If Massachusetts changes its Romney-era law forbidding the governor to appoint a temporary successor to replace the late Sen. Ted Kennedy, a few prospects stand out. Temporary appointments can be dangerous for those doing the appointing, particularly when the new guy or gal is replacing beloved, respected politicians. It is tempting to "promote" an up-and-coming pol from your own party -- this is what Gov. Charlie Crist might do when he announces Mel Martinez's temp tomorrow -- but Kennedy's legacy demands a different type of appointment. That's why the smart money is on former Gov. Michael Dukakis, or someone of his stature, who needs no education in the ways of policy and the Senate, and who would spend his five months faithfully tending to the senator's concerns and interests -- health care reform being paramount. (It's not clear to me whether the late Kennedy's wife, Victoria Reggie Kennedy, wants to serve in this capacity, although she, too, would bring stature.)
If Gov. Deval Patrick so desires, he can choose a well-regarded state politician
who would want to run for the seat when the special election comes
around in January. There are several Massachusetts Democrats who fit
this bill, including Attorney General Martha Coakley, and any one of
several members of Congress, current (Barney Frank, Ed Markey) and
former (Marty Meehan). But Patrick might want to stay neutral in what
will probably be a bruising Democratic primary in state that hasn't
seen a real vacancy in more than twenty years. Time's Michael Grunwald speculates that
if a Kennedy decides to run in the primary, it will clear the field.
I'm not so sure if this is the case -- the state has a much more
complicated relationship with the Kennedy family than is presumed; I
think it will depend on which Kennedy runs, and how the announcement is
handled. (Don't be so sure that there will be a unanimous choice within
the family, either.)
What about Romney himself? The idea that he could win a statewide election for Senate in Massachusetts is pretty untested. First, he'd have to prove that's he's a resident of the state. So far as I can tell, he now lives elsewhere. Republicans have won gubernatorial elections for reasons having more to do with the complexion of the vote and what Massachusetts voters expect from the person in that job, but unless he reveals himself to be a former lover of Barbara Walters and has a reconversion to the pro-choice side of the ledger, it's hard to see how Romney wins -- and why Romney would risk running in the first place. Let's say that Romney wants to run -- he is not a terribly popular figure within the state Republican establishment, and he'd face an aggressive primary challenge from Republicans who are more popular than he is, including former U.S. Attorney Michael Sullivan. What about Andrew Card? Before Bush (BB), I'd have said yes. But AB -- After Bush -- it's hard to see Card winning statewide office unless he renounces his service to the former president.







I agree that a Kennedy wouldn't be a shoe-in, but why do you suspect the family wouldn't have a unanimous choice? Are you thinking of both Vicki and Joe II going for the job?
Otherwise, there really is only one member of that family who's ever run for something and won it in Massachusetts. No second-generation Kennedy except for Joe could really get away with running: the nepotism would be too pure, and too obvious.
Why is it that people like Michael Jackson get more attention than someone like Ted Kennedy. Kennedy accomplished so much for Americans yet people worship celebrities. There is a related post at http://iamsoannoyed.com/?page_id=588
Marc, you apparently haven't been paying attention. Before his passing, Senator Kennedy specifically asked Governor Patrick change the law and then only appoint someone who promised not to run in the special election. Why would Patrick defy this? If a law is passed, it may even be explicitly banned.
Barney Frank has already said he won't run (heard him on NPR yesterday morning) so why even mention him?
This post sounds uninformed.
This is a completely moot point unless the law is changed, which is, to say the least, a bit ironic. The law used to be - and was for many years - that the Governor got to choose the successor. But when John Kerry was running for President and it looked like the Commonwealth's Republican Governor, Mitt Romney, might have to appoint his successor, the Democratic-controlled state legislature changed the law. As they say: "Be careful what you wish for." Republicans in Massachusetts (you can find a few if you look hard enough) are outraged that the Democrats want to change the rules again, and my sense is that there may be enough Democrats who are just slightly embarrassed enough by this thing that they may just prefer to kill any amendment to the law in Committee. Hard to know if that 60th vote in the Senate is going to prove to be crucial between now and early next year.