Politics with Marc Ambinder

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Oct 9 2009, 11:40AM

His Elegant Remarks

I've laughed at the jokes this morning: This is what he gets for bombing the moon? Is he going to give the money to ACORN? Next year, Physics Nobel. And I was pretty stunned that he won. But I stick with original assessment that this is good for the president and that the right will look stupid if they keep slamming him. The ungracious condemnation from RNC Chairman Michael Steele contrasted with the gracious remarks of Tim Pawlenty and other Republicans. The president's remarks in the Rose Garden using the word "humbled" and recasting the award as "a call to action" instead of a reward for achievements put him in a good place. Elites may fret and wring their hands, but this can't hurt a president. It won't bring peace to Afghanistan or ease tensions with Iran or North Korea. But it gives Obama a boost at home and abroad that any president should savor. Andrew Sullivan makes a nice case for the award here.

Oct 9 2009, 8:16AM

Obama Wins Nobel Peace Prize. What Now?

Will it matter at home? The stunning news that Barack Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize is bound to enhance his global reputation, but will it give him more juice domestically? I don't claim to know the answer but a few thoughts:

It Can't Hurt.
By the end of the day, I'm sure Limbaugh and Hannity and the right chorus will have made fun of Obama for the win, cited it as proof of his European Socialist tendencies. But are many Americans going to feel offended that he's in the company of Teddy Roosevelt, who won for negotiating the end to the Sino-Russian conflict in 1905? Would any American feel embarrassed? Not really. By the way, doesn't this guarantee the president's third trip to Scandinavia, and a redemptive one? He went for the humiliating experience of lobbying for Chicago for the 2016 Olympics. I bet he goes back for the big climate summit in Copenhagen. Now he has to go and accept the prize. Kind of puts the Chicago episode in perspective.

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May 26 2009, 1:37PM

White House Merges National Security, Homeland Security Staffs

Brennan's Role Formalized; Has Walk-In Privileges, No Longer His Own Staff

So far as breaking news goes, this ain't all that broken. But in government, structure often dictates function, which, in turn, heavily influences policy. Who reports directly to the president? Who reports to an assistant? Are staff in one bucket allowed to communicate with staff in another? Today, the Obama administration announced the consolidation of the Homeland Security staff and National Security Council staff at the White House, completing a process that began in the latter years of the Bush administration. A newly-named "national security staff" will serve the president as his principal staff coordinators for all homeland security, counterterorrism, transnational and international policy. The announcement today makes plain that Obama has come to value the services of his chief homeland security adviser, John Brennan, who has direct walk-in privileges. Obama writes that he will retain Brennan's position, which -- and this is important -- DOES NOT report to the national security adviser, but reports directly to the President. Brennan, "as my principal White House advisor on these issues, with direct and immediate access to me. The security of our homeland is of paramount importance to me,  and I will not allow organizational impediments to stand in the way of timely action that ensures the safety of our citizens."   

Still, the staff merger effectively takes away Brennan's own staff. 

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Apr 21 2009, 5:24PM

Senior Administration Official Leaves West Wing For Commerce

First reported by ABC's Jake Tapper, it seems that a senior administration official will be moving out of the West Wing. Ellen Moran, the White House communications director, will become the chief of staff at the Department of Commerce. 

A White House official confirmed the departure and said there would be no imminent announcement about her replacement.

 "I thank Ellen Moran for her leadership during these first critical months of my administration, and I am pleased she will serve as chief of staff at the Department of Commerce," President Obama said in a statement.  "Her management and strategic skills will ensure that Secretary Locke, an important member of my economic team, gets off to a fast start."

Selected during the transition, Moran, a veteran of Democratic politics with experience across several subject areas,  was relatively new to Obama's inner circle. Her deputy, Dan Pfeiffer, ran the communications shop for Obama's presidential campaign.  Pfeiffer would be first on the list of staff members to replace Moran. 

A friend of Moran's said that Moran asked for the new assignment, and that she and new Commerce Sec. Gary Locke know each other from Moran's previous work as a political consultant.  The friend said that Moran's departure was not due to any internal disputes, and that she kept her decision fairly quiet until recently.

Apr 16 2009, 2:42PM

CIA Officers Granted Immunity From Torture Prosecution *** UPDATE ***

President Obama has endorsed this concept, and so has his attorney general, but today, alongside the release of Bush-era documents justifying the CIA torture program, the Justice Department will make clear that no CIA officers or officials who IN GOOD FAITH relied on the memos to interrogate prisoners will be subject to criminal prosecution, according to the AP. This is a victory for the CIA, which had been seeking a formal, public statement for its case officers, and which had been worried that the document's disclosures could subject many of them to future prosecution.  Now, even if Congress launches investigations, the CIA will be, more or less, safe. More....

Apr 3 2009, 10:48AM

Iowa: Gay Marriage Is Legal

In a unanimous decision, Iowa's Supreme Court ruled that the state cannot prohibit same-sex couples from seeking marriage licenses. "On our review, we hold the Iowa marriage statute violates the equal protection clause of the Iowa Constitution," the court held. "A statute inconsistent with the Iowa Constitution must be declared void, even though it may be supported by strong and deep-seated traditional beliefs and popular opinion."

The opinion is arch:

We begin with the County's argument that the goal of the same-sex marriage ban is to ensure children will be raised only in the optimal milieu. In pursuit of this objective, the statutory exclusion of gay and lesbian people is both under-inclusive and over-inclusive. The civil marriage statute is under-inclusive because it does not exclude from marriage other groups of parents--such as child abusers, sexual predators, parents neglecting to provide child support, and violent felons--that are undeniably less than optimal parents. Such under-inclusion tends to demonstrate that the sexual-orientation-based classification is grounded in prejudice or "overbroad generalizations about the different talents, capacities, or preferences" of gay and lesbian people, rather than having a substantial relationship to some important objective. See Virginia, 518 U.S. at 533, 116 S. Ct. at 2275, 135 L. Ed. 2d at 751 (rejecting use of overbroad generalizations to classify). If the marriage statute was truly focused on optimal parenting, many classifications of people would be excluded, not merely gay and lesbian people.

The remedy:

Consequently, the language in Iowa Code section 595.2 limiting civil marriage to a man and a woman must be stricken from the statute, and the remaining statutory language must be interpreted and applied in a manner allowing gay and lesbian people full access to the institution of civil marriage.
2008 legislation to amend Iowa's constitution didn't pass the legislature. House Republican Leader Kraig Paulsen urged Iowa legislators to pass a new bill that commands support from both parties.

Mar 31 2009, 5:40PM

Norm Coleman's Last 400 Shots

It looks like Sen. Norm Coleman's last shot at retaining his Minnesota Senate seat will be an appeal to the state Supreme Court.  Al Franken (D) leads Coleman by 225 votes. Today, the judges overseeing the recount trial said they'll review a tiny number of absentee ballots -- just 400.  Assuming that the judges decide to award those ballots to either candidate, Coleman would need to receive roughly 85 percent of them in order to come close to Franken, much less surpass him. Coleman's lawyers are already looking ahead to an appeal before the state supreme court. There, they'll be able to argue that Coleman was the victim of unspecified constitutional violations by various election authorites in the state. An appeal will take about six weeks. Then, Coleman will have to decide whether he wants to suffer the indignity of having the U.S. Supreme Court decide not to hear his case...

 

Mar 31 2009, 3:37PM

Waxman's Cap-And-Trade Throwdown

In releasing the draft of an energy policy overhaul today, Rep. Henry Waxman, chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, has put down a marker for the White House and the Senate. The prospects of passing a cap-and-trade emissions credit system this year are dim, mostly because too many Democratic Senators worry about the job cost and unequal distribution of renewable energy sources.  Still, the administration faces domestic and international pressure to begin the process of substantially reducing Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions by the December Copenhagen conference, when it will try to convince China and India to follow the U.S.'s example. Waxman, along with Rep. Ed Markey, have set a deliberately ambitious goal of, 20 years hence, reducing carbon emissions in the United States by 20% of their 2005 levels. That's a far more dramatic reduction than Obama proposed during the presidential campaign.

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Mar 20 2009, 1:10PM

Dems Choosing Health Care Over Cap-N-Trade?

This is big news: Democrats have mapped out their legislative strategy for passing health care reform this year. According to George Stephanopoulos, Democrats will work with Republicans to build consensus around a plan, and then, if that doesn't work, they'll write the revenue-generating-and-substracting provisions of whatever health care plan they come up with into the FY 2010 budget resolution. As important: the budget reconciliation process, which circumvents moderate Democratic and GOP discontent in the Senate, will NOT be used to set up a carbon emissions credit trading system.  Cap-and-trade was always the tougher sell to Congress. Americans don't understand it; members of Congress from coal-producing states worry about job losses in their state (they call it a transfer of wealth); consumers would be forced to pay more in the short-term for energy.  Why did Obama chose health care? Here's a good explanantion from the perspective of policy. Politically, health care reform is more easily swallowed than cap-and-trade and probably less expensive, especially if Obama endorses large-but-incremental incisions over massive surgery. Curiously, though, if, during the transition, you had asked (future) administration officials to predict whether, if a choice had to be made, health care or cap-n-trade would see more action this year, just as many would have placed a bet on cap-and-trade.  "As part of our ongoing conversations with Democrats and Republicans on the Hill, senior aides met with Hill aides last night to discuss the budget, but no decisions were made," an administration official said.

Mar 13 2009, 6:00PM

Did Obama Change The National Security Paradigm Today?

In the annals of the Obama administration's reinterpretation of national security law, how important were today's two pronouncements?

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