Politics with Marc Ambinder

Joshua Green

Recently by Joshua Green

Nov 2 2009, 4:40PM

It Doesn't Mean Squat

Along with tarot cards and goat entrails, a lot of people believe they can divine hidden meaning from the results of off-year elections, like the ones in Virginia, New York and New Jersey on Tuesday. I'm skeptical. For one thing, nobody bothers to wait for the polls to close anymore--the "meaning" of the results has been hammered out in advance. A GOP sweep will be taken as proof that conservatives are resurgent and President Obama's agenda is in trouble, while Democratic wins in New York and New Jersey--Virginia is hopeless--will demonstrate that conservatives have gone off the deep end. (Any other combination will mean a dull night for cable television.)

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Oct 20 2009, 12:03PM

Political Hoaxes For Dummies

Probably because it didn't involve balloons, yesterday's hoax---in which several major media organizations, including Reuters, were duped into reporting that the Chamber of Commerce had suddenly embraced climate-change legislation--didn't get wall-to-wall cable coverage. But the stunt, perpetrated by a group of activists called the Yes Men, marked the latest in what seems to be a growing number of successful political hoaxes. First, hats off to the Yes Men for pulling it off. But I'm surprised that anyone fell for their bogus press release, since even a quick scan sends up all sorts of red flags. For example, the press release described the move as "an about-face on climate policy for the Chamber." As even the lowliest PR lackey is aware, press releases must always present even blatant shifts in policy as seamlessly following from whatever the organization was doing previously--the last thing any organization does in making an about-face is to describe what its doing as "an about-face." So dock some points for presentation.

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Aug 26 2009, 2:47PM

The Senate After Kennedy

Although Congress is in recess, many members of the Senate will, of course, be attending Ted Kennedy's funeral in Boston. When they reconvene in Washington after Labor Day, Kennedy's passing will have a number of important practical ramifications in addition to the symbolic ones so much in discussion today. These will impact many of the big policy decisions coming this fall. While nothing is formal yet, Senate insiders expect something like the following scenario to occur. Chris Dodd, currently the chairman of the Banking Committee, would succeed Kennedy as chairman of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee, an instrumental position in the health care fight and a move that would formalize what has for some time been an informal arrangement. Dodd and Max Baucus, who would remain Finance Committee chairman, would become the key Senate figures on health care. Tim Johnson is next in line to replace Dodd atop the Banking Committee, an important spot for obvious economic reasons and also because the Senate is expected to take up financial services regulation early next year. But Johnson has suffered health problems of his own, so the chairmanship may go to Jack Reed, a low-profile figure who is well thought of by colleagues and fluent in matters of finance (a rare trait among Democrats). Even if Johnson assumes the chairmanship, Reed is expected to play a much larger role.

Aug 25 2009, 5:21PM

All In The Family

Today's arrest of major Democratic fundraiser Hassan Nemazee on fraud charges is big, big news--few people loomed larger in the world of political money. Nemazee was a major fundraiser for the Clintons and, to a lesser extent, Barack Obama, and put large sums into Democratic efforts to win back Congress. So it's interesting to note (although the Times story does not), that the guy who busted Nemazee, Preet Bharara, the recently arrived United States attorney for the Southern District of New York, is the former chief counsel for New York Senator Chuck Schumer, who is to Democratic fundraising what Tiger Woods is to golf.

Jul 13 2009, 5:24PM

Chief Umpire Rove

There's been so much talk of "balls and strikes" at today's Senate hearing that one could be forgiven for imagining that Sonia Sotomayor is auditioning to lead an umpiring crew for Major League Baseball, and not to join the Supreme Court. At his 2005 confirmation hearings, current chief justice John Roberts also talked a lot about "balls and strikes." What gives? And who's responsible for the annoying judges-as-umpires meme? The answer, I believe, is Karl Rove. As I learned while reporting this piece on Rove's history of dirty tricks, one way that Rove flipped the Alabama Supreme Court from being mostly Democratic to mostly Republican (in Alabama judges are elected) is by propagating the notion that judges ought to be like umpires--i.e., limited to rendering impartial (non-empathetic?) judgment. When Rove showed up in Alabama in the early 1990s, the trial bar dominated the political landscape. His pleasingly simple and easy to grasp "umpires" formulation resonated deeply, and in short order Republicans came to dominate. In fact, they still do. (Sadly for Karl, it's probably the nearest he'll ever get to his "permanent majority.")
 
There was a time before the GOP collapsed, when people automatically assumed Rove was behind everything. Today, he can't get credit for anything. So in the spirit of calling 'em like I see 'em, let's pause to acknowledge Rove's achievement. It's so great that the Democrats have stolen it!

Jun 30 2009, 5:49PM

Is Oracle In The Justice Department's Crosshairs Again?

In May, Christine Varney, the new antitrust chief at the Justice Department, promised to scrutinize high-tech mergers more closely than her Bush-era predecessors. In the early Obama administration, talk of a possible antitrust action has focused almost exclusively on Google. The latest example is this Sunday Times profile of the apple-cheeked Googler whose job it is to furiously spin decision makers on the idea that Google is not really so big after all. But that's not the only antitrust issue lurking. If the recession, the energy bill, the prospects for health care, and a dozen other stories weren't already dominating headlines, yesterday's news that the Justice Department is taking a closer look at Oracle's $7.4-billion purchase of Sun would be a really big deal.

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Jun 30 2009, 4:58PM

60! Wait, No... 58!

The headline over at Talking Points Memo right now is "60!" in reference to Al Franken's pending arrival in the Senate, reflecting the fact that Democrats now have 60 seats, a filibuster-proof majority. At least on paper. In reality, it's not quite so simple. A quiet concern in the White House is the logistical difficulty of getting Ted Kennedy and Robert Byrd, both of them long absent with serious health issues, to the Senate floor to cast a vote. This is putting additional pressure on conservative Democrats like Evan Bayh to toe the party line, and raising the importance of  Olympia Snow and Susan Collins, considered to be the two most gettable Republicans on issues like health care.

Jun 26 2009, 2:15PM

Capital, Technology, Policy: The three critical ingredients to prevent climate change

The recent focus on climate change has been the House of Representatives, which is scheduled to vote on the Waxman-Markey bill today (or possibly tomorrow.) But a number of parallel, nonprofit efforts to cut carbon emissions are also ramping up. They include the Clinton Global Initiative, another effort by Richard Branson, and the Gigaton Throwdown, a project of a team of high-powered technology investors and academics that met in Washington Wednesday to share the results of an interesting study. The Gigaton folks want to move much faster and more aggressively to cut global carbon emissions than most people--they want to cut 5 to 7 billion tons (gigatons) of carbon from the atmosphere by 2020, and see the private sector playing a critical role in making this happen. They met to unveil what is essentially a feasibility study for what these ambitious reductions would entail as measured across eight different technologies, including wind, solar, plug-in electric, and--attention Republicans!--nuclear. The broader goal is to provide a "road map for laboratory-to-industry partnerships."

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Jun 24 2009, 9:43AM

How Far They've Fallen

If you're a baseball fan, then you know that steroid-pumping quitter Manny Ramirez returned last night from a 50-game suspension, imposed for testing positive for drugs associated with a performance-enhancing cycle. Actually, Manny has not completed his suspension, but the rules allow him to begin his comeback in the minor leagues, so he suited up with the Dodgers' Triple-A affiliate, the Albuquerque Isotopes (not to be confused with the Springfield Isotopes). The Ramirez steroids scandal is the biggest in pro sports this year. But on SportsCenter last night, there was a moment of politico-athletic scandal serendipity when it was reported that one-time Obama Commerce Secretary nominee Bill Richardson, who withdrew amid an ethics scandal, attended the game and pronounced Manny's joining the Isotopes "a fantastic day for New Mexico"...the circumstances of this "fantastic" turn of events being, let's remember, the entirely just punishment of an epic cheat who has forever tarnished baseball. Nice going, Bill! Ramirez went 0-for-2 with a strikeout. But on balance, I think Richardson proved himself the bigger sad sack.

UPDATE: A spokesman for Richardson e-mails to say that SportsCenter was wrong--Richardson never said it was a "fantastic day" for New Mexico. Richardson was at the game, but he didn't make any such comment, the spokesman said.

Jun 10 2009, 5:36PM

Brown Passes On Penn

The Clintonism-is-Dead meme, gaining strength today after Terry McAuliffe's thumping in the Virginia governor's race, can draw some additional momentum from an item in today's First Read. Chuck Todd reports that UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown--who's staring at a McAuliffe-like thumping himself--has passed over Clinton pollster Mark Penn in favor of Joel Benenson and his firm Benenson Strategy Group. Benenson, of course, polls for Obama. Adding to the sting, all three principals in the firm--Benenson, Pete Brodnitz, and Carl Rossow--once worked for Penn, and left under less-than-friendly terms.

May 7 2009, 1:14PM

Congress Bailing Out Manny Ramirez

Today's explosive news that lazy Red Sox turncoat (and current LA Dodgers slugger) Manny Ramirez has been suspended for 50 games after violating Major League Baseball's drug policy is already tearing up talk radio--but unlike previous baseball stars who came under suspicion of steroid use, Ramirez is probably going to avoid a congressional subpoena. Though Congress has actively investigated baseball's drug culture, the locus of that activity--the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee--won't be taking up the issue. I called the committee's chairman, Edolphus Towns, to ask whether he planned to look into the Ramirez drug suspension or whether he was going to pass on it, as he did Alex Rodriguez's admission of steroid use earlier this year. He's passing. "Chairman Towns is continuing to focus on the stimulus, the financial bailout, getting Americans back to work, and passing legislation to strengthen the federal workforce," his spokeswoman told me.

May 1 2009, 11:03AM

The Stealth Green Revolution

A hundred years from now, Barack Obama's first hundred days may be remembered more for his energy policy than for his bank bailouts-at least if things go according to plan. Without a great deal of fanfare or attention, Obama has made significant progress toward overhauling our national energy policy on a scale that's never before been attempted.

For the last century or so, the government's approach to energy, especially electricity, has been to encourage its production as plentifully and cheaply as possible. This has been achieved mainly by burning fossil fuels, which, as we all now know, has created a wee problem in the form of massive carbon emissions that are heating up the planet and threatening catastrophe. On the campaign trail, Obama pledged to move the United States to a greener economy (thereby vastly reducing the amount of greenhouse gas emissions), and in so doing, serve as an example to developing countries like China and India which, along with the United States, are the world's major carbon emitters.

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Mar 31 2009, 1:51PM

Star Gazing

Don't know if this is a reflection of the Democratic Congress or simply a reflection of our popular culture, but Congress is simply teeming with celebrities today. On the House side alone, Josh Groban and Linda Ronstadt testified, and Martin Sheen, Bradley Whitford, and Richard Schiff all appeared for a press conference--and those are just the ones I happened to spot. The other day, well-traveled, tantrum-throwing wide receiver Terrell Owens testified. Nobody really even noticed. Once upon a time, celebrity testimony was a big, big deal. In 1981, when Jack "Quincy M.D." Klugman testified before a House subcommittee in support of orphan drug legislation, it rated a front-page story in The New York Times. Today's celebs are lucky to make CongressDaily.

Mar 26 2009, 1:56PM

Should Obama Think Twice about Pot?

In his virtual town hall meeting today, President Obama went out of his way to emphasize that he did not think legalizing marijuana would be a good way to grow the economy. Apparently, lots of pot enthusiasts had pushed the question. Two quick thoughts. First, while reporting this piece in the current issue of The Atlantic on the business of selling medical marijuana, I was surprised at how many people in the "semi-legal community" (as the group calls itself) were fervent Obama supporters specifically because they believed he would legalize pot. Guess he just killed their buzz. My other thought, though, was: maybe he shouldn't have. Legal pot sales in California generated $100 million in state tax revenue last year, a welcome infusion for a state facing a crippling budget deficit. Know anybody else whose budget projects red ink as far as the eye can see? Pot-tax revenue could help slay the deficit! Maybe the semi-legal folks should have targeted the Blue Dogs instead.

Feb 20 2009, 5:23PM

The Santelli Clause

Double-Late-Breaking, Friday-Afternoon Analysis: I enjoyed Rick Santelli¹s rant as much as anyone. Financial news has found its Howard Beale . It¹s likewise amusing to see the White House snap back at Santelli, as Marc just wrote about. Leaving aside the obvious hypocrisy (Santelli didn¹t get worked up when his bank-exec neighbors got bailed out), here¹s a less obvious bit: The stimulus also contains a huge mortgage-related giveaway to wealthy types exactly like the pit traders in Santelli's audience. Buried on page 111 is a clause raising the "jumbo-conforming limit" on government-backed mortgages from $625,500 to $729.750 in rich areas like New York, Washington DC, and Santelli's home of Chicago. This is a big deal because Fannie and Freddie are the only ones buying mortgages anymore, so it will have the effect of driving down interest rates on really big mortgages. (Good breakdown here ) The Regular Joes on whose behalf Santelli seemed to be ranting don¹t take out $730K mortgages.

But I¹ll bet CNBC anchors do. If I were Robert Gibbs, I would point this out. I might even have some fun by dubbing the provision " the Santelli Clause" to drive home the point.

Feb 17 2009, 11:57AM

Bob Schaffer Hits the Bottle

Maybe this is a sign of just how bad things have gotten for Republicans: recent Colorado Senate candidate Bob Schaffer has become...(drum roll)...a margarita pitchman! For real. Specifically, he is hawking something called "Coyote Gold Premium Margarita Mix." (Which makes a lot of sense, because when people think "delicious margaritas" they naturally also think "Colorado.") Here's video to prove it. Look out Coors Light. You've got Rocky Mountain competition.

Feb 11 2009, 8:14AM

Does A-Rod Have A Date With Congress?

Monday's interview with Peter Gammons of ESPN was intended to answer, and in so doing quell, the explosive news that New York Yankees' slugger Alex Rodriguez tested positive for anabolic steroids in 2003. Yes, he did it, Rodriguez haltingly confessed. His admission had all the hallmarks of a professionally managed damage-control campaign: the intimate home setting, the soft sweater*, the furrowed look of concern, the cloying phraseology ("I was young and naïve"--didn't Monica Lewinsky say that!?), and, because he's a Yankee and therefore a dim bulb, the utter inability to pull it off convincingly. All of it was geared toward "putting this behind him" and ensuring that it be only a one-day story.

Read the dispatch by Joshua Green.