program was related to the war on terrorism, but it might simply have been informed by the CIA's other war on terrorism programs. That is, perhaps the CIA borrowed controversial techniques and applied them to another main target, like, say, China, or Israel (yes), or Pakistan or Afghanistan or India or Venezuela.
4. What type of program would be acceptable to President Bush and objectionable to President Obama?
One can guess: perhaps the CIA found a way to covertly place information implicating Hamid Karzai's brother in various drug-related offenses in the foreign media.....perhaps the CIA was covertly providing funds to an opposition candidate in Afghanistan or Pakistan in a way that was bound to be discovered by the regime we officially support. Perhaps the CIA created a front company to process, say, the encryption keys that Israeli's Air Force uses to protect communications. (Israel manufacturers this stuff endogenously, but you can be sure that the American government wants to know everything it possibly can about Israeli Air Force strategy vis-a-vis Iran.) Perhaps the program involved sabotage in a country like Syria, which the U.S. is currently trying to court. Perhaps it involved the planting of covert communications devices on unwitting international scholars who travel to North Korea.
The mind wanders.
What's clear is that Democrats on the committee were sufficiently outraged by the disclosure to make public the fact that something was disclosed. This may be the only way to hold the CIA accountable in an era where the executive branch refuses to relax briefing procedures. It may be irresponsible and jeopardize ongoing operations. It may be related to the CIA v. Pelosi grudge match. Soon enough, we'll have our answers.
Jul 9 2009, 5:45PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/9
The Iowa Republican Party wants Sarah Palin to attend a fundraiser; she doesn't have another job lined up despite offers to host her own talk show, her attorney told The Washington Post; and Jeb Bush accused President Obama of having concealed his "secret plan" to raise deficits during the campaign.
Jul 9 2009, 5:28PM
Question of the Day, Answered
Jul 9 2009, 2:45PM
Credit Cards: It's Not Over
Jul 9 2009, 12:30PM
Coleman Will Have Some Rebuilding To Do
Jul 9 2009, 10:59AM
Even With Sen. Franken, Employee Free Choice Act Is Stuck
Jul 9 2009, 10:02AM
Should Incumbent Senators Be Worried about 2010?
Jul 9 2009, 9:59AM
Sanford Vs. The Polls
Jul 9 2009, 6:28AM
Question Of The Day: Will Obama Sign Health Reform?
Jul 8 2009, 7:00PM
The Day In Politics, 7/8
We also considered a case against polling; a choice between health care and a second stimulus; what Sotomayor's confirmation process will look like; a former Defense Dept. lawyer's proposal for handling detainees; and President Obama's approval dip in Ohio.
Jul 8 2009, 4:47PM
Clash With Congress: Obama Threatens Veto Of Intelligence Funding Bill
The provision, section 321 of the Intelligence Authorization Act of 2010, would require intelligence agencies to brief all members of the House and Senate intelligence committees virtually every sensitive classified project, including "special access programs" that have traditionally been orally briefed to the "Gang of 8," the chairs ranking members of the intel committees, the Speaker and Minority Leader of the House of Representatives, and the majority and minority leaders of the Senate.
The same provision allows Congress, not the administration, to restrict the briefings in extraordinary circumstances.
This seemingly small change to the law is what's provoked the veto threat. The Obama administration, like all previous administrations of the modern era, believe that the president, and only the president, has the power to determine what constitutes national security information and, even more vitally, what safeguards ought to be in place to protect the information.
Section 321 chips away at that power and simultaneously expands the scope of the briefings that the administration would be required to give.
Jul 8 2009, 4:45PM
Hospitals On Board; Health Care Sounds Better From White House Than From The Hill
The groups were: the American Hospital Association, Hospital Corporation of America, Community Health Systems, the Catholic Health Association of the United States.
Like President Obama's announcement in May that a slew of industry players had pledged $2 tillion in cost cutting over the same time period, today's event was about showing that industry groups are on board with the premise, at least, of Obama's health care agenda--that costs are unsustainable. Contrasted to the frenetic ups and downs of health care reform efforts on the Hill, today's message was simple, and easy to digest.
Jul 8 2009, 4:19PM
Catastrophic Attacks Disrupted.... And Then What?
Jul 8 2009, 3:38PM
Sotomayor's Allies
I spoke with a Democratic Senator just after Sotomayor made her first round of courtesy calls to Judiciary Committee members. He's not someone who would oppose Sotomayor in any event but he said something which was quite interesting: Sotomayor was incredibly charming, collegial. For him, it helped put to rest the idea that she was somehow uncollegial. "She'll be really potent in conference," the Senator told me, referring to the sessions where the Justices hammer out how they'll vote.
Sotomayor will rightfully get questioned about the New Haven Firefighters case where the Court reversed the Second Circuit ruling and struck down the Connecticut city's aggressive affirmative action plan. She'll get knocked around a bit for her "wise Latina" comments. But she seems heading to an incredibly smooth hearing next week. I'll be especially interested to watch Orin Hatch who was a vocal advocate for Steven Breyer and Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Will he be on board for Sotomayor. I'm sure conservative stalwarts like Jon Kyl and Jeff Sessions will vote against her. There's a reflexive wing in both parties. (Bill Bradley voted against David Souter.) But Hatch is the swing vote I'll watch. And even if he decides to lay down a marker against her, it'll be a pretty easy set of hearings.
Jul 8 2009, 3:37PM
White House Very Skeptical About "Second Stimulus"
Jul 8 2009, 12:59PM
Sarah Palin--Tweeting Up A Storm
Today,try this: "Act in accordance to your conscience -risk- by pursuing larger vision in opposition to popular, powerful pressure"-unknown about 1 hour ago from TwitterBerry
Couple of thoughts for the day on beautiful bright AK morn:"You have to sacrifice to win. That's my philosophy in 6 words."- George Allen. about 2 hours ago from TwitterBerry
...NO ONE can measure DC's 1st attempt @ growing debt to "fix" prob. AK seeks development, industry, jobs for econ recovery vs growing govt about 2 hours ago from TwitterBerry
Talk in DC of a 2nd "Stimulus" Pkg: Impacts on AK? We'd be partaking in even more Big Govt largess & immoral natl debt accumulation when...about 2 hours ago from TwitterBerry
Jul 8 2009, 12:30PM
A Second Stimulus Or Health Care?
Paul Krugman asks why favoring a second stimulus, like opposing the Iraq War, has been written out of the public argument. Now, I seem to remember a very robust and lengthy public argument about the war, which couldn't have persisted without opponents. But leaving that aside, what about the stimulus?
Well, it is starting to get some traction. But it probably won't get much, and here's why: Democrats aren't interested. They aren't interested because they are already facing political pressure over the debt. Doing another stimulus will--or so they think--make it much harder for them to do health care and climate change. Their initial thesis that a big, bold spending program would "prime the pump" for more big, bold spending programs has fallen flat. The stimulus is working too slowly, probably because little money has yet been dispensed, which has made further spending programs less, not more, popular.A question for Paul Krugman and other stimulus proponents: would you rather have a second stimulus, or health care? I know that in an ideal universe you wouldn't have to choose, but assume that the worrywarts are right, and you do. Which should Obama get done?
That's a genuine question, and one that I think congressional democrats and Democratic wonks should probably be more conflicted about than they apparently are. Not to concern troll, but it's a genuinely tricky, and interesting, political question. If you think a second stimulus will work, and is needed, then you're risking the 2010 midterms and the 2012 election if you don't do it. On the other hand, what's the point of electing Democrats if they can't get a single major program passed?
Jul 8 2009, 11:01AM
Polling And The Herd Mentality
[O]f perhaps greatest concern: the outcome of one poll can affect future polls and behavior. As behavioral scientists and economists are fond of pointing out--in books like Nudge and Predictably Irrational--popular behavior can snowball. Public-health campaigns emphasizing how few teenagers smoke are more effective in deterring teen smoking than those that emphasize lung cancer or bad breath. Likewise, the perception that a candidate or political position is popular today will make the candidate or position more popular in the future. As Cass Sunstein and Richard Thaler put it in Nudge, "Nothing is worse than a perception that voters are leaving a candidate in droves." Voters should be free to switch allegiances whenever they want, but they should do so for substantive reasons, not because they're following the flock.
Jul 8 2009, 9:47AM
Detainee Policy: Inside The Task Force
The participants are diverse: there are tough-as-nails intelligence types. FBI interrogators who've been on the front lines. Academics. Civil libertarians. State Department officials who are sensitive to international opinion. Defense department attorneys who live and breath the Uniformed Code of Military Justice.
To illustrate the central dilemma this team must consider, some task force staff members have created a semi-fictional scenario involving a most-wanted terrorist bad guy who is located in a foreign country.
Somewhat tetchily, a few of them have chosen Thailand, a country known to have permitted the CIA to operate a black prison site.
The scenario proceeds roughly as follows: in cooperation with Thai intelligence, the United States discovers that a known al Qaeda operative is noodling around in Chang Mai.
Thailand, of course, is not contiguous to any battlefield. Preventing this person from committing an act of terrorism is a paramount national security concern.
But the laws are very ambiguous and so are the ethics. It is not at all clear that the person can be arrested by Thai authorities, extradited to the U.S. and then tried in a federal court. Perhaps the intelligence was obtained through extraordinary methods; perhaps a foreign government obtained the location (later validated) through torture; perhaps the U.S. has a very well-placed human source inside the Thai-terrorism nexus. What to do? The Bush administration had a simple answer: send in the commandos -- i.e., the Joint Special Operations Command -- kidnap them, or kill them, or have them transferred to military custody and parked in a cell for the rest of their lives. The Bush administration used JSOC teams to kidnap or kill suspected terrorists in Yemen and Somalia.
In the task force's hypothetical example, the person has not yet committed a terrorist act against the United States but does belong to a terrorist organization. In theory, the person could be captured and held by the United States under the authority Congress granted to the President in its 2001 authorization for the use of military force.
However, the law is also fairly plain about geography: the terrorist in Thailand who has yet to commit an act of terror (one can be a terrorist without acting on the impulse) is not covered by the AUMF and may not be covered by U.S. criminal law either. So what's a president to do? Sending in the special ops commandos is quick and efficient, but it draws on an as-yet untested claim that the president has the inherent authority to kidnap and/or kill anyone his executive branch deems to be a threat. Obama, in a recent AP interview, doesn't like this option. It is the apogee of the unitary executive theory.
And yet, the president has a constitutional duty to do something, and he has a moral imperative to prevent an attack on the United States.
On first glance, the laws of war and criminal law seem inadequate. That's why several scholars have proposed to codify the president's authority to capture and detain threats to the country but do so in a way that involves the political institutions and does not circumvent them. Proposals being floated include special national security courts, or periodic status reviews. Congress would facilitate the creation of these mechanisms by passing a law. The argument in favor of this approach proceeds from the assumption that the president does have the authority to do this, but that he lacks legitimacy unless he involves the other branches of government and cedes some of his power.
There's a big legal problem with this approach. As lawyers for detainees are finding out, the judiciary branch has been extraordinarily deferential to the executive branch when it considers matters of national security, especially the question as to whether something or someone constitutes a national security threat. Almost without hesitation, courts, up to and including the Supreme Court, have given the executive branch an enormous degree of latitude. Legislation that would question this presidential power -- the power to define national security threats -- would face an immediate court challenge; it is hard to see the White House signing off on a proposal that would throw out 50 years of precedent and take away authority that presidents before George W. Bush have claimed.
For Gude and Martin, the question of whether the president has the authority to indefinitely detain untriable Guantanamo Bay-held combatants is moot at this point. Hesitatingly, they concede that the decisions made by the Bush administration have tied Obama's hands very snugly.
"We respectfully urge that consideration of such cases should not be the basis for adopting far-reaching policies with substantial counterterrorism costs that are likely to far outweigh any short-term benefits from continuing to detain such individuals," they argue in the brief, which was obtained by the Atlantic.
But they part company on the critical question of whether the president needs any additional authority. They do not believe there is anything terribly magical about terrorism so as to jerry-rig any new court review or supra-congressional authority onto the existing cannons of law and practice. Any preventative detention system, they argue, is not only "illegitimate" from a legal perspective, it will be seen as such by the world, thereby exacerbating the climate that allows terrorists to recruit against America.
So what can the president do in the case of the Thai would-be terrorist? Three options. He can ask the Thai government to detain and try the man. America's image as the world's antiterror cop easily morphed into something much worse: the image of America being at war with Muslims. Having other countries participate in the trials and detentions of terrorist suspects would internationalize the concept of antiterrorism, and it would prevent these countries from using America's eagerness to fight terror as a way to kick out some of their undesirable political dissidents.
Or, the President could instruct the FBI to build a case -- a parallel case -- against the suspect. This would take more time and lots of resources, but it would certainly legitimize the capture and detention of a dangerous person. The FBI is, in fact, working to build many cases like this right now because of a similar imperative to try as many Gitmo detainees in federal courts as possible.
Or, the President could try something novel: the CIA, or the FBI, could inform the terrorist that he or she is being monitored. Britain has employed this tactic on occasion, and is has stopped many plots. It's dangerous, of course, and may only lead to the terrorist in question becoming more secretive and paranoid. But it's an option.
The task force will present its conclusions to the White House in a few weeks. Most likely, it will outline a variety of options consistent with the president's charge. Where is Obama leaning? The answer depends on whether he believes that modern terrorism is a sui generis threat; whether the granting or codifying of a new executive detention authority will be abused in the wrong hands; whether the current law is sufficient to deal with the problem. It also matters, quite frankly, who gives him advice.
My sense is that the President hasn't decided yet. That presents an opportunity for everyone -- lawyers, activists, ordinary citizens -- to influence one of the most important decisions Obama will make.
Jul 8 2009, 9:46AM
Grading Obama On A Curve In Ohio
Quinnipiac pegged Obama's approval rating in Ohio at about the same level where it stood nationally back in May. Since then his national approval rating has declined, but according to Quinnipiac, it's dropped like a stone in Ohio.
Jul 8 2009, 8:26AM
The Spy Who Tweeted Me
Jul 7 2009, 8:15PM
Why Unemployment Could Hit 14%
Jul 7 2009, 4:54PM
Terrorism Law Update: Jeppesen, Al-Haramin, And State Secrets
Jul 7 2009, 3:30PM
Are Americans Becoming More Conservative? They Think So, But...
Jul 7 2009, 2:37PM
An Ohio Outlier?
Jul 7 2009, 2:24PM
We Interrupt This Visit To Russia To Bring You A Statement On Health Care
" 'The goal is to have a means and a mechanism to keep the private insurers honest. ... The goal is non-negotiable; the path is' negotiable."
"I am pleased by the progress we're making on health care reform and still believe, as I've said before, that one of the best ways to bring down costs, provide more choices, and assure quality is a public option that will force the insurance companies to compete and keep them honest. I look forward to a final product that achieves these very important goals." [emphasis added.]"
Jul 7 2009, 1:05PM
Palin Uses Surge In Interest To Build Political List
Jul 7 2009, 12:05PM
Was Palin Posed To Emulate Obama's Rise?
Jul 7 2009, 11:03AM
Sotomayor "Well Qualified"
Jul 7 2009, 9:06AM
One Man's Case For Sanford And Palin
Jul 6 2009, 6:24PM
Useful Political Tweets Of The Day, 7/6
Jul 6 2009, 5:05PM
The Atlantic And Salon Dinners: Thoughts From The Boss
Jul 6 2009, 4:38PM
Young Republicans Scandal
The story is this: friend of candidate "A" posts racist thoughts on candidate A's Facebook wall. Candidate "A" responds with a "you tell 'em, LOL" Subsequent to that, it's discovered that candidate "A" commented beneath a picture of a Halloween festival, "What, no Obama in a noose?" and then wondered whether liberals would get mad if Republicans posted a picture of "homosexuals in a noose," as a counterweight to a picture she'd seen of Sarah Palin in a noose.
Here's why Republicans should take this seriously. A double standard exists in American politics. Republicans have much less of a margin for error when it comes to making racially insensitive remarks. That may be fair, given the party's recent history (not its most recent history, but its Southern strategy history), or it may not be, but it exists, and it's a given, and Republicans who feel they ought not be judged by a different standard might as well move to a different country.
The YRNF presidential race is a microcosm of the internal debates the party is having throughout the country. It's not easily categorized. One presidential candidate, Rachel Hoff, calls her campaign "Team Next Level." She's recruited a diverse roster of co-candidates and wants to broaden the party's reach. Hoff recently announced her personal support for civil unions. Hoff is a coalition-builder before she's an in-your-face activist. Hoff's opponent, Audra Shay, is the young woman whose flippancy in the face of racism is the main current of the race. Shay, a hard-changing veteran and former police officer, calls her campaign "Team Renewal," and her platform consists of a 16 point pledge to increase accountability and transparency in the organization. Both candidates have endorsements from party conservatives and moderates. Shay is generally seen as the more personally conservative of the two, although the difference is really only visible on a couple of social issues. Age is also relevant, although obliquely; Shay is 38 -- about as old as a "young" Republican can get; Hoff is 10 years younger. Some younger Republicans want to take the YRNF back from the older young Republicans.
Shay has apologized for her comments. Hoff's team, which apparently played no role in discovering the comments or in spreading them, has kept silent. But Shay's credibility as a messenger has been damaged, and it will be interesting to see whether Young Republicans penalize her this Saturday.
Jul 6 2009, 4:22PM
Metaphor Watch: The Finger
I wonder whether this unsubtle allusion will enter the health reform lexicon this go-round. The finger is a little much, though, right? Iconography watchers: is NR trying to say something about masculinity here?
Jul 6 2009, 3:24PM
Tech Changes Politics Watch: US Can Down Missiles Via Net (?)
Jul 6 2009, 2:51PM
Obama, Executive Orders and Detention: What's Really Going On
Jul 6 2009, 2:28PM
Healthier Rx For Health Care Reform
Jul 6 2009, 2:27PM
How To Think About McNamara
Jul 6 2009, 12:19PM
The Lasting Political Legacies Of Robert McNamara
Jul 6 2009, 11:40AM
Palin: Could She Take it Back?
It's hard to see how it would behoove Palin to suddenly take back her offer of resignation. She'd have to explain why she was so adamant about it. And Alaska Republicans would be even more sick of her. But it does have the advantage of letting her serve out her term. And she could claim, as Perot did, that she was responding to popular demand. Perot cited the public for his getting in the race the first time in 1992 and then again when he returned to the race that fall. The odd billionaire wound up with 19 percent of the popular vote, the highest garnered for a third party since 1912 and Teddy Roosevelt's Bull Mosse run for the presidency. So if the public was willing to forgive such lunacy then who's to say they wouldn't do it this time? Can I take a crack at her opening remarks?
"Gosh, the elites of this country say that you can't change your mind and rethink a major decision that has consequences for Alaska and all Americans. But they don't seem to understand what average people here in Wasilla and across the country know and that is that the freedom--yes, the freedom--to change your mind is the opposite of the so-called, quote Big Brother mentality. And what about our troops fighting for that freedom? Aren't they doing a great job? So as I made plans with Todd and everyone to start this next chapter in our lives we heard from lots of ordinary citizens who said it would be great if you helped promote freedom from outside government but why not stay in because we need more people like you? And ya know what? I listened to those people through their email and their Twitter Tweets and their Facebook and ya know what? I understood what they said. And so I've decided to make a personal sacrifice and stay on as governor where I can serve the peoples of this great state."
Video
Jul 6 2009, 10:35AM
Rush On Palin
Jul 6 2009, 9:47AM
Robert McNamara, Voltaire's Bastards And Barack Obama
Jul 6 2009, 9:33AM
The Politics of a Second Stimulus
First, the Obama administration would be going back to the Congress with some humbling data. The White House predicted that the stimulus spending would dampen unemployment, and they provided a clear graph to show just how crucial stimulus spending would be to save jobs. But the last few months have seen unemployment sky-rocket almost a full percentage point higher than the administration envisioned without a stimulus at all. This graph below could act as a kind of negative political capital, discouraging conservative Democrats from throwing more money at the recession.
Second, it's not a given that the money from a second stimulus would be spent any quicker than the first. Take
a look at this graph of stimulus spending, which is provided by the
Obama administration at their site recovery.gov. It seems that every
week, the administration makes "available" about $6 billion and spends
about $3 billion.
As of late June, we had only paid out about one-third of the available
funds, and about 15 percent of all spending allocated in the recovery
bill. To be sure, Obama has promised that the pace of spending would
increase this summer. But if we can't spend all of the stimulus even by
November 2010, as the administration admits, how much faster would
another couple hundred billion be spent? That's a question I expect the
Obama administration will have to answer if they get their second
stimulus.Third, I expect that the politics of shifting attention away from one of the three big issues of the docket -- health care, climate change and bank regulation -- are dangerous. Conservative Democrats -- and a solid majority of Americans -- are getting nervous about deficits at a time when the Obama administration is pressing them to help pass a trillion-dollar health care reform bill and a potentially even more costly climate change bill to cap carbon emmissions. Say what you want about the long-term impact of climate change and health care reform, but they're going to cost an intimidating sum over the next few years. If Obama presses for a second stimulus, I expect he'll meet plenty of resistance from his own party. Politicians should be nervous about these job losses, but come 2010, they'll be most worried about losing their own.
Jul 4 2009, 7:54PM
The Palin Thing Is Still Wacko
Jul 3 2009, 7:58PM
What Palin's Really Up To. (Hint: She Wants To Fight.)
Assuming there is no scandal shoe about to drop, to understand what Gov. Sarah Palin is doing, we ought to begin by taking her at her word. I readily admit that her statement today wasn't terribly clear, which is quite telling itself: she doesn't quite know why she is doing what she's doing, ALL CAPS notwithstanding. She can't explain it to herself, and so she certainly can't explain it to others. But it's not that complicated to get the gist: she's "not retreating," she's advancing. Palin, in Alaska, is a sitting duck for the people and forces she believes are ruining the country. She can't fight back -- she can't protect her family, her values, her worldview -- while she's governor. At the same time, her desire, perhaps conscious, perhaps not, to get into the mix -- to be invited to the fancy Washington dinners, to be courted by these very forces -- is irresistably pulling her towards the very fight she seeks.
Don't make the mistake of assuming that Palin has a grand strategy that relies on subterfuge, prestidigitation or rhetorical concealment. She has few close advisers, and she is prone to ignore their advice. She keeps her own counsel. She believes what she says (and implies): that she is a national political figure, that her destiny (and I think she capitalizes the D) is in the continental 48, that her personal characteristics are mocked by the elite because the elite cannot understand them, that her family and children are subject to relentless, negative and highly damaging personal attacks, and that there is no longer a place for her in the Alaska government.
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Jul 3 2009, 5:27PM
Three Theories of Palin's Resignation
Okay, so why would Palin do this on a Friday before a holday, traditionally a day for dumping bad news? A couple of theories:
1. She has more bad news to report. There's something going on with her family again. There's more to come with the state's finance. Whatever. There's no good reason for her to suddenly up and quit the governorship, her one claim on elective experience.
2. She wants the money. Palin is probably turning down tons of lucrative speaking offers, corporate boards and others ways of getting righ while she bides her time waiting for the presidency. Maybe she just cant say no to the money any longer?
3. She's totally impulsive. Assuming this wasn't a well calculated, move maybe she's just being utterly impulsive. She got sick of the job, sick of dealing with declining revenue, sick of having to stay close to Juneau and Wasilla when she really wants to be in Manchester and Des Moines.
I can't explain why Palin who abandon the people of Alaska before she finishes her first term as governor. But I suspect not that many Alaskans will be complaining.
Jul 3 2009, 10:02AM
The GOP's "Rebuilding Year"
Pawlenty, who was on John McCain's short list for vice president, is on every great mention list for 2012 GOP candidates. "I don't know what I'm going to do be doing three years from now," demurs Pawlenty, who announced last month he will not run for a third term next year. He says he wants to travel the country and speak out on issues, but beyond that, "I don't know what my future holds."
Pawlenty acknowledged that the GOP is struggling. The president is popular, the Democrats control the government, and the GOP is the victim of several self-inflicted wounds, namely Ensign and Sanford. "If the Republican party were a sports team and the coach and general manager were sitting here, he or she would say, 'It's a rebuilding year. We gotta get some new draft picks, we gotta make some trades, we gotta do things differently.' "
One question is whether Pawlenty, a married father of two who's a convert to evangelical Christianianty, would be able to claim that his is the party of family values. Pawlenty insists it can, but concedes that Sanford makes this positioning more complex, at least for now. "For Republicans and others, if you say you're about one thing and you do something else, people don't like that. It's a basic fact of life...We're going to have to earn back the support of the American voter, that's for sure."
Jul 3 2009, 7:50AM
Obama's Inversion Of Harry And Louise
As his opponents have sought to paint him as a liberal idealist, willing to spend a trillion of dollars to implement a big-government health care plan and place a big check mark on the liberal wish list, Obama has hit back on that notion hard--and he's done it, perhaps, by taking a page from the playbook of Harry and Louise.
Harry and Louise, of course, were the TV ad couple who helped torpedo the Clinton-led health reform effort in 1994, doing so with a simple message: if this reform plan goes through, your current health coverage will be taken away.
Jul 2 2009, 4:40PM
The Democratic Party's Health Care Ad
Holding fast to President Obama's messaging strategy on health care so far, the ad paints U.S. health care as unsustainable, with individuals attesting that, for instance, employer provided insurance only covers you until you're laid off. See the ad below:
Jul 2 2009, 2:56PM
No Swimming Pools Or Frisbee Golf
Jul 2 2009, 12:58PM
Washington Post Draws Fire With "Salon" Series
The Washington Post found itself the object of much criticism this morning after Politico's Mike Allen reported on a Post "salon" series, promising private, off-the-record, non-confrontational dinner discussions with Obama administration officials, members of Congress, and Washington Post reporters and editors, for $25,000 per person, marketed to lobbyists. "Bring your organization's CEO or executive director literally to the table," reads a flier. The dinners are to be hosted at the home of Post CEO and Publisher Katharine Weymouth; the topic of the first one, advertised int the flier, is health care.
Evidently a lobbyist felt uncomfortable with the ethics of it--a newspaper appearing to peddle influence in a $25,000-per-ticket lobbying session, serving as interlocutor between lobbyists and the White House, assuring the cooperation of its editorial staff, and perhaps the chance to influence reporters--and gave a copy of the flier to Allen. Lots of bloggers shared the sentiment. The Post's Ezra Klein, one of the paper's most notable health care experts, called it "appalling" and said he would have refused to attend, had he been invited or informed.
Jul 2 2009, 10:24AM
Democrats To Raise Money On Twitter
Through a new program launched by ActBlue, an online fundraising group launched in 2004 that channels online donations to Democratic candidates, Democratic supporters can make donations by tweeting the amount and the candidate or party committee they want to give it to.
Jul 2 2009, 9:54AM
Unemployment: Still Rising, By .1 Percent
It was a smaller jump than we've seen in previous months. Last month, BLS announced a rise from 8.9 percent to 9.4 percent. From November to March, the average monthly job loss total was 670,000; from April to June, it's been 436,000. Still, this month's drop in payroll employment was more than expected.
The political calculus on unemployment hasn't changed much. President Obama, in an interview with Bloomberg in June, predicted unemployment would hit 10 percent by the end of the year, giving himself some room as observers wondered when the continued job losses would begin to hurt his high standing in the public's eye.
Jul 1 2009, 7:30PM
The Day In Politics, 7/1
We also pondered what Al Franken will be like as a senator; some more thoughts on Obama, Truman, and Don't Ask, Don't Tell; a court fight over detainee confessions obtained through harsh interrogations; and the recent Vanity Fair piece on Sarah Palin.
Tomorrow: President Obama departs for Camp David for the Fourth of July.
Jul 1 2009, 7:00PM
The Invisible Primary, 7/1
Jul 1 2009, 6:35PM
Court Battle: Should Harsh Interrogation Confessions Be Allowed?
Now that detainees can challenge their detentions in federal U.S. courts, a result of the Supreme Court's 2008 Boumediene v. Bush decision, and now that President Obama has signaled he wants to move some Guantanamo detainees into the U.S. court system, it's a question that will likely arise again.
Jawad is one of 229 detainees still at Guantanamo, and, though his age has been disputed, his attorneys estimate he was between the ages of 13 and 16 at the time of his arrest in Afghanistan in 2002. It's been suggested he was as young as 12. Nude photographs taken of Jawad in custody show an adolescent in his early teens, his attorneys say.
Jul 1 2009, 5:21PM
Reagan, Palin And That Vanity Fair Palin Story
Jul 1 2009, 3:13PM
Pressure Mounts on Sanford
A wave of calls for his resignation were issued last night and today. According to the latest head counts, at least 12 (14 according to one published count) of the state Senate's 27 Republicans are calling on him to resign--a list that includes Majority Leader Harvey Peeler, who orchestrated a letter signed by five of his colleagues yesterday. They were joined this morning by a call from at least one additional GOP senator, that one being the chairman of the Senate Ethics Committee.
Jul 1 2009, 2:09PM
Your Thoughts On Truman, Obama And Gays In the Military
On the first point, I don't think it diminishes Truman's political courage or risk taking to note that he waited until 1948 to integrate the military, a far harder task than faces Obama given the virulence of Jim Crow. It's true that there were political benefits to the integration order that helped Truman win the votes of blacks who had migrated north to states where they weren't largely prevented from voting, such as Illinois. But overall it was a gamble of astonishing proportions in an election year and far riskier than anything Obama is thus far avoiding. Truman's position helped lead to the Strom Thurmond/segregationist walkout from the party. No Democrat in Congress is going to bolt over this.
Jul 1 2009, 12:59PM
Another Problem With Bailouts -- Political Persuasion
The Washington Post today has the kind of article I hate to read. It explains that Senator Daniel Inouye (D-HI) may have used his political influence to reverse an FDIC ruling that a local bank should get bailout money. It gets worse: he helped to establish the bank and had most of his personal wealth there.
From the Post:
The bank, Central Pacific Financial, was an unlikely candidate for a program designed by the Treasury Department to bolster healthy banks. The firm's losses were depleting its capital reserves. Its primary regulator, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., already had decided that it didn't meet the criteria for receiving a favorable recommendation and had forwarded the application to a council that reviewed marginal cases, according to agency documents.
Two weeks after the inquiry from Inouye's office, Central Pacific announced that the Treasury would inject $135 million.
Jul 1 2009, 12:53PM
Inhofe: No More Than 35 Votes For Climate Bill
Jul 1 2009, 12:27PM
South Carolina Democrats Join Calls For Sanford To Resign
"State officials seem unable to do anything except worry and talk about Governor Sanford's extramarital affair, which we learn more about every few hours," party Chair Carol Fowler said in a statement. "South Carolina can't afford to be at a standstill for the next 18 months with a governor who ignores his job responsibilities while pursuing personal interests."
Jul 1 2009, 10:17AM
Hitting Sanford
The Monica Lewinsky showed that scoring points off a sex scandal doesn't always work--sometimes, people think it shouldn't be a public or political matter. The Eliot Spitzer scandal was a bit different: the former attorney general actually did something illegal. Sanford's case has an important distinction: he disappeared to South America without announcing his departure or leaving anyone in charge, and his staff was kept (at least mostly) in the dark. The SC Democrats allege an "abuse of power," not an ethical shortcoming.
At this point, the SC Democratic Party has not yet called on Sanford to resign, though calls from Republicans are growing, as Politico's Jonathan Martin reports, and The Greenville News said the same in an editorial this morning.
