Politics with Marc Ambinder

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Nov 18 2009, 4:50PM

Will The House Play Hardball With State Secrets?

Democrats on the House Judiciary Committee are preparing for a confrontation with the White House over the state secrets privilege. Rep. Jerrold Nadler (R-NY), the chair of the Judiciary Subcommittee on the Constitution, Civil Rights and Civil Liberties, has called the privilege's expansion during the Bush administration "the greatest threat to liberty in this country."

At an academic conference in Washington today, Nadler noted that the Patriot Act reauthorization, which the White House supports, might come to the floor at the same time as House legislation on the state secrets privilege, about which the White House has been publicly silent -- and privately skeptical.

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Nov 18 2009, 8:14AM

The Real Intelligence Wars: Oversight And Access

For months, the CIA director, Leon Panetta, and the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), Adm. Dennis Blair (ret.), fought an intense and acrimonious turf battle over covert action oversight and access to White House officials. Last week, the two men agreed to a truce when they signed a classified memorandum brokered by the National Security Adviser, James Jones.

Through intermediaries, Panetta and Blair crossed swords over who should appoint senior intelligence representatives in foreign countries. Now, through interviews, new details are emerging about other, more sensitive conflicts between the two men and their agencies, including which agency is responsible for oversight of the CIA's controversial and classified Predator drone program.

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Aug 6 2009, 9:46AM

Jurors Don't Discount Evidence Obtained From Rough Treatment

An interesting side note to the debate about how to try roughed-up detainees: new research from psychologists and criminologists suggests that jurors tend not to discount evidence obtained from rough interrogations even though there's plenty of evidence to suggest that those claims aren't reliable. Writing in Psychology, Crime & Law, 2009, the authors conclude that jurors' expert bias -- their penchant to view expert testimony as more reliable -- overrides their perceptions and evaluations of the situation under which an interrogation was conducted. Indeed, even when given hints that confessions are false, jurors tend to put some weight in them.  This finding, which replicates others in the field, has some important implications for any federal trials of terrorist suspects. Jurors tend to put themselves in the shoes of people under duress and project upon them their own principles, such as -- if they were innocent, they'd never give in to torture. Assuming that some evidence some rougher interrogations makes it through the judge's gauntlet, jurors might not penalize the government. This finding also bodes well for prosecutors who want to try and find collateral information that confirms information obtained via torture, which is, itself, inadmissible.  Because "potential jurors do not appear to understand the link between psychologically coercive interrogation and false confessions," the authors suggest that expert testimony about the effects of coercive interrogations might trigger the jurors' expert bias in a salutary way.

Jul 1 2009, 6:35PM

Court Battle: Should Harsh Interrogation Confessions Be Allowed?

That's the question Mohammad Jawad's defense attorneys are trying to answer with a motion filed Wednesday afternoon in the Guantanamo detainee's habeas petition, charting a course into some new legal territory and arguing that statements made to U.S. and Afghan interrogators should be rendered inadmissible in U.S. courts, given the conditions that yielded them.

Now that detainees can challenge their detentions in federal U.S. courts, a result of the Supreme Court's 2008 Boumediene v. Bush decision, and now that President Obama has signaled he wants to move some Guantanamo detainees into the U.S. court system, it's a question that will likely arise again.

Jawad is one of 229 detainees still at Guantanamo, and, though his age has been disputed, his attorneys estimate he was between the ages of 13 and 16 at the time of his arrest in Afghanistan in 2002. It's been suggested he was as young as 12. Nude photographs taken of Jawad in custody show an adolescent in his early teens, his attorneys say.

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Jun 17 2009, 12:04PM

More Neocon Buffoonery

You would think that the Neocons would be a tad temperate after having gotten so many things wrong for so long. But look at the way the amiable Weekly Standard writer and Dick Cheney biographer, Steven Hayes, takes a shot at President Obama for insufficiently supporting the protesters in Iran.

I won't claim to understand Iranian politics well enough to know just what the right thing to do here is, and it may be that the administration should be more outspoken in favor of the protesters. I don't know.

It's not enough, though, for Neocons to disagree with the Obama policy--they have to impugn his motives too. Thus Hayes writes of Obama, "Does he actually prefer Ahmadinejad?" and "His policy is regime preservation. And it's a disgrace." There's nothing in the administration record to suggest that they want to uphold the Ahmadinejad regime.

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Jun 1 2009, 12:16PM

Answering Your Questions: CIA Chips And Woodward's Secrets

Reader A:

Interesting story you linked to about the chips. Do you think this is the secret weapon Woodward has refused to describe?

Me:  It think one of them. 

For background, in one of his books, Bob Woodward referred to a secret and "lethal" special forces program to kill Iraqi militants, implying that the program, details about which he said he had been asked not to provide, was responsible for a significant chunk of the post-Surge reduction in violence.

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May 26 2009, 1:37PM

White House Merges National Security, Homeland Security Staffs

Brennan's Role Formalized; Has Walk-In Privileges, No Longer His Own Staff

So far as breaking news goes, this ain't all that broken. But in government, structure often dictates function, which, in turn, heavily influences policy. Who reports directly to the president? Who reports to an assistant? Are staff in one bucket allowed to communicate with staff in another? Today, the Obama administration announced the consolidation of the Homeland Security staff and National Security Council staff at the White House, completing a process that began in the latter years of the Bush administration. A newly-named "national security staff" will serve the president as his principal staff coordinators for all homeland security, counterterorrism, transnational and international policy. The announcement today makes plain that Obama has come to value the services of his chief homeland security adviser, John Brennan, who has direct walk-in privileges. Obama writes that he will retain Brennan's position, which -- and this is important -- DOES NOT report to the national security adviser, but reports directly to the President. Brennan, "as my principal White House advisor on these issues, with direct and immediate access to me. The security of our homeland is of paramount importance to me,  and I will not allow organizational impediments to stand in the way of timely action that ensures the safety of our citizens."   

Still, the staff merger effectively takes away Brennan's own staff. 

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May 24 2009, 5:04PM

Judge Affirms Obama's Detention Authority, Again

A second federal judge has affirmed the Obama administration's right to detain Guantanamo detainees associated with the Taliban and Al Qaeda. In a little noticed ruling late last week, judge Royce Lamberth endorsed the scope of authority delineated by another judge, Judge John Bates, who ruled that Obama may order the detention of anyone suspected of being a member of Al Qaeda -- with the definition of membership construed very broadly. Like Bates, Lamberth rejected the administration's desire to hold people who had provided "substnatial support" to Al Qaeda and the Taliban, but he, like Bates again, noted that the executive branch has the power to decide what constitutes membership. 

"However, the Court will still consider support of Taliban, al Qaeda, or associated enemy forces in determining whether a detainee should be considered "part of" those forces.
Like Bates, Lamberth implicitly endorsed the administration's contention that the source of its detention power was Congress's Authorization for the Use of Military Force in Afghanistan and not in Article II of the Constitution.

May 21 2009, 9:26AM

Cheney's Arguing With....George W. Bush

Jack Goldsmith, the onetime head of the Office of Legal Counsel at the Department of Justice, calls it the "Cheney fallacy."  In his comprehensive article about Barack Obama's national security doctrine, Goldsmith writes that the main difference between the Obama and Bush administrations 

concern[s] not the substance of terrorism policy, but rather its packaging. The Bush administration shot itself in the foot time and time again, to the detriment of the legitimacy and efficacy of its policies, by indifference to process and presentation. The Obama administration, by contrast, is intensely focused on these issues.

I doubt that many White House officials disagree, although they point out that many of the institutionalized decisions that Goldsmith sees are works in progress, and that the executive is inherently limited in his ability to quickly reverse course on many aspects of national security policy.  The critique embedded in Goldsmith's essay, which is probably the best account to date on the subject, is that Dick Cheney's approach to policy and his mastery of the national security apparatus of the government led the administration to ignore avenues that would have led them to the same policies, albeit with fewer obstacles.

Indeed, it is hard to find a Bush administration official who disagrees with Goldsmith at this point, save for friends and allies of Mr. Cheney's.  That's because, from the middle of the President's second term until the end, the Bush administration began the process of legitimation. In some cases, their hands were forced, like when the New York Times revealed details of the National Security Agency's domestic collection program.  But in many cases, especially as regards detainee policy and diplomacy, key administration principles decided to change course. Donald Rumsfeld was belatedly fired; Condoleezza Rice aggressively worked to repair America's working relationship with its allies; enhanced interrogation techniques were abandoned; the U.S. government sat down with Iran, and so on .  Don't take my word for it.

"I think what's interesting is that, in some way, Dick Cheney actually lost these arguments inside the Bush administration. And so he may won early with Colin Powell and Condi Rice, but over the last two or three years....I think there was a recognition that these enhanced interrogation techniques that were being applied -- that they had applied early on -- were potentially counterproductive, that a posture of never talking to our enemies, of unilateral action, of framing national security only in terms of the application of force, often unilateral -- that that wasn't producing."

I quote here President Obama, speaking to Newsweek's Jon Meacham.  Obama continued: "I think a lot of these arguments were settled even before we took over the White House."

So why is Dick Cheney targeting President Obama?  It's hard to find a Republican who believes that Obama is fundamentally making the country less safe with his national security decisions, even as individual choices -- the vow to close Guantanamo, the decision to release memos about interrogation -- have come in for criticism. 

The disatisfaction with Obama by the broad civil libertarian left -- and it's not the hard left, but a broad cross-section of liberal elites -- is one indication of this. Obama spent an hour and a half yesterday trying to contextualize his actions for an audience of civil libertarians.  He was not successful.

Cheney seems to be arguing with himself; or, rather, with the decisions that his President, George W. Bush, made after the thumping of the 2006 elections.  He is arguing with Republican Party elites, most of whom are willing to criticize individual decisions Obama has made but who can't find fault with his general approach to terrorism.

May 21 2009, 9:07AM

Obama's Speech: A Preview

In his speech, President Obama decries what he'll call an "ad hoc" legal approach to terrorism taken by the last administration, one that was "neither effective nor sustainable - a framework that failed to trust in our institutions, and that failed to use our values as a compass."

He promises to honor his commitment to close the prison at Guantanamo Bay, a place that "rather than keep us safer," has "weakened American national security." Obama will caution that he does not have "the luxury of starting from scratch" -- cleaning up something that is "a mess that has left in its wake a flood of legal challenges that we are forced to deal with on a constant basis and that consume the time of government officials whose time would be better spent protecting the country."  Obama will outline a tripartite process for disposing of the remaining 240 prisoners at Gitmo:

*        when feasible, try those who have violated American criminal laws in federal courts.

*        when necessary, try those who violate the rules of war through Military Commission

*        when possible, transfer to third countries those detainees who can be safely transferred.

Obama will discuss the 24 detainees have been ordered released by the U.S. courts.  He'll note that the  court orders don't have anything to do  with the decision to close with Guantanamo. "It has to do with the rule of law. The United States is a nation of laws, and we must abide by those laws."
 
According to administration official, Obama  will discuss the ways he'll reform the state secrets privilege, which recognizing that there are legitimate uses of that privilege and promising to protect critical national security information.